THUR Thoughts - Stats and Plays

[Randercity]

White Sox at CUBBIES

Lots of strong trends for the UNDER in this game, as WELLS is 3-3 on the road with 3.29 ERA and the UNDER has gone 5-1. BERE is 4-3 at home with 4.55 ERA and UNDER has gone 5-1.
UNDER has also gone 8-2 in WELLS last 10 starts, and the UNDER is 25-12 in all CUB home games. UNDER is 9-1 when wind is 0-10 mph, and 16-10 when it's 10-20. Reports have it coming in from Center, or right at 7-10 from what I've seen.

Although the CUBS have been a very strong home team this year, this inter-city rivalry has gone the SOX way the past 3 years as they are 9-6 vs the cross town Cubbies and 4-2 at WRIGLEY. Add in the fact that in JUNE, K WELLS shut down Lieber and the Cubs 3-1, while BERE was getting roughed up in the same series, losing to the D WELLS, 7-3. I have to go with the better pitching and the DOG here.

WHITE SOX +125
UNDER 8 -120

 

[Randercity]

Toronto at PHILA

Pass on the side, CARPENTER too strong on the road, but he usually gets good support so I'll go OVER.

OVER 9.5 EVEN

NYY at FLORIDA

Going against hot YANKS as they had lots of players in SEA two nites ago and now must head south. I like FLORIDA to regroup and take advantage of the home field at a nice price!

FLA +145

T BAY at MONTREAL

Was planning on playing over here, but reports say MCGRIFF out of lineup (pending trade I assume) so I'll pass on this one.

KC at PITTSBURGH

Royals on major slide losing 7 straight, can't have much confidence going on road. Both pitchers have strong UNDER numbers, mainly based on low run support... let's see it continute for both.

UNDER 9.5 -120

Clev at CINCY

Pass on this game... like the INJUNS but can't lay the wood with COLON who's been terribly lately... he'll probably throw a 3 hit shut out tonite, but I'll wait and see.

Boston at NY METS

Looking to go with METS and Lieter at home against a now struggling WAKEFIELD. METS bats need to wake up tonite against a slow throwing WAKEFIELD. METS have advantage being at home, and no DH, so I'll side with them. Was looking at UNDER, but I'll take the low number with the Home Team.

Mets -120

Baltimore at ATLANTA

ATL bats have been supporting MADDUX well lately and I like them to continue that trend against PONSON. I'm expecting 6 from the BRAVES and will take my chances that BALT gets to MADDUX or BP for 2 or 3. Can't lay big price on MADDUX right now, as he's been somewhat of a hard luck guy.

BALT OVER 7 -120

 

[Randercity]

adding...

MINN -120 (probably too late)
STL -1.5 +120
CARDS seem to hit best with KILE at home

Colorado under 11 -120

Astacio has been tough outside of COORS!