THUR. MLB HOT & COLD TEAMS / PITCHERS

[The Mover]

MLB

Thursday's games

National League games

Mets @ Brewers
Colon is 1-0, 2.50 in his last three starts; over is 3-0-1 in his last four.

Nelson is 2-1, 1.82 in his last four home starts (under 3-1-1 last five overall).

Mets are 6-8 in last 14 road games; three of their last four games stayed under total. Milwaukee won five of its last seven games; over is 5-2 in its last seven home games.

Cardinals @ Reds
Wainwright is 2-1, 3.04 in his last four starts, three of which stayed under.

Finnegan is 1-2, 3.86 in his last five starts (over 7-3-1 in his last 11).

St Louis won three of last four games; eight of their last eleven games went over total. Reds won six of last nine games; 11 of their last 12 games went over.

Pirates @ Rockies
Locke is 4-0, 2.76 in his last four starts; his last seven starts all went over.

Bettis is 0-3, 11.48 in his last three starts; four of his last six starts went over.

Colorado won three of its last four games (under 5-1 in last six). Pittsburgh lost five of last six road games (under 5-1).


American League games

Angels @ New York
Chacin is 1-0, 2.86 in his last two starts (over 3-2).

Nova is 1-2, 6.27 in his last three starts (over 3-3).

Bronx won four of last five games; over is 8-4-1 in their last 13 home games. Angels lost four of last five games, over is 5-1-1 in their last seven

Orioles @ Blue Jays
Wilson is 0-4, 6.75 in his last four starts (over 4-2-2).

Stroman is 0-1, 10.64 in his last two starts; four of his last five went over.

Toronto won 10 of last 14 games; under is 7-2-1 in their last ten. Baltimore won seven of its last eight games (under 3-1in last four).

Astros @ Rangers
McHugh is 1-1, 4.10 in his last four starts (over 5-3 in his last eight).

Perez is 3-0, 2.50 in his last three starts; six of his last nine starts stayed under.

Astros are 12-4 in last 16 games, but lost 12 of last 13 in Arlington; seven of their last 11 games went over. Texas is 14-4 in its last 18 games, six of their last nine games went over the total.

Indians @ Mariners
Tomlin is 2-0, 2.30 in his last two road starts; over is 7-0-1 in his last eight overall.

Karns is 1-1, 6.89 in his last three starts (over 4-0-1 in last five).

Indians won six of last eight games; over is 7-4-2 in their last 13 games. Seattle won four of last five home games- over is 11-3-1 in its last 15 games.


Interleague

Nationals @ White Sox
GGonzalez is 0-3, 10.34 in his last three starts; over is 5-0-1 in his last six starts.

MGonzalez is 0-1, 4.09 in six starts this season (over 4-2). .

Washington won ten of last 13 road games; nine of its last 11 games went over the total. White Sox lost 20 of last 26 games; over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Marlins @ Twins
Koehler is 1-3, 4.32 in his last four starts (over 5-5-1).

Santana is 0-3, 7.56 in his last three starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven.

Marlins lost four of last five games; over is 13-6-1 in their last 20 road games. Twins lost six of last nine games; eight of their last nine home games went over.


Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:

StL-Cin-- Wainwright 8-4; Finnegan 3-9
NY-Mil-- Colon 6-5; Nelson 7-5
Pitt-Col-- Locke 5-6; Bettis 5-7

LA-NY-- Chacin 3-2/2-3; Nova 4-5
Balt-Tor-- Wilson 3-5; Stroman 7-5
Hst-Tex-- McHugh 7-5; Perez 5-7
Cle-Sea-- Tomlin 9-1; Karns 8-3

Wsh-Chi-- GGonzalez 5-6; MGonzalez 3-3
Mia-Minn-- Koehler 3-8; Santana 1-9


Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:

