09:00 PM CBB [754] Nebraska -3-110
10:00 PM CBB [758] San Diego -1-110
10:00 PM CBB [769] Loyola Marymount -2.5 -110
11:00 PM CBB [772] USC -7-110
08:35 PM NBA [711] TOTAL o206-110 (Phoenix Suns vrs Dallas Mavericks)
08:05 PM NHL [58] Saint Louis Blues -146
08:35 PM NHL [60] Chicago Blackhawks -185
10:35 PM NHL [62] Los Angeles Kings -235
1 unit bet pays 92 ....betdsi line
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast: :SIB:em71:
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Play: Nebraska -2
Well I do not think this will be a repeat of the Nebraska / Iowa Football Game last month where Iowa buried the Huskers by 30 points. My beloved Huskers are on a roll. A shocking home loss to Gardner Webb was followed up by 2 monster road wins at Indiana and Maryland for NU to open up the Big 10 season 2-0 and Tai Webster has been playing lights out for them and was offensive player of the week in the Big 10 last week, and has scored double digits in 15 straight games dating back to last year!
Iowa is allowing, hang on, 90 ppg on the road this year while scoring 72! That is an unreal number and the tale of the tape coming in here tonight, and they face a team on a roll on a very tough home floor at Pinnacle Arena in Lincoln tonight, which is worth 3 points alone. The Huskers defense is much better than Iowa's, they are a battle tested team who has faced a few top 25 teams including Kansas, and I like their momentum and confidence after a shaky start right now.
Loyola Marymount vs. Pepperdine
Play: Loyola Marymount -2?
The Lions are on the road in Malibu taking on a Pepperdine team that finally returns home for the first time since November 27. The Waves have dropped nine in a row SU (1-8 ATS), and defense, or lack thereof, has been the biggest culprit. Pepperdine has allowed an average of 84.3 ppg during the losing streak and have allowed teams to nail 47.6% of their FGA (325th) & a ridiculous 43.1% of their 3-pointers (350th) on the season. The Waves don't rebound well and can't shoot from the stripe, while barely touching 70 ppg. We doubt being reacquainted with home-cooking will get them back on track tonight. Finally, Pepperdine is on a 1-10 ATS slide against teams with a winning record. Loyola-Marymount isn't going to challenge in the WCC, but they're in better shape than Pepperdine.
St. Mary's (-10) over BYU
It's going to be real easy to want to take the underdog in this game. After all, this is a boatload of points to lay to a Cougars team that is just a tick below Gonzaga and St. Mary's when it comes to supremacy in the WCC. BYU is 11-4 SU this year and dominating big man Eric Mika has completely changed the outlook of this team. But St. Mary's has an extra gear. And I think that it will kick in for this game. The Gaels play one of the slowest tempos in the country while BYU plays one of the fastest. But the home team will be able to slow it down and frustrate what is really an inexperienced Cougars team. The home team has won five of six in this series and only one of those five games was decided by fewer than 10 points. That includes a swap of 11-point wins between these two last year. I just think that St. Mary's is going to be very focused for this game and I'm still not sure about BYU playing on the road. I think the public will take one on the chin here as St. Mary's buries BYU by 15.
Item: And speaking of defense, about that Westbrook/Harden showdown?
There shouldn?t be many matchups more fun to watch that Russell Westbrook vs. James Harden, two prime MVP candidates that have been putting up huge numbers. They are both aggressive and love to attack with the ball, all the while not being nearly as adept at guarding people at the other end. So when they go head-to-head there should be explosions, right? There haven?t been, and tonight there may not be one more time.
The first two meetings between these teams were dead Unders, both games played at Oklahoma City ?
Nov 16 OKC (-2.5 and 218) 105-103
Dec 9 HOU (+1.5 and 224) 102-99
Those games fell a collective 33 points below the Total, and you did not have to look much further than that Westbrook/Harden duel to see why ?
FGs TOs
HARDEN 10-39 14
WESTBROOK 17-45 14
How in the hell does that happen? It is actually rather simple ? they don?t guard each other, and there is a two-pronged aspect to the defenses winning the first two battles. First is the fact that both Westbrook and Harden are guarded by two of the best defenders at their positions in the NBA ? Patrick Beverley for the Rockets and Andre Roberson for the Thunder. Those two in particular get up for these games, not just the challenge of taking on one of the league?s best, but also knowing that by playing well they are helping their own teammate in that season-long MVP race. The flip side is that neither Beverley nor Roberson are an offensive threat, which means that the sub-par, and sometimes even matador, defense of Westbrook/Harden does not get exposed.
Despite missing time recently with an injured right wrist Beverley is expected to play tonight (from Mike D?Antoni, who got emphatic at the end - "I think he'll be ready. If everything goes well, he should be ready. He's going to play. He's going to play. Yeah, he's going to play."), and in truth what is happening at Houston goes beyond the individual matchup with the Thunder ? despite the expectations of being the NBA?s version of the Harlem Globetrotters entering the season, the Rockets are becoming a factor on the defensive end. Since the start of December the Houston defense rates #4 across the NBA, and might trend even better when Clint Capela returns.
Now to set tonight?s perspective ? despite the first two games between these teams playing under by 33 points, and the Rockets showing major improvements on the defensive end, the Total is sitting at 225, higher than either of those earlier encounters. That helps to set up the value for #707 OKC Team Total Under (8:05 Eastern), with 107.5 out there this morning and value holding at 106 or better, because there is also one other element that is starting to be of major interest in the tracking ? might Westbrook be wearing down?
Westbrook has been carrying a remarkable load this season, his court-time only up a trickle from LY, but the effort required much more (5.9 more FG attempts per game, 3.5 more FT attempts, 2.6 more rebounds). But he appeared gassed at the end of last night?s loss at Charlotte, when the Thunder were badly out-played in the fourth quarter, and finished just 11-31 from the field. That takes his last three road games to a rather startling 25-79, with 15 turnovers vs. only 14 assists.
Let?s add context ? instead of getting some down-time around the holidays it has been a brutal grind for OKC, which played on Christmas day and New Year?s eve. This will be the 11th straight game since the Thunder last had consecutive days off, and the ninth straight with a court change. Hence fatigue can be a major issue, especially running into a Houston team that was off both Tuesday and Wednesday to dial up a defensive game plan.
For those that don?t have access to Team Totals there is still reasonable value for a full game Under 225 or better, but there is the risk of the game breaking open late, which has happened a few times recently in a strong Houston run ? the Rockets have put up 131 (Suns), 140 (short-handed Clippers) and 129 (Knicks) in some recent home blowouts.
James Harden To Score 35 Or More Points And Houston Rockets To Win +250
So that pitches the Harden part of the bet at +180. Is there enough of a handicap to put this in play? At first glance it looks a fit.
Here is the concern with Harden at 35 - not only does he have to fight through Roberson, but if the game is in hand late, which may be the case for an 8.5-point favorite playing into a tired road team, could Harden get an early exit? The Rockets have to play at Orlando tomorrow, which might be on the mind of D'Antoni if his team has command of the proceedings down the stretch.
OKC only gets one day off before being back in action at home vs. Denver on Saturday, then back out on the road Monday as part of a ridiculous cycle that will take them through 23 straight games with court changes. They will go a little more than 6 weeks without having back-to-back off days at home.
Minnesota at San Jose
Play: San Jose -135
The Minnesota Wild had recorded 12 consecutive victories before running into the even hotter Columbus Blue Jackets on New Year's Eve. This will be the Wild's first game since the defeat, and we can note that they're 2-11 in their last 13 games when playing on three or more days rest and they've struggled with the Sharks in recent season's, particularly at SAP Center where they've won just three of the last 18 encounters. San Jose is coming off back-to-back losses to Los Angeles, so the Sharks will be desperate to get back in the win column.
Goaltending advantage San Jose as Devan Dubnyk is 5-8-2 with a 3.07 GAA against the Sharks while Martin Jones is 2-1-0 with a fantastic 1.38 career GAA against the Wild. Great price on the Sharks to take a big bite of the Wild at home.
Brooklyn Nets have a league worst 1-16 road mark, and are just 4-20 in their last 24 games (!)
Phoenix is on a 16-6 run over the total on the road and the 20-8 in the Suns last 28 vs. the Western Conference.
The Gonzaga Bulldogs are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 overall
Ohio is just 1-5 against the spread their last 6 games, and only 3-5 in their lined home games this season...Even with the setback to the Golden Gophers, Purdue stands at 7-1-1 against the spread their last 9 Big Ten battles, and they have covered 4 of 5 this season on the road, and 3 of last 4 vs Ohio.
Oilers are 3-13 in the last 16 meetings with Bruins
The Columbus Blue Jackets are 22-4 in their last 26 overall and 10-1 in their last 11 road games, and are on a historic 16-0 run...and it ends tonight! (but I wouldn't bet it)
Sabres are 1-10 in the last 11 meetings with Chicago...Under is 14-4-3 in Sabres last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.
Detroit Red Wings at Los Angeles - Home team is 11-2 in the last 13 meetings.
Phoenix at Dallas
Play: Over 204?
Dallas is getting healthier and has its offense clicking, scoring over 100 points in 4 of the last 5. That included a 113-105 win over Washington the last game, sailing over. The Over is 6-2-1 in the Mavericks last 9 home games. Phoenix loves to run, #10 in the NBA in scoring, but defenseless, surrendering 112 ppg (second most in the NBA). Phoenix is on a 16-6 run over the total on the road and the 20-8 in the Suns last 28 vs. the Western Conference.
Oklahoma City vs. Houston
Pick: Houston
Former teammates James Harden and Russell Westbrook have emerged as the top two candidates for the 2017 NBA MVP Award. Westbrook is the favorite, as he's rewriting the record books with 16 triple-doubles so far. Harden though has triple-doubles in each of his last three games, including a record breaking 53 points, 16 rebounds and 17 assists at MSG in a 129-122 win over the Knicks on Saturday. It's performances like that (at the Mecca of basketball) that the media will remember when it comes time to cast votes for MVP. The Thunder are currently sitting in the 6th spot in the West, but their schedule gets a little tougher. They will play 10 of their next 13 games on the road, and they have a losing road record overall. They come into Houston as losers of three straight road games, and playing on back-to-back nights against a Rockets team riding a five game winning streak isn't an easy task. The Thunder are 0-8 ATS in the last eight meetings in this series, and they are just 1-5 ATS in their last six road games (vs teams above .500).
Hornets vs. Pistons
Play: Hornets +4.5
Detroit's defensive issues have been the main reason why the team has struggled this season with consistency. Motowns HC Van Gundy has been frustrated by his ability to get his team to stop opponents, even after implementing some lineup changes. CHARLOTTE is 9-1 ATS L/10 versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game. I also know that Charlotte's defense, is nothing special either, but Detroit has not shown an ability to take advantage of porous stop units, covering just 5 of 18 games against sides that allow 103 or more points per game. Detroit has lost 11 of their L/15 games overall, and once again look like weak favorites vs a Hornets side, that took out a tough Oklahoma City team last night by DDs. Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover
San Antonio @ Denver
Pick: San Antonio -7
While the Tim Duncan era may have come to an end in San Antonio, the winning has not as the Spurs are 28-7 on the season. The Spurs aren't just winning at home, they carry a 16-3 road mark heading into Denver. The Nuggets have not been able to get anything going at 14-21. They are not in a good spot here vs. a San Antonio team that is 7-0 on the road vs .500 or less teams, outscoring them in blowout fashion by 11.4 points per game. The Spurs have not been effected by the Denver altitude, and have owned the Nuggets when playing in Denver where they are a resounding and eye-opening 30-14 SU, and 31-12-1 ATS in their last 44 trips. They are also a perfect 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS here in their last 10 as road chalk.
10:00 PM CBB [758] San Diego -1-110
10:00 PM CBB [769] Loyola Marymount -2.5 -110
11:00 PM CBB [772] USC -7-110
08:35 PM NBA [711] TOTAL o206-110 (Phoenix Suns vrs Dallas Mavericks)
08:05 PM NHL [58] Saint Louis Blues -146
08:35 PM NHL [60] Chicago Blackhawks -185
10:35 PM NHL [62] Los Angeles Kings -235
1 unit bet pays 92 ....betdsi line
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast: :SIB:em71:
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
Play: Nebraska -2
Well I do not think this will be a repeat of the Nebraska / Iowa Football Game last month where Iowa buried the Huskers by 30 points. My beloved Huskers are on a roll. A shocking home loss to Gardner Webb was followed up by 2 monster road wins at Indiana and Maryland for NU to open up the Big 10 season 2-0 and Tai Webster has been playing lights out for them and was offensive player of the week in the Big 10 last week, and has scored double digits in 15 straight games dating back to last year!
Iowa is allowing, hang on, 90 ppg on the road this year while scoring 72! That is an unreal number and the tale of the tape coming in here tonight, and they face a team on a roll on a very tough home floor at Pinnacle Arena in Lincoln tonight, which is worth 3 points alone. The Huskers defense is much better than Iowa's, they are a battle tested team who has faced a few top 25 teams including Kansas, and I like their momentum and confidence after a shaky start right now.
Loyola Marymount vs. Pepperdine
Play: Loyola Marymount -2?
The Lions are on the road in Malibu taking on a Pepperdine team that finally returns home for the first time since November 27. The Waves have dropped nine in a row SU (1-8 ATS), and defense, or lack thereof, has been the biggest culprit. Pepperdine has allowed an average of 84.3 ppg during the losing streak and have allowed teams to nail 47.6% of their FGA (325th) & a ridiculous 43.1% of their 3-pointers (350th) on the season. The Waves don't rebound well and can't shoot from the stripe, while barely touching 70 ppg. We doubt being reacquainted with home-cooking will get them back on track tonight. Finally, Pepperdine is on a 1-10 ATS slide against teams with a winning record. Loyola-Marymount isn't going to challenge in the WCC, but they're in better shape than Pepperdine.
St. Mary's (-10) over BYU
It's going to be real easy to want to take the underdog in this game. After all, this is a boatload of points to lay to a Cougars team that is just a tick below Gonzaga and St. Mary's when it comes to supremacy in the WCC. BYU is 11-4 SU this year and dominating big man Eric Mika has completely changed the outlook of this team. But St. Mary's has an extra gear. And I think that it will kick in for this game. The Gaels play one of the slowest tempos in the country while BYU plays one of the fastest. But the home team will be able to slow it down and frustrate what is really an inexperienced Cougars team. The home team has won five of six in this series and only one of those five games was decided by fewer than 10 points. That includes a swap of 11-point wins between these two last year. I just think that St. Mary's is going to be very focused for this game and I'm still not sure about BYU playing on the road. I think the public will take one on the chin here as St. Mary's buries BYU by 15.
Item: And speaking of defense, about that Westbrook/Harden showdown?
There shouldn?t be many matchups more fun to watch that Russell Westbrook vs. James Harden, two prime MVP candidates that have been putting up huge numbers. They are both aggressive and love to attack with the ball, all the while not being nearly as adept at guarding people at the other end. So when they go head-to-head there should be explosions, right? There haven?t been, and tonight there may not be one more time.
The first two meetings between these teams were dead Unders, both games played at Oklahoma City ?
Nov 16 OKC (-2.5 and 218) 105-103
Dec 9 HOU (+1.5 and 224) 102-99
Those games fell a collective 33 points below the Total, and you did not have to look much further than that Westbrook/Harden duel to see why ?
