Thread watched CNOTES 2025-206 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

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Monday, February 9​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
DET at CHA07:00 PMU 221.5*****+500
UTA at MIA07:30 PMMIA -7.5*****
U 240.5*****		+500 +500
CHI at BK07:30 PMCHI -3.5*****
U 219.5*****		+500 +500
MIL at ORL07:30 PMMIL +10.5*****+500
SAC at NO08:00 PMNO -9.5*****+500
ATL at MIN08:00 PMATL +8.5*****+500
CLE at DEN09:00 PMDEN +1.5*****
O 239.5*****		+500 +500
OKC at LAL10:00 PMOKC -7.5*****+500
PHI at POR10:00 PMPHI -2.5*****
U 230.5*****		+500 +500
MEM at GS10:00 PMU 218.5*****+500
 
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CNOTES NBA BEST BETS THRU FEBUARY !

02/09/2026.....................5 - 9 - 0..............35.71%..................- 24.50
02/08/2026.....................6 - 1 - 0..............85.71%.................+ 24.50
02/07/2026...................10 - 2 - 0..............83.33%.................+ 39.00
02/06/2026....................5 - 3 - 0...............62.50%..................+ 8.50
02/05/2026....................7 - 4 - 0...............63.63%..................+ 13.00
02/04/2026.....................3 - 4 - 0..............47.85%..................- 7.00
02/03/2026.....................8 - 7 - 0..............53.33%..................+ 1.50
02/02/22026..................3 - 1 - 0...............75.00%.................+ 9.50
02/01/2026....................7 - 6 - 0................53.84%.................+ 2.00

TOTALS........................54 -37 - 0................59.34%.................+ 66.50
 
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Tuesday’s 6-pack
Raiders’ last six full-time head coaches:
2015-17— Jack Del Rio
2018-21— Jon Gruden
2022-23— Josh McDaniels
2023-24— Antonio Pierce
2025— Pete Carroll
2026— Klint Kubiak

Quote of the Day
“You guys know I’m going to Las Vegas. I’m fired up about it.”
Seahawks OC Klint Kubiak, new coach of the Las Vegas Raiders

Tuesday’s quiz
Who is the Raiders’ all-time leader in passing yards?

Monday’s quiz
JJ McCarthy was the Vikings’ QB this year; Sam Darnold was their QB last year. Kirk Cousins was Minnesota’s QB in 2023.

Sunday’s quiz
Matt Hasselbeck was QB for the Seahawks, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

*************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: College hoop conference trends, and other stuff…….​

— Kansas 82, Arizona 78
Arizona led 45-42 at halftime.
Melvin Council scored 23 points (6-25 from floor) had six assists.
Kansas was 21-25 on foul line, Arizona 8-14.
Darryn Peterson didn’t play, 11th game he’s missed for 19-5 Jayhawks.
Miami OH is the last unbeaten team in the country.

— St John’s 87, Xavier 82 OT
Red Storm were 28-41 on foul line, Xavier 9-17
Zuby Ejiofor scored 25 points, had five assists.
Xavier led by 5 with 8:04 left in the game.
When Rick Pitino coaches against his son, who does Mrs Pitino root for?

— Dylan Darling is a key player for St John’s, their point guard off the bench; he had 16 points, four assists in this game. It strikes me as odd that one of St John’s key players is a transfer from freakin’ Idaho State, not exactly a basketball factory.

— Louisville 118, NC State 77
118 points in 80 possessions; not a stellar job by NC State
Louisville made 18 of 30 shots on the arc, scored 1.47 ppp.
Cardinals scored 118 points, had only two players in double figures.
Mikel Brown scored 45 points, Ryan Conwell 31.
Bracketology has Louisville as a 6-seed in NCAA’s; if they’re a 6-seed, I would NOT want to be the #3-seed in that region. Louisville needs to be better than a 6-seed.

— Bradley 96, Belmont 84 OT
Belmont led by 3 with 0:37 left in regulation.
Loss snaps Belmont’s nine-game winning streak.
Bradley shot 17-36 on the arc, only 38.7% inside arc.
Belmont shot 60% inside arc, only 10-33 on arc.

— Anthony Roy is a 6-5 senior F for Oklahoma State; he’s had an interesting career:
2021- San Francisco
2022- Wenatchee Valley CC, in state of Washington
2023- New Mexico State
2024- Langston U, an NAIA school in Oklahoma
2025- Green Bay
2026- Oklahoma State
Six years, six different teams. 43.9% career shooter behind the arc.

