2006 NFL regular season breakdown:
BIG Plays 3-7
Medium size plays: 6-11
small size plays: 10-11-2
(Teasers 9-13, Sides 11-16-2)
After some horrible luck and another losing week I have 3 must win plays for this week.
Must win because if they don't...then I give up!
Medium size Play on:
2 game 6 point teaser:
Tennessee Titans +7
&
Dallas Cowboys -1
Titans +7?The Titans beat the Texans 28-22 in Tenn earlier in the season and are one of the hottest teams in the league at this time a team no one wants to face?this is Vince Young?s homecoming since he is from Houston and Coach Jeff Fischer said this week that Vince has had a great week of practice and is very focused for his trip back to Houston?Tennessee is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games as dogs?4-0 ATS the last 4 overall and 5-1 ATS versus the AFC?Houston is 1-4 ATS the last 5 as a home favorite?1-4 ATS the last 5 as a favorite overall and 1-4 ATS the last 5 following a SU win?The Texans were lucky to beat the error prone Raiders last week but their luck runs out on Sunday.
Tennessee 24 Houston 20
Cowboys -1?The Cowboys beat the Saints 30-7 in preseason which was the first meeting between Coach Parcells and his former OC Sean Peyton?the Saints beat the Niners at home last week but had it not been for Reggie Bush and poor Niners tackling the Saints offense was non-existent?the Saints will likely once again be without both starting WR?s Joe Horn and Marcus Colston and #3 Devery Henderson is a good #3 or #2 but he isn?t a true #1 and struggled in that role last week?I expect the Saints offense to struggle this week in Dallas while the Cowboys offense should have it?s way with a Saints defense that ranks near the bottom of the league?the Saints have been a great story this season but they aren?t in the same league as the Cowboys at this time?Dallas is 5-1 ATS last 6 as a fav between 3.5-10.0?4-1-1 ATS last 6 overall?4-1 ATS last 5 at home and 4-1 ATS last 5 as a home favorite?New Orleans is 4-9 ATS last 13 after scoring 30+ in their previous game?2-5 ATS vs teams with a winning record and 1-4 ATS last 5 in December.
Dallas 27 New Orleans 17
Medium size play on:
Seattle Seahawks -3
Over Cardinals...The Cardinals pulled the upset over the Lambs on the road last week but will be facing a tougher challenge at home on Sunday?.Seattle beat the Cardinals 21-10 earlier in the season and are starting to get healthy and back in sync at the right time?Seattle is 5-0 SU with QB Hasselback and HB Alexander both in the same lineup together this season?6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings with the Cards and 4-1 ATS the last 5 games in December?Arizona is 1-4 ATS the last 5 as dogs between 0.5 and 3.0 and 2-10 ATS last 12 after scoring 30+ in their previous game.
Seattle 30 Arizona 20
Medium size play on:
3 game 10 point teaser
Cincinnati Bengals -1
San Francisco +5.5
Chicago Bears +4 (MNF)
Bengals -1?The Bengals have had extra days to prepare for this one after beating the Ravens last Thursday night?the Raiders self destructed at home last week missing 3 FG?s two that hit the goal post in their loss to the Texans?the only thing the Raiders have to hang their hat on at this time is the play of their defense?other than that this game is a mismatch?however?play it in this teaser and don?t lay the 11 because this is a sandwich game for the Bengals coming off of the Ravens with the Colts staring them in the face next week?and the Bengals lost a game at this time of the season similar to this last season when they were beaten by the Bills?Cincy is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 sfter a SU win and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 following an ATS win?the Raiders are 10-26-1 the last 37 following an ATS loss and just 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games in December.
Niners +5.5?The Packers are starting to go into the tank after playing some respectable ball in mid season and now face a hungry Niners team that plays it?s best ball at home?the Niners are still mathematically alive in the playoff hunt and coach Mike Nolan stated this week that this is a MUST win game for his team?I really like the way the Niners offense matches up this week against the Packers?SFran is 4-1 ATS last 5 vs the NFC?4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 5-1 ATS vs teams with a losing record?GBay has won 9 out of the last 10 meeting between the teams but those games were played between 1996 and 2003?the Packers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a DD home loss and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 in December?the points are a bonus that you won?t need this week.
San Francisco 24 Green Bay 17
Bears +4?This is the MNF game?the Lambs offensive line is banged up and had another key injury to OT Kyle Turley in practice yesterday?he is questionable at this time?the Bears may have lost DT Tommie Harris for the season but they have 2 capable backups(Ian Scott and Alfonso Boone) to take his place?I feel the Rams offense will struggle mightily this week because of their offensive line problems while the Bears should have their way running the football with Jones and Benson against the Lambs defense which ranks 32nd dead last in the league versus the run?if the Bears could only put a muzzle on Rex Grossman?s arm this one would be a Lock!...Chicago is 4-0 ATS the last 4 as a fav between 3.5 -10.0?4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 in December and 4-1 ATS the last 5 games played at night?St.Louis is 1-4 ATS the last 5 following a SU loss?1-5 ATS the last 6 overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
Chicago 29 St. Louis 13
BIG Plays 3-7
Medium size plays: 6-11
small size plays: 10-11-2
(Teasers 9-13, Sides 11-16-2)
After some horrible luck and another losing week I have 3 must win plays for this week.
