Thur

[gsp]

Spock, I consider the Tor over to be the dumbest play I have made all year. Mon, I reminded myself to not touch anything Tor was involved in until Carter had been back a couple of days. That's the reason I didn't play Orl. Also, if I had stopped to think, it was a given that Tor would be out of sync. Today, I go back and find that Tor games have only gone over 193 four times in their last 30. The only play I really liked yesterday was Atl u so I became stupid because I wanted to play more games and it cost me. Here's what really PO'd me. This morning I looked at my orignal leans on toals yesterday (which I didn't like) and they went 7-2. For good or bad, here's where I am at now.

SA +2 adv and 0. (the way Clev plays at home makes this hard for me to accept at -5 or 6). I have several ways to determine sides. Two of them I pay a lot of attention too. Tonight one of them calls it a toss-up and the other says SA can give up to 8. Still it comes up +2 and I will probably pass.

Mia o176' (real close over signal and bucking a 65% under trend that has hit 7 in a row). Trying to decide if it is time to fade the trend. I also show Mia able to win by 10 but you know how I feel about NY and LAL. When they should, they don't. When they can't, they do.

Mem +1 adv and u
Can't give Mem with all the injuries over 85 and Utah should be real relaxed being back home after the long road trip. Look for Sloan to ask them to play d in the first half and relax and enjoy the game if they have a double digit lead in the sec.

Ind +1 adv and u
Trades make this a tough call. I'll probably be in the minority on this one.

Be back with the real stuff after a while.

 

[Dragon]

Agree with your leans. Like San Antonio a lot, but Cleveland is such a shady team at times. They can play like champs in the 1st half and hang with anyone, yet they completely fold in the 2nd half at other times. Tough call laying 5 or 6 but like the Spurs. Indiana was another play that caught my eye. Them getting 3.5-4 points seems money, but I've jumped on games like this very often only to see them wind up as a double digit loss. Good luck.

 

[Spock]

Hi guys

agree totally. gsp sorry about Toronto man .. since I live here and a couple of office buds had gone to game yesterday I was interested in the result ..

I have been following them since 1995 and I try to avoid them as much as possible. Seems to be the Canadian weather .. all teams here are very talented but highly inconsistent .. and cannot have room for inconsistent teams in capping .. one thing the Raptors have been good at is being on the Under in totals.

1. I am leaning towards the Over in the Miami game also. I think this game to go around 182 points. But am still debating whether to play it. NYK seem to play more better on the road (not in terms of wins but in terms of scoring points) .. Also one advantage I see here in terms of scoring points is that NYK being primaraly a jump shooting team can score more (assuming they shoot at least 45% FG) than teams who play an inside game in the paint as Miami defence is more prevalent in the D.

Miami should be able to grab offensive boards and have some easy putbacks.

2. Am leaning towards the Over in the Phoenix/Indiana game more than the totals. Over 184 i think ..
Joe Johnson has been scoring for Phoenix ever since he was traded and Indiana has new personnel who can score .. Brad Miller has been playing well and getting lots of second chance opportunities due to offensive rebounding.

Dont see a lot of defence in this game and I think final score may be around 190 or so.

Dont have a lot of trends right now but some are :
The over is 4-2 in the past eight meetings.
The over is 5-2 when the Pacers are on two days rest.
The over is 21-10 when PHO is on a days rest.

Also Phoenix has been averaging 87 points in the last 5 games.
Part of this i think is .. 2 times they played SA who has good defence than most other teams. Other two games against Chicago and Memphis I think was partly due to the transition phase after the roster has been changed. Plus Phoenix are more confortable scoring at home.

Indiana has been averaging 98 points in the last 5 games.

Comments ?

Cheers !!!
Spock

 

[Antonio]

Joe help me stay away from taking Clev tonite.. The only side i truly like, there in a good spot in this one. And with the majority laying the chalk. Find me a reason to just pass please

 

[layinwood]

Antonio, take the Cavs. You know that the Spurs are looking at the game tomorrow night against the Twolves. Cavs are off a big loss. Atleast go small

 

[gsp]

Now for the real stuff. Line movement has hurt a couple. The Cle o which I liked a lot is gone. My stuff said take Phoe up to 3. I don't want their help but this is just a little too much against me. The rest have remained the same or are a couple of points against me.

NY + 6 Probably a dumb play but no line movement and the public going on Mia looks like what they were after. Line was low anyway.
Mia o 177'
Utah u 182'
Phoe u 185

Good luck everyone

 

[Antonio]

Like them Joe, still undecided on Pho under.