— Alabama big man Charles Bediako’s college career is over; NCAA declared him ineligible and a court upheld that Monday. Bediako scored 10 ppg in five games for Alabama, gave them some force in the paint. He had played 21.6 minutes/game.

— Famous birthdays, February 10th:
Robert Wagner, 96
Daryl Johnston, 60
Elizabeth Banks, 52
Lance Berkman, 50
Paul Millsap, 41
Liam Hendriks, 37
Travis d’Arnaud, 37
Brandon Woodruff, 33
Max Kepler, 33
Cal Quantrill, 31

These trends are for conference games

— ACC
Boston College is 8-1 ATS last nine games (5-0 HU)
Clemson is 5-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Florida State is 5-1 ATS last six games.
Georgia Tech is 5-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Miami is 0-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Underdogs are 8-2 ATS in North Carolina games.
Wake Forest is 0-6 ATS last six games.

— American
Underdogs are 8-2 ATS in UAB games.
East Carolina is 4-1 ATS as a road underdog.
North Texas is 1-4 ATS last five games
Rice is 4-1 ATS as a home underdog
South Florida is 2-4 ATS as a home favorite.
UTSA is 0-11 SU/3-8 ATS
Tulsa is 7-1 SU/5-3 ATS last eight games.
Wichita State is 4-1 ATS as a home favorite.

— Atlantic 14
Dayton is 0-6 ATS last six games.
LaSalle is 4-1 ATS as a home dog, 1-5 ATS as road dog.
Duquesne covered six of its last seven games.
George Washington is 2-5 ATS last seven games
LaSalle is 0-4 ATS last four games.
Loyola Chi is 1-6 ATS last seven games.
St Joe’s covered its last nine games.
Saint Louis is 5-1 ATS as a home favorite
VCU is 1-5 ATS as a home favorite.

— Big East
Butler is 2-8 ATS last ten games
Crieghton is 0-8 ATS last eight games
Georgetown is 6-2 ATS last eight games
St John’s is 7-2 ATS last nine games
Villanova is 5-1 ATS in Big East road games.

— Big 18
Maryland is 2-9 ATS last 11 games.
Nebraska is 6-1 ATS in Big 18 road tilts
Oregon is 2-7 ATS last nine games
Purdue is 1-8 ATS last nine games (1-5 home favorite)
Rutgers is 8-3 ATS in last 11 games
Washington is 6-1 ATS as a road dog.
Wisconsin is 4-1 ATS in Big 18 road games.

Big X
Arizona is 4-1 ATS as home favorite
BYU is 0-8 ATS last eight games
Cincinnati is 2-5 ATS last seven games
Colorado is 1-4 ATS last five games
Houston is 7-1 ATS last eight games
Iowa State is 5-1 ATS last six games
Kansas covered six of last seven games.
Kansas State is 0-5 ATS in Big X home games.
TCU is 1-4 last five games.
Utah is 4-1 ATS as a road underdog.

SEC
Florida covered eight of last nine games
Georgia is 1-4 ATS as a home favorite
Arkansas is 6-2 ATS as a favorite
Auburn covered four of last five games
Mississippi State is 2-6 ATS last eight games
Missouri is 1-5 ATS last six games.
South Carolina is 1-4 ATS last five games.
Vanderbilt is 2-6 ATS last eight games.
Texas A&M covered eight of last nine games.
 
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Tuesday, February 10

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NBA

Tuesday, February 10[/ B]

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Trend Report
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Indiana VS New York
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Indiana's last 20 games.
Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Indiana is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games against New York.
Indiana is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road.
New York is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New York's last 12 games.
New York is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New York's last 12 games against Indiana.

Los Angeles VS Houston
LA Clippers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers' last 6 games.
LA Clippers is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games.
LA Clippers is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games against Houston.
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Houston's last 20 games.
Houston is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games against LA Clippers.

Dallas VS Phoenix
Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
Dallas is 0-7 SU in its last 7 games.
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against Phoenix.
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against Phoenix.
Phoenix is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Phoenix's last 19 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games against Dallas.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Phoenix's last 10 games at home.

San Antonio VS Los Angeles
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of San Antonio's last 19 games.
San Antonio is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
San Antonio is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games against LA Lakers.
LA Lakers is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Lakers' last 12 games.
LA Lakers is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers' last 5 games against San Antonio.

