Thread watched CNOTES 2025-206 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

Cnotes53

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Wednesday, December 17

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CLE at CHI08:00 PMU 242.0*****+500
MEM at MIN08:00 PMU 229.0*****+500
 

Cnotes53

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CNOTES NBA BEST BEST FOR DECEMBER !

12/17/2025...............2 - 0 - 0.............100.00%..........+ 10.00
12/16/2025...............2 - 0 - 0.............100.00%..........+ 10.00
12/15/2025...............4 - 2 - 0...............66.66%...........+ 9.00
12/14/2025...............4 - 6 - 1...............40.00%...........- 13.00
12/13/2025...............0 -3 - 0................00.00%..........- 16.50
12/12/2025...............2 - 3 - 0...............40.00%...........- 6.50
12/11/2025...............1 - 5 - 0...............16.66%...........- 22.50
12/10/2025...............1 - 3 - 0................25.00%...........- 11.50
12/09/2025...............2 - 0 - 0..............100.00%..........+ 10.00
12/08/2025................3 - 3 - 0..............50.00%.............- 1.50
12/07/2025................2 - 4 - 1...............33.33%............- 12.00
12/06/2025................5 - 4 - 0...............55.55%............+ 3.00
12/05/2025..............10 - 5 - 0...............66.66%.............+ 22.50
12/04/2025................2 - 4 - 0...............33.33%.............- 12.00
12/03/2025................6 - 6 - 0...............50.00%.............- 3.00
12/02/2025................6 - 6 - 0...............50.00%.............- 3.00

TOTALS...................52 - 54 - 1..............49.05%............. - 37.00
 

Cnotes53

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Thursday’s 6-pack:
Week 16 NFL spreads:
— Rams @ Seattle (-1.5)
— Eagles (-6.5) @ Washington
— Packers @ Chicago (-1.5)
— Jets @ New Orleans (-4.5)
— Bills (-10.5) @ Cleveland
— Chiefs (-3) @ Tennessee

Quote of the Day
“I want to meet all of them. Every coach who gets the opportunity to come here, I want to have conversations throughout the process with them. I’m going to be here for that whole time.”
Titans rookie QB Cam Ward, talking about the team’s coaching search

Thursday’s quiz
Which major league baseball team drafted Tom Brady as a catcher?

Wednesday’s quiz
2000 was the last time a team from the Big 10 Conference won the national championship in college basketball, when Michigan State won

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.

******************************************

Thursday’s Den: NFL trends, and NCAA Tournament trends……..

Was wondering if there are any trends that could identify teams that will win March Madness this year, so I broke down the last 13 teams that won the national title.

— 10 of the last 13 national champs were #1 seeds:
Exceptions:
2014 UConn was a 7-seed
2016 Villanova was a 2-seed
2023 UConn was a 4-seed

— National champs come from the elite leagues:
5- Big East
3- ACC
2- SEC
2- Big X
1- AAC (UConn in 2014)
0- Big 18

— National champs come from big leagues; they generally play cheesy non-conference schedules. Five of last six national champs played a non-conference slate outside the top 200.

— Making shots seems like a big deal; 10 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 40 in eFG% (eFG% is FG%, only 3-pointers count as 1.5 baskets made).
Defense seems important; 9 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 50 in eFG% defense.

— 9 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 40 in offensive rebounding %age.

— The last 13 national champs all won the first game in their conference tournament; however, 5 of the 13 national champs went WL in their conference tournament.
5 of the also 13 national champs won their conference tournament.

— Only 3 of the last 13 national champs played a tempo in top 100; 6 of 13 were outside top 200

Stats that don’t seem to matter much:
None of the last 11 national champs were in the top 100 in % of points scored on foul line; there are fewer fouls called in the NCAA’s, you have to be able to play through contact.

— Only 2 of the last 13 national champs were in the top 200 in bench minutes; last one was North Carolina in 2017. TV timeouts are longer in NCAA’s, fewer fouls are cools, making depth less important.

— We’ll tuck this away until March, then identify teams we think fit the bill of a champ.

Famous birthdays, December 18th:
Steven Spielberg, 79
Brad Pitt, 62
Charles Oakley, 62
Don Beebe, 61
Rachel Griffiths, 58
Christina Aguilera, 45
Chris Carter, 39
Byron Buxton, 32
Ronald Acuna, 28
Brandon Marsh, 28
Joey Cantillo, 26
Jayden Daniels, 25

— NFL divisional trends:

AFC East

Non-divisional underdogs 12-8 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 9-7 ATS

AFC North
Non-divisional underdogs 8-15 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 7-10 ATS

AFC South
Non-divisional underdogs 15-8 ATS
Non-divisional favorites 7-5 ATS

AFC West
Non-divisional underdogs 8-6 ATS
Non-divisional road favorites 1-9 ATS

NFC East
Home teams 5-2 ATS divisional games
Non-divisional underdogs 8-12 ATS

NFC North
Non-divisional home favorites 11-5 ATS
Non-divisional underdogs 5-8 ATS

NFC South
Underdogs 8-1 ATS divisional games
Non-divisional favorites 3-7 ATS

NFC West
Non-divisional favorites 19-8 ATS
Divisional home underdogs 0-4 ATS
 

Udog

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NBA

Thursday, December 18


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Trend Report
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Atlanta VS Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games.
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
Atlanta is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games against Charlotte.
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games against Charlotte.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Charlotte's last 10 games.
Charlotte is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Charlotte's last 10 games when playing at home against Atlanta.

New York VS Indiana
New York is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games.
New York is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games.
New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games against Indiana.
New York is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against Indiana.
Indiana is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games.
Indiana is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games at home.

Miami VS Brooklyn
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games.
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Brooklyn.
Brooklyn is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Brooklyn's last 12 games.
Brooklyn is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games against Miami.

Washington VS San Antonio
Washington is 7-13 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games.
Washington is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games.
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games against San Antonio.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games.
San Antonio is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games against Washington.
San Antonio is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home.

Los Angeles VS Oklahoma City
LA Clippers is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers' last 5 games.
LA Clippers is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games.
LA Clippers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Oklahoma City.
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games.
Oklahoma City is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games against LA Clippers.

Toronto VS Milwaukee
Toronto is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 11 games.
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against Milwaukee.
Milwaukee is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 10 games.
Milwaukee is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 9 games against Toronto.

Houston VS New Orleans
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games.
Houston is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games.
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against New Orleans.
New Orleans is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans' last 7 games.
New Orleans is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans' last 5 games against Houston.

Detroit VS Dallas
Detroit is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games.
Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games against Dallas.
Detroit is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games against Dallas.
Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas' last 6 games.
Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas' last 12 games against Detroit.

Los Angeles VS Utah
LA Lakers is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Lakers' last 9 games.
LA Lakers is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games.
LA Lakers is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games against Utah.
Utah is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games.
Utah is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Utah's last 14 games against LA Lakers.

Orlando VS Denver
Orlando is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games.
Orlando is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games.
Orlando is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games against Denver.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Denver's last 10 games.
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 9 games against Orlando.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games at home.

Golden State VS Phoenix
Golden State is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games.
Golden State is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games.
Golden State is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games against Phoenix.
Golden State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games against Phoenix.
Phoenix is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games.
Phoenix is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games against Golden State.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home.

Sacramento VS Portland
Sacramento is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games.
Sacramento is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games.
Sacramento is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games against Portland.
Portland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games.
Portland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games against Sacramento.


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