Thurs

gsp

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Word of warning. Just saw Roger's plays and decided to go ahead and post this now instead of later.

Everything about the GS game capps as under. LAL has only covered a 200 line once in the last 30 games and has been a consistant winner for me all year playing under 200. Now here is a couple of flys in the ointment. GS has coverd over 200 nine out of their last eleven. Every way I capp this game it comes up under 200 which makes this line opening at 206 look real fishy and