Must win because if they don't...then I give up!
Medium size Play on:
2 game 6 point teaser:
Tennessee Titans +7
&
Dallas Cowboys -1
Titans +7?The Titans beat the Texans 28-22 in Tenn earlier in the season and are one of the hottest teams in the league at this time a team no one wants to face?this is Vince Young?s homecoming since he is from Houston and Coach Jeff Fischer said this week that Vince has had a great week of practice and is very focused for his trip back to Houston?Tennessee is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games as dogs?4-0 ATS the last 4 overall and 5-1 ATS versus the AFC?Houston is 1-4 ATS the last 5 as a home favorite?1-4 ATS the last 5 as a favorite overall and 1-4 ATS the last 5 following a SU win?The Texans were lucky to beat the error prone Raiders last week but their luck runs out on Sunday.
Tennessee 24 Houston 20
Cowboys -1?The Cowboys beat the Saints 30-7 in preseason which was the first meeting between Coach Parcells and his former OC Sean Peyton?the Saints beat the Niners at home last week but had it not been for Reggie Bush and poor Niners tackling the Saints offense was non-existent?the Saints will likely once again be without both starting WR?s Joe Horn and Marcus Colston and #3 Devery Henderson is a good #3 or #2 but he isn?t a true #1 and struggled in that role last week?I expect the Saints offense to struggle this week in Dallas while the Cowboys offense should have it?s way with a Saints defense that ranks near the bottom of the league?the Saints have been a great story this season but they aren?t in the same league as the Cowboys at this time?Dallas is 5-1 ATS last 6 as a fav between 3.5-10.0?4-1-1 ATS last 6 overall?4-1 ATS last 5 at home and 4-1 ATS last 5 as a home favorite?New Orleans is 4-9 ATS last 13 after scoring 30+ in their previous game?2-5 ATS vs teams with a winning record and 1-4 ATS last 5 in December.
Dallas 27 New Orleans 17
Medium size play on:
Seattle Seahawks -3
Over Cardinals...The Cardinals pulled the upset over the Lambs on the road last week but will be facing a tougher challenge at home on Sunday?.Seattle beat the Cardinals 21-10 earlier in the season and are starting to get healthy and back in sync at the right time?Seattle is 5-0 SU with QB Hasselback and HB Alexander both in the same lineup together this season?6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings with the Cards and 4-1 ATS the last 5 games in December?Arizona is 1-4 ATS the last 5 as dogs between 0.5 and 3.0 and 2-10 ATS last 12 after scoring 30+ in their previous game.
Seattle 30 Arizona 20
Medium size play on:
3 game 10 point teaser
Cincinnati Bengals -1
San Francisco +5.5
Chicago Bears +4 (MNF)
Bengals -1?The Bengals have had extra days to prepare for this one after beating the Ravens last Thursday night?the Raiders self destructed at home last week missing 3 FG?s two that hit the goal post in their loss to the Texans?the only thing the Raiders have to hang their hat on at this time is the play of their defense?other than that this game is a mismatch?however?play it in this teaser and don?t lay the 11 because this is a sandwich game for the Bengals coming off of the Ravens with the Colts staring them in the face next week?and the Bengals lost a game at this time of the season similar to this last season when they were beaten by the Bills?Cincy is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 sfter a SU win and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 following an ATS win?the Raiders are 10-26-1 the last 37 following an ATS loss and just 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games in December.
Cincinnati 26 Oakland 17
Niners +5.5?The Packers are starting to go into the tank after playing some respectable ball in mid season and now face a hungry Niners team that plays it?s best ball at home?the Niners are still mathematically alive in the playoff hunt and coach Mike Nolan stated this week that this is a MUST win game for his team?I really like the way the Niners offense matches up this week against the Packers?SFran is 4-1 ATS last 5 vs the NFC?4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 5-1 ATS vs teams with a losing record?GBay has won 9 out of the last 10 meeting between the teams but those games were played between 1996 and 2003?the Packers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a DD home loss and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 in December?the points are a bonus that you won?t need this week.
San Francisco 24 Green Bay 17
Bears +4?This is the MNF game?the Lambs offensive line is banged up and had another key injury to OT Kyle Turley in practice yesterday?he is questionable at this time?the Bears may have lost DT Tommie Harris for the season but they have 2 capable backups(Ian Scott and Alfonso Boone) to take his place?I feel the Rams offense will struggle mightily this week because of their offensive line problems while the Bears should have their way running the football with Jones and Benson against the Lambs defense which ranks 32nd dead last in the league versus the run?if the Bears could only put a muzzle on Rex Grossman?s arm this one would be a Lock!...Chicago is 4-0 ATS the last 4 as a fav between 3.5 -10.0?4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 in December and 4-1 ATS the last 5 games played at night?St.Louis is 1-4 ATS the last 5 following a SU loss?1-5 ATS the last 6 overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
Chicago 29 St. Louis 13
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