When I screw up I really do it right. Went 1-4 on posted straight bets and 0-4 on pars. That's unacceptable but luckily I came out only 7 units down thanks to SF for a unit and a half on the rl. I'm going to relate how I got myself into that mess yesterday in hopes that it might help some of you be a little more successful with your capping.
The day started off fairly normal with the help showing Cinn (strong) under (so-so) Mil (strong) under (weak at best) Sea (a little to the weak side but but strong enough to keep me off Balt) Tx (strong) Tor o (so-so) and SF under (I hadn't had time to totally finish this game because I was trying to post them before the first game started) and I hadn't done the Stl game yet. Both SF and Stl came out strong but I forgot to post them. Normally the strong plays would be considered for straight bets as well as in a par. The so-so's would be put in a par if used at all. The others are just warning signs to stay away from playing the other side no matter how good it looks. If there's no help (that means the help could go either way) I might play a game anyway if the situation is right.
Here's where I really started getting in trouble. There's many cappers on the inter-net (not only here at Jack's) that I have tremendous respect for. I try to check them out everyday. They all loved Bos and most the over and the under in Cinn. Normally, the way I would have played the first game of the day would have been a straight bet on Cinn and Cinn and under as part of a par. Go with the stronger of the two as insurance against the par not hitting. None of them seemed to like Cinn very much, in fact most of them were on Wash but most of them did like the under. So what does idiot capper do? Instead of putting it in a par and letting it kill me once, I straight bet the weaker of the two and let it kill me twice. And then I really let the stupidity take over. Remember I said they all loved Bos and over. Well, par #2 consisted of Mil and under, Bos and over, and Tx. Oh well, the par would have bit the dust anyway but the real stupidity was straight betting what would normally only been in one par (would up killing two) and for two units each. Because I was playing them for two units each I didn't put a penny on Stl on the rl. SF under was a play that also was a situation that has been very good to me this year and I'll play it everytime it comes up even when it loses. So you see, my pars would have lost anyway but changing my straight bets made me a loser for the day when I should have broke even or maybe picked up a unit or two.
My point is this. If what you are doing is working for you don't let others opinions totally disrupt what you're doing. You might consider up-grading or down-grading but don't get stupid about it. Bos should have only been in a par and Tor over a 1 unit play at most. Difference, 3 units on the day and I only lost 7 as it was.
Now that that's out of the way, here's what I show for today. Damn, I just missed the Cubs game. I didn't realize it was this late. Tor and under, Oak, Ari under, Tx, CWS and under, SF.
Now watch, the Cubs game would have been a gift.
The day started off fairly normal with the help showing Cinn (strong) under (so-so) Mil (strong) under (weak at best) Sea (a little to the weak side but but strong enough to keep me off Balt) Tx (strong) Tor o (so-so) and SF under (I hadn't had time to totally finish this game because I was trying to post them before the first game started) and I hadn't done the Stl game yet. Both SF and Stl came out strong but I forgot to post them. Normally the strong plays would be considered for straight bets as well as in a par. The so-so's would be put in a par if used at all. The others are just warning signs to stay away from playing the other side no matter how good it looks. If there's no help (that means the help could go either way) I might play a game anyway if the situation is right.
Here's where I really started getting in trouble. There's many cappers on the inter-net (not only here at Jack's) that I have tremendous respect for. I try to check them out everyday. They all loved Bos and most the over and the under in Cinn. Normally, the way I would have played the first game of the day would have been a straight bet on Cinn and Cinn and under as part of a par. Go with the stronger of the two as insurance against the par not hitting. None of them seemed to like Cinn very much, in fact most of them were on Wash but most of them did like the under. So what does idiot capper do? Instead of putting it in a par and letting it kill me once, I straight bet the weaker of the two and let it kill me twice. And then I really let the stupidity take over. Remember I said they all loved Bos and over. Well, par #2 consisted of Mil and under, Bos and over, and Tx. Oh well, the par would have bit the dust anyway but the real stupidity was straight betting what would normally only been in one par (would up killing two) and for two units each. Because I was playing them for two units each I didn't put a penny on Stl on the rl. SF under was a play that also was a situation that has been very good to me this year and I'll play it everytime it comes up even when it loses. So you see, my pars would have lost anyway but changing my straight bets made me a loser for the day when I should have broke even or maybe picked up a unit or two.
My point is this. If what you are doing is working for you don't let others opinions totally disrupt what you're doing. You might consider up-grading or down-grading but don't get stupid about it. Bos should have only been in a par and Tor over a 1 unit play at most. Difference, 3 units on the day and I only lost 7 as it was.
Now that that's out of the way, here's what I show for today. Damn, I just missed the Cubs game. I didn't realize it was this late. Tor and under, Oak, Ari under, Tx, CWS and under, SF.
Now watch, the Cubs game would have been a gift.
