Thurs Night HALFTIME
- Thread starter Randercity
- Start date
CAR -3.5 / 21
CAR -3.5 / 21
Interesting FH if you're a DOLPHIN fan or you have money on them. I'm neither.... I played CAR and felt they would continue to play the way they have the past few weeks, they beat ATL/ARI and lose only to N.O. on the road. Their offense was clicking and the defense was good enough to get by. Tonight, they look lost, and I hope it's correctable. IF they can come out and hit some passes, and why can't they against this MIA DEF, then they should get back into this game. This could prove fatal since I already have money on CAR, but I'm taking them again at the half, hoping they can at least pull within 7 and cover 2H.
CAR -3.5 *** TRIPLE PLAY ***
OVER 21 * Single Play *
G/L :SIB
CAR -3.5 / 21
Interesting FH if you're a DOLPHIN fan or you have money on them. I'm neither.... I played CAR and felt they would continue to play the way they have the past few weeks, they beat ATL/ARI and lose only to N.O. on the road. Their offense was clicking and the defense was good enough to get by. Tonight, they look lost, and I hope it's correctable. IF they can come out and hit some passes, and why can't they against this MIA DEF, then they should get back into this game. This could prove fatal since I already have money on CAR, but I'm taking them again at the half, hoping they can at least pull within 7 and cover 2H.
CAR -3.5 *** TRIPLE PLAY ***
OVER 21 * Single Play *
G/L :SIB
Rander: You went against nolan dalla's
SECOND-HALF BETTING ANGLE #4
This might be the most powerful angle on the entire page. I will admit that I have not used this angle myself (since I just recently became aware of it) -- so I want to confess that I am on new territory here. Everything with this angle lines up perfectly -- the past history, the key numbers concept, and the logic. It is so powerful, in fact, that I considered keeping this private because I know other sites will cut and paste this angle and tout it as their own.
Again, I credit Mr. Granowski for running the necessary data. However, unless I am mistaken he did not highlight this eye-catching statistic from comparing the points scored in first-half to the eventual points scored in the second-half. Yes, indeed -- the type of game you see in one half is likely to be the type of game you will see in the next.
When 17 points (exactly) are scored in the first-half, the game is more likely to go UNDER in the second-half. (**Caveat: the game is not a blowout, defined at one team leading the other by more than 16 points)
(17-year results)
116 OVERS
150 UNDERS
56.3 percent UNDERS
When 13 points (exactly) are scored in the first-half, the game is more likely to go UNDER in the second-half
(17-year results)
132 OVERS
167 UNDERS
55.8 percent UNDERS
Interesting enough -- most of the other points scored (first-half) totals were about a 50-50 split. So, why are the games where 13 or 17 points scored in the first-half MORE LIKELY to go UNDER the total in the second-half than average?
First, oddsmakers are probably going to post a total slightly higher than 17 for the second half. If 13 points were scored in the first-half, it's unlikely to see anything less than 17 (although you will see 16 and 16.5 occasionally). This let's you capture the 17, the most common number to come up in half totals. If a game which was expected to be high scoring produces only 13 or 17 points, oddmakers may also over-react and expect an explosion to occur in the second-half. You will often see totals in the 20s when just 13 points were scored in the first-half.
If 13 or 17 points were scored, it usually means it's a CLOSE game where one misstep can cost the team the win. It means the score at halftime is probably either 7-6, 10-3, or 10-7. It?s a one possession ballgame. Under these circumstances, coaches and offensive coordinators are reluctant to take chances. They want a long sustained drives to take the lead -- or ball control to keep the lead. They value field goals and will gear the offense towards picking up 3-points -- which can be critical in a 10-7 type of game. They are not at all interested in airing out the offense and risking what is currently a very close contest. These factors contribute to UNDERS occurring in the second half.
Yes I know...
Yes I know...
I have a lot of respect for NOLAN and his trends, but those were from ten years ago. I have a new trend.... I'm like 67% on HT plays right now for the season!! :mj07: 22-9 +36 UNITS the past two weekends for 71%!
Those are REAL and up to date Trends right there!
I mainly played the OVER (and I did tread lightly) because I like CAR to come back in the game. If they come back, and do win the game, well, one score by MIAMI and it's automatically an OVER. Guess I'm dreaming though since JAKE is being the OLD JAKE. That INT inside the 5 was horrible... A TD there and I was starting to look better and better...
Good luck!
P.S. thanks for posting Nolan's notes. I did copy and paste them.
Yes I know...
I have a lot of respect for NOLAN and his trends, but those were from ten years ago. I have a new trend.... I'm like 67% on HT plays right now for the season!! :mj07: 22-9 +36 UNITS the past two weekends for 71%!
Those are REAL and up to date Trends right there!
I mainly played the OVER (and I did tread lightly) because I like CAR to come back in the game. If they come back, and do win the game, well, one score by MIAMI and it's automatically an OVER. Guess I'm dreaming though since JAKE is being the OLD JAKE. That INT inside the 5 was horrible...
A TD there and I was starting to look better and better...Good luck!
P.S. thanks for posting Nolan's notes. I did copy and paste them.
so far I'm getting NOLAN'D though....
so far I'm getting NOLAN'D though....
amazing... CAR can't get a FD on 3rd and 1, and it's tough to score from inside your own 5.
Going to need a T.O. from MIAMI right here to have a shot the way Jake is playing.... :shrug:
Come on CAR... pick six right here!! :00hour
so far I'm getting NOLAN'D though....
amazing... CAR can't get a FD on 3rd and 1, and it's tough to score from inside your own 5.
Going to need a T.O. from MIAMI right here to have a shot the way Jake is playing.... :shrug:
Come on CAR... pick six right here!! :00hour
I was joking, I actually follow a lot of your half time plays over the last few years and would venture to guess no one has a better ht % than you !I have a lot of respect for NOLAN and his trends, but those were from ten years ago. I have a new trend.... I'm like 67% on HT plays right now for the season!! :mj07: 22-9 +36 UNITS the past two weekends for 71%!
Those are REAL and up to date Trends right there!
I mainly played the OVER (and I did tread lightly) because I like CAR to come back in the game. If they come back, and do win the game, well, one score by MIAMI and it's automatically an OVER. Guess I'm dreaming though since JAKE is being the OLD JAKE. That INT inside the 5 was horrible...
Good luck!
P.S. thanks for posting Nolan's notes. I did copy and paste them.
GL brother
Very sweet!!
Very sweet!!
The HT KING continues to REIGN!!!
Too bad I lost money on the game with CAR and the teaser, but it's nice to hit the HT to make up for part of it. Lots of luck involved really, the long run by RICKY, then the TD & 2 PT conversion... and alas, that kick! :00hour WOWZER....
I'll take it! :toast:
Very sweet!!
The HT KING continues to REIGN!!!
Too bad I lost money on the game with CAR and the teaser, but it's nice to hit the HT to make up for part of it. Lots of luck involved really, the long run by RICKY, then the
TD & 2 PT conversion... and alas, that kick! :00hour WOWZER.... I'll take it! :toast:
