Thurs May 29

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Can't bitch about no breaks anymore. Got my share yesterday. Saves my May. 8-1. Think I'm around even, now, this May. Last May was my only losing month so looking forward to June ad payoutium.

Today looks cheesy.
'capped 4 that interested me.

Padres 54% (preferred 'nats but Pad's hitting okay lately save yestersmoked)
Cubs 67% (-144)+8...only real value of the bunch; Rox order sucked and now quite hurt
D'Backs 60% (-185)-5...G-men hitting well recently--better than 'Zona; back-to-back lefties for both squads
Rays 61% (-124)+5...minimal value, really, with Danks maybe the better SP

Thought I'd try the Rays and the Cubs P'ed w/'Zona but might take the money and hide under a rock for today. Some value with Cubs, by these numbers, but Marquis doesn't often bring glee...Rox are quite fadeable, currently, though.

No clue what I'll do save for downing a brew or two.

Lakers under 193.5?...haven't touched the NBA for a while but indications are there for same.

1-a-blessing, 2-a-blessing, 3-a-blessing...

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Reds 61% (-181)-4 last 6 games Pitt has scored 3 fewers runs than Reds but 7-day (6-game) OPS favours Pitt by exactly 100 points (espn--likely excludes Wed result for all numbers). edge Redsticks but not by a great factor and Harang working on 3-days rest after a relief appearance (after only 2 day rest) where he threw more than 60 pitches. slight edge to Pitt's pen so this game looks too expensive.

Searching...just not finding.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

astros 51% (-107)-1
...very tough to rate Oswalt right now...is he hurt or isn't he hurt?...2 crap games in a row but vs 2 solid-hitting clubs (Tex at Arlington then Phillies at home, in another hitter's park); still, he's already allowed more HR's this season (15) then he allowed all of last season in triple the number of innings; bullpen slightly favours Cards though recent hitting numbers favours Astros; Wainwright shut-down, yesterday, gives Cards more options in relief for today; coin-tosser and line presents no value

looking for something...still not finding.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Mets 58% (-112)+5
--speaking of pitchers difficult to rate...what to make of Penny's current struggles; Mets have already had their way with him and get to stay home, off a nice come-from-behind win while the Dodgers travel after dropping a heart-breaker; bullpens favour the Dodgers but hitting favours the Mets, especially recent hitting numbers; not a big fan of Vargas those he's been decent, though he's faced no one of significance; a bit of value with the Mets but Penny reversing his recent struggles might be even less surprising than Oswalt turning things around; really looking like a sticks play if you're into it, but the Mets vs R is nothing special this season...or even last

not finding too much.
maybe best to wait for the 1,600 or so games remaining after today's brutish board.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

gotta push my luck--what else is it for?

Cubs -142 not tons/a little less than that


Cubs doing better vs L than R, like the righty Lowe they faced yesterday. Rox look VERY fadeable right now. Francis has been very consistent in his mediocrity. Couple of key bullpen members readily avaiable for the Cubs, e.g. Marmol.

Mets and Rays quite tempting.
Same with Jays/A's over the 8--ump Layne not bad for that but Jays and overs just has a bad ring to it these days.

GL

 

[LA Burns]

Extrapolater -

A nice compliment you have there for Francis describing his performance as "consistently mediocre" - I might have been a little more harsh

Was wondering if you would mind shooting me an email - have a question for you - think Jack should have it - or if I could shoot one up North to you

GL with the Cubbies tonight - Rox definitely not playing good ball right now and Wrigley is a rockin


Burns

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

LA.B.,
I'll contact Jack if I don't hear from you first.
Drop me word if you like.