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Tuesday, February 10​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
IND at NY07:30 PMNY -12.5*****
U 225.5*****		+500 +500
LAC at HOU08:00 PMLAC +8.5*****
O 213.5*****		+500 +500
DAL at PHO09:00 PMPHO -8.5*****
U 229.5*****		+500 +500
SA at LAL10:30 PMSA -9.5*****
U 226.5*****		+500 +500
 
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CNOTES NBA BEST BETS THRU FEBUARY !

02/10/2026.....................2 - 6 - 0..............25.00%..................- 23.00
02/09/2026.....................5 - 9 - 0..............35.71%..................- 24.50
02/08/2026.....................6 - 1 - 0..............85.71%.................+ 24.50
02/07/2026...................10 - 2 - 0..............83.33%.................+ 39.00
02/06/2026....................5 - 3 - 0...............62.50%..................+ 8.50
02/05/2026....................7 - 4 - 0...............63.63%..................+ 13.00
02/04/2026.....................3 - 4 - 0..............47.85%..................- 7.00
02/03/2026.....................8 - 7 - 0..............53.33%..................+ 1.50
02/02/22026..................3 - 1 - 0...............75.00%.................+ 9.50
02/01/2026....................7 - 6 - 0................53.84%.................+ 2.00

TOTALS........................56 -43 - 0................56.66%.................+ 43.50
 
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Wednesday’s 6-pack
Teams with best eFG% defense in country:
42.7%— Saint Louis (23-1)
43.1%— Michigan (22-1)
44.3%— Marist (16-8)
44.4%— Hawai’i (17-5)
44.4%— UConn (22-2)
44.6%— Arizona (23-1)

Quote of the Day
“Be curious, not judgmental.”
Walt Whitman

Wednesday’s quiz
Before he became coach at Kansas, where did Bill Self coach?

Tuesday’s quiz
Derek Carr is the Raiders’ all-time leader in passing yards.

Monday’s quiz
JJ McCarthy was the Vikings’ QB this year; Sam Darnold was their QB last year. Kirk Cousins was Minnesota’s QB in 2023.

**************************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….​

— Nevada sports books made a profit of $9.89M on the Super Bowl; last year, they made a $22.1M profit, when the Eagles beat Kansas City.

— It takes a little bit of luck to win a championship; you have to be really good, but you need a few things to go your way, too.

Last year, Minnesota Vikings went 14-3, their best record since 1998; they lost in the playoffs and they moved on from Sam Darnold as QB, deciding to play JJ McCarthy instead.
Darnold went to Seattle and made history last week; the Vikings fired their GM last month. If Minnesota had held onto Darnold, this season would’ve had a different ending.
Kind of like two years ago, when the Giants let RB Saquon Barkley walk, and he moved on to help their divisional rival Eagles win the Super Bowl. If the Giants had paid their star player, who knows what would’ve happened?

— Pitchers/catchers reported to spring training this week; thinking about baseball makes it seem warmer, in what has been a dismal winter here in upstate New York.

— Milwaukee Brewers traded IF Caleb Durbin to the Red Sox in a six-player deal; Milwaukee gets P Kyle Harrison, and some minor leaguers also changed hands.

— Kind of a busy baseball day Tuesday, seeing how it was February 10th:
Detroit Tigers signed Justin Verlander for one year, $13M
Mets’ SS Francisco Lindor has a left wrist injury, may need surgery; if he has hamate surgery, he is expected to be out for six weeks.
Mets’ OF Juan Soto is moving from right field to left field.
Braves signed C Jonah Heim.
Pirates signed DH/OF Marcell Ozuna
A’s signed P’s Aaron Civale, Scott Barlow.
Rockies signed P Tomoyuki Sugano
Braves put P Spencer Schwellenbach on the 60-day DL (elbow)

— Right now, Minnesota Twins’ payroll is $60M less than it was three years ago, when the Twins went 87-75 and made the playoffs.

— Arizona P Brandon Pfaadt had some interesting home/road splits last year:
Home: 9-3, 3.24 in 17 home starts, with a 1.17 WHIP
Road: 4-6, 7.71 in 16 road starts, with a 1.53 WHIP

— Famous birthdays, February 11th
Tina Louise, 92
James Silas, 77
Carey Lowell, 65
Todd Benzinger, 63
Jennifer Aniston, 57
Damian Lewis, 55
Jacque Vaughn, 51
Dansby Swanson, 32
Graham Ashcroft, 28
The great actor Leslie Nielsen was born 100 years ago today.

— In the NBA, Chicago Bulls are 6-17 ATS as a favorite this season.