StL-Cin-- Wainwright 3-12; Finnegan 3-12
NY-Mil-- Colon 4-11; Nelson 3-12
Pitt-Col-- Locke 2-11; Bettis 4-12

LA-NY-- Chacin 3-10; Nova 0-9
Balt-Tor-- Wilson 3-8; Stroman 4-12
Hst-Tex-- McHugh 7-12; Perez 4-12
Cle-Sea-- Tomlin 5-10; Karns 3-11

Wsh-Chi-- GGonzalez 0-11; MGonzalez 4-6
Mia-Minn-- Koehler 4-11; Santana 3-10

 

[Terryray]

thanks for that!

thanks for that!

notes and pic on day games (and pic on STL over):

Pittsburgh Pirates +125 and under...in a tough sandwich spot tonight (ya not hear that in baseball too much - Pitt off dispiriting Mets game last night, and home vs STL Friday-Sun), but bats and Locke have been consistent of late. And Pitt has won 8 straight at Coors....both teams played last night, these pitchers will be fresher than the bats. Bettis flew home ahead of team to prepare..

Jeff Locke has 4 previous starts at Colorado - all 4 went under (3.75 ERA, his last start here was 6 scoreless innings)!..and he inexplicably threw a complete game vs Mariners (Pitt had been 268 starts without a starter going the distance until then - with everyone in Pitt that night watching the Penguins playoff game, har har!), and followed that up with 7 inning 3ER vs Angels (7 out of 8 starts he's been reliable now)....so his confidence is way up now, which really helps a pitcher,

and Locke has been working on a new breaking pitch, using it sparingly so far. "it?s velocity (85 MPH), spin rate, and break angle were all noticeably different from those of Locke?s changeup. It was also thrown harder and moved much differently than the knuckle-curveball Locke had used consistently before this season."...Colo's Bettis has been awful his last 3 starts, is 5-5 with a 5.19 ERA in his last 15 starts at Coors.

STL CARDINALS v CIN REDS Over 9.5: offense and ever more offense

-- Waino's been pitching decent of late, but he has bad numbers vs Cinci, and Cinci been hitting great of late (7.3 rpg last 10)...5 of last 7 STL road starts went over.

-- Finnegan's been nothing but over at home. He's off a fine road start, so that usually means a mediocre home start. He has a 3.89 ERA, but a FIP of 5.23, that tells ya a lot, and this STL offense been very consistently decent all season, even more dangerous now with Jhonny Peralta back. And he will help that STL horrible defense, worst in MLB.

-- STL bullpen not bad, but Cinci has the worst in all MLB...

-- HP ump Jerry Meals (in Cinci tonight) over has hit 8-1 overall this season, 18-11 in 2015, 21-9 in 2014, 18-12 in 2013...



I read this:

McHugh has turned his season around after a slow start, showing much better stuff lately. After whiffing just 30 batters in his first eight starts, he's piled up 31 strikeouts over his past four outings. McHugh done a great job of limiting his walks this year as well and now owns a pristine 61:17 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 67 innings.

Perez has enjoyed pitching in Arlington this season, as he improved to 3-1 with a 2.55 ERA in 8 starts at home. The 25-year-old can be a little wild at times, as evidenced by his 32 walks over 72.1 innings. Perez has been fortunate to strand many of those runners, helping him deliver an impressive 3.24 ERA on the season....

Perez did well to even his record at 4-4, but his lack of strikeouts and his high walk rate make it difficult to fully trust him as a reliable option..He?s 4-2 with a 1.71 ERA in six start against Houston in his career....Martin Perez - 6.0 IP, 3 ER, 9 Hits, 1 BBs, 1 Ks. (last start, vs Mariners at home) Perez had just one strikeout and ten baserunners through six. Sounds about right.

I'm thinking TX and the under here...

 

[The Mover]

Terry like the SL over wish I would of looked when it was at 9. Buying it down from 9.5 -120 to 9 -147 puts it in a possible parley. Anyway GL