FGs TOs
HARDEN 10-39 14
WESTBROOK 17-45 14
How in the hell does that happen? It is actually rather simple ? they don?t guard each other, and there is a two-pronged aspect to the defenses winning the first two battles. First is the fact that both Westbrook and Harden are guarded by two of the best defenders at their positions in the NBA ? Patrick Beverley for the Rockets and Andre Roberson for the Thunder. Those two in particular get up for these games, not just the challenge of taking on one of the league?s best, but also knowing that by playing well they are helping their own teammate in that season-long MVP race. The flip side is that neither Beverley nor Roberson are an offensive threat, which means that the sub-par, and sometimes even matador, defense of Westbrook/Harden does not get exposed.
Despite missing time recently with an injured right wrist Beverley is expected to play tonight (from Mike D?Antoni, who got emphatic at the end - "I think he'll be ready. If everything goes well, he should be ready. He's going to play. He's going to play. Yeah, he's going to play."), and in truth what is happening at Houston goes beyond the individual matchup with the Thunder ? despite the expectations of being the NBA?s version of the Harlem Globetrotters entering the season, the Rockets are becoming a factor on the defensive end. Since the start of December the Houston defense rates #4 across the NBA, and might trend even better when Clint Capela returns.
Now to set tonight?s perspective ? despite the first two games between these teams playing under by 33 points, and the Rockets showing major improvements on the defensive end, the Total is sitting at 225, higher than either of those earlier encounters. That helps to set up the value for #707 OKC Team Total Under (8:05 Eastern), with 107.5 out there this morning and value holding at 106 or better, because there is also one other element that is starting to be of major interest in the tracking ? might Westbrook be wearing down?
Westbrook has been carrying a remarkable load this season, his court-time only up a trickle from LY, but the effort required much more (5.9 more FG attempts per game, 3.5 more FT attempts, 2.6 more rebounds). But he appeared gassed at the end of last night?s loss at Charlotte, when the Thunder were badly out-played in the fourth quarter, and finished just 11-31 from the field. That takes his last three road games to a rather startling 25-79, with 15 turnovers vs. only 14 assists.
Let?s add context ? instead of getting some down-time around the holidays it has been a brutal grind for OKC, which played on Christmas day and New Year?s eve. This will be the 11th straight game since the Thunder last had consecutive days off, and the ninth straight with a court change. Hence fatigue can be a major issue, especially running into a Houston team that was off both Tuesday and Wednesday to dial up a defensive game plan.
For those that don?t have access to Team Totals there is still reasonable value for a full game Under 225 or better, but there is the risk of the game breaking open late, which has happened a few times recently in a strong Houston run ? the Rockets have put up 131 (Suns), 140 (short-handed Clippers) and 129 (Knicks) in some recent home blowouts.
James Harden To Score 35 Or More Points And Houston Rockets To Win +250
So that pitches the Harden part of the bet at +180. Is there enough of a handicap to put this in play? At first glance it looks a fit.
Here is the concern with Harden at 35 - not only does he have to fight through Roberson, but if the game is in hand late, which may be the case for an 8.5-point favorite playing into a tired road team, could Harden get an early exit? The Rockets have to play at Orlando tomorrow, which might be on the mind of D'Antoni if his team has command of the proceedings down the stretch.
OKC only gets one day off before being back in action at home vs. Denver on Saturday, then back out on the road Monday as part of a ridiculous cycle that will take them through 23 straight games with court changes. They will go a little more than 6 weeks without having back-to-back off days at home.
Minnesota at San Jose
Play: San Jose -135
The Minnesota Wild had recorded 12 consecutive victories before running into the even hotter Columbus Blue Jackets on New Year's Eve. This will be the Wild's first game since the defeat, and we can note that they're 2-11 in their last 13 games when playing on three or more days rest and they've struggled with the Sharks in recent season's, particularly at SAP Center where they've won just three of the last 18 encounters. San Jose is coming off back-to-back losses to Los Angeles, so the Sharks will be desperate to get back in the win column.
Goaltending advantage San Jose as Devan Dubnyk is 5-8-2 with a 3.07 GAA against the Sharks while Martin Jones is 2-1-0 with a fantastic 1.38 career GAA against the Wild. Great price on the Sharks to take a big bite of the Wild at home.