— If you have Prime Video, there is a series starting this week on the history of the old ABA, a basketball league that existed from 1967-76. The ABA used a red-white-blue basketball; it is where the 3-point shot became popular. Teams generally played at a much faster tempo.
In 1976, the league folded, but the NBA took in four of their teams: Nuggets, Pacers, Nets and the Spurs. Lot of great players played in the ABA: Rick Barry, Julius Erving, Artis Gilmore, Dan Issel, George Gervin. The show should be fun to watch.

— Purdue 80, Nebraska 77, OT
Purdue led by 22 early in the second half.
Boilermakers out-rebounded Nebraska, 54-37
Nebraska lost three of last four games, after a 20-0 start.

— Wisconsin 92, Illinois 90, OT
Illinois led by 12 with 8:10 left in the game.
Badgers shot 16-36 on arc, were +9 (13-4) in turnovers.
Illinois played six guys 30+ minutes, a 7th guy played 1:00.
20-5 Illinois lost their 2nd game in row, both in overtime.

— TCU 62, Iowa State 55
Cyclones led 28-19 with 3:23 left in first half.
Horned Frogs were 15-23 on foul line, Iowa State 2-8.
Loss snapped Iowa State’s five-game win streak.

— Miami 75, North Carolina 66
Tar Heels follow up their win over Duke by laying an egg on the road.
Miami won four of last five games, improves to 19-5, 8-3 in ACC.
Hurricanes never trailed, shot 53.1% inside the arc.

— Villanova 77, Marquette 74
Marquette led by nine with 6:13 left in the game.
Villanova has won four in a row, improved to 10-3 in Big East.
Marquette is 0-9 in true road games this season.

— Virginia 61, Florida State 58
Seminoles led by 9 with 8:22 left in the game.
Florida State was 16-22 on foul line, Virginia 5-8
Virginia is 21-3; none of their starters scored in double figures.

— My phone says the high temperature in Albany Wednesday will be 35 degrees; if so, it’ll be the first time in 19 days the temperature has been above freezing in my hometown. Spring cannot get here soon enough.
 
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Wednesday, February 11

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Trend Report
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Atlanta VS Charlotte
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games.
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
Atlanta is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games against Charlotte.
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games.
Charlotte is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 9 games against Atlanta.

Milwaukee VS Orlando
Milwaukee is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games.
Milwaukee is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games.
Milwaukee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Orlando.
Orlando is 7-13 ATS in its last 20 games.
Orlando is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games against Milwaukee.
Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.

Washington VS Cleveland
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games.
Washington is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games.
Washington is 0-10 SU in its last 10 games against Cleveland.
Cleveland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games.
Cleveland is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games against Washington.
Cleveland is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home.

Chicago VS Boston
Chicago is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games.
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
Chicago is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games against Boston.
Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 9 games.
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games against Chicago.

Indiana VS Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games.
Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Indiana is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Brooklyn.
Indiana is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games.
Brooklyn is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 6 games against Indiana.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games at home.

Detroit VS Toronto
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Detroit's last 19 games.
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games against Toronto.
Toronto is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games.
Toronto is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games against Detroit.
Toronto is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit.

New York VS Philadelphia
New York is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New York's last 13 games.
New York is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games.
New York is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games against Philadelphia.
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games against New York.
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.

Los Angeles VS Houston
LA Clippers is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games.
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Houston.
LA Clippers is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games against Houston.
LA Clippers is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road.
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Houston's last 20 games.
Houston is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games against LA Clippers.

Portland VS Minnesota
Portland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games.
Portland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games.
Portland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Minnesota.
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games.
Minnesota is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games against Portland.

Miami VS New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games.
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
Miami is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games against New Orleans.
Miami is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games against New Orleans.
New Orleans is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Orleans' last 8 games.
New Orleans is 7-13 SU in its last 20 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of New Orleans' last 15 games against Miami.

Sacramento VS Utah
Sacramento is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games.
Sacramento is 0-10 SU in its last 10 games.
Sacramento is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games against Utah.
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games.
Utah is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games.
Utah is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home.

Oklahoma City VS Phoenix
Oklahoma City is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games.
Oklahoma City is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games against Phoenix.
Oklahoma City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games against Phoenix.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games against Oklahoma City.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Phoenix's last 11 games at home.
Phoenix is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City.

Memphis VS Denver
Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis' last 6 games.
Memphis is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games.
Memphis is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games against Denver.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games.
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games against Memphis.
Denver is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home.

San Antonio VS Golden State
San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games.
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
San Antonio is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games against Golden State.
Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games at home.
Golden State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio.
Golden State is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference.

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