Why so big on the Vikes Thunder? These teams are headed in opposite directions and Vikes beat them earlier this year in Det. Lions are hot and playing much better. Vikes are overvalued from the hot start.
Saw this elsewhere...
Whether they won or lost last week, DET is 4-1 SU/ATS with revenge under Schwartz when the line is between +/-3 points. The most recent was Wk 8 against SEA when DET was coming off a low scoring MNF loss at CHI (Lions won 28-24). The two times when they rolled into the revenge game off a win the Lions scored 34 and 38 points (both games were in 2011).
DET?s offense is starting to click and the emergence of RB Leshoure helps open up the passing game for Megatron and Stafford?s No. 2 and 3 targets. Guys are realizing they need to step up with Burleson out and I think they?ll be up for this contest huge.
DET is scoring 24.8 PPG on the road against a wide variety of defenses (SF, TEN, PHI and CHI) and the Vikes allow 18.6 PPG at home.
Seeing a big difference between DET?s first four games and their four most recent. They only forced five 3 and outs Wk?s 1-4 but since their Wk 5 bye, the Lions have forced 15 3 and outs.
TOs are still a concern but the Vikes are 28th in league takeaways (1.1 per game) and they are -7 in TOs the past four games.
Big Question: Can DET D stop AP? Peterson has 994 yards (5.2 yards per carry) and 8 TDs in 10 prior meetings with Detroit and this year the Lions D numbers against the run look pretty average. Don?t think you can really ?take AP out of the game? with the way he?s running but I?m banking on the Lions scoring enough points that it forces Ponder into a mistake or two.