Brooklyn Nets have a league worst 1-16 road mark, and are just 4-20 in their last 24 games (!)
Phoenix is on a 16-6 run over the total on the road and the 20-8 in the Suns last 28 vs. the Western Conference.
The Gonzaga Bulldogs are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 overall
Ohio is just 1-5 against the spread their last 6 games, and only 3-5 in their lined home games this season...Even with the setback to the Golden Gophers, Purdue stands at 7-1-1 against the spread their last 9 Big Ten battles, and they have covered 4 of 5 this season on the road, and 3 of last 4 vs Ohio.
Oilers are 3-13 in the last 16 meetings with Bruins
The Columbus Blue Jackets are 22-4 in their last 26 overall and 10-1 in their last 11 road games, and are on a historic 16-0 run...and it ends tonight! (but I wouldn't bet it)
Sabres are 1-10 in the last 11 meetings with Chicago...Under is 14-4-3 in Sabres last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.
Detroit Red Wings at Los Angeles - Home team is 11-2 in the last 13 meetings.
Phoenix at Dallas
Play: Over 204?
Dallas is getting healthier and has its offense clicking, scoring over 100 points in 4 of the last 5. That included a 113-105 win over Washington the last game, sailing over. The Over is 6-2-1 in the Mavericks last 9 home games. Phoenix loves to run, #10 in the NBA in scoring, but defenseless, surrendering 112 ppg (second most in the NBA). Phoenix is on a 16-6 run over the total on the road and the 20-8 in the Suns last 28 vs. the Western Conference.
Oklahoma City vs. Houston
Pick: Houston
Former teammates James Harden and Russell Westbrook have emerged as the top two candidates for the 2017 NBA MVP Award. Westbrook is the favorite, as he's rewriting the record books with 16 triple-doubles so far. Harden though has triple-doubles in each of his last three games, including a record breaking 53 points, 16 rebounds and 17 assists at MSG in a 129-122 win over the Knicks on Saturday. It's performances like that (at the Mecca of basketball) that the media will remember when it comes time to cast votes for MVP. The Thunder are currently sitting in the 6th spot in the West, but their schedule gets a little tougher. They will play 10 of their next 13 games on the road, and they have a losing road record overall. They come into Houston as losers of three straight road games, and playing on back-to-back nights against a Rockets team riding a five game winning streak isn't an easy task. The Thunder are 0-8 ATS in the last eight meetings in this series, and they are just 1-5 ATS in their last six road games (vs teams above .500).
Hornets vs. Pistons
Play: Hornets +4.5
Detroit's defensive issues have been the main reason why the team has struggled this season with consistency. Motowns HC Van Gundy has been frustrated by his ability to get his team to stop opponents, even after implementing some lineup changes. CHARLOTTE is 9-1 ATS L/10 versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing 12 or less turnovers/game. I also know that Charlotte's defense, is nothing special either, but Detroit has not shown an ability to take advantage of porous stop units, covering just 5 of 18 games against sides that allow 103 or more points per game. Detroit has lost 11 of their L/15 games overall, and once again look like weak favorites vs a Hornets side, that took out a tough Oklahoma City team last night by DDs. Play on the Charlotte Hornets to cover
San Antonio @ Denver
Pick: San Antonio -7
While the Tim Duncan era may have come to an end in San Antonio, the winning has not as the Spurs are 28-7 on the season. The Spurs aren't just winning at home, they carry a 16-3 road mark heading into Denver. The Nuggets have not been able to get anything going at 14-21. They are not in a good spot here vs. a San Antonio team that is 7-0 on the road vs .500 or less teams, outscoring them in blowout fashion by 11.4 points per game. The Spurs have not been effected by the Denver altitude, and have owned the Nuggets when playing in Denver where they are a resounding and eye-opening 30-14 SU, and 31-12-1 ATS in their last 44 trips. They are also a perfect 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS here in their last 10 as road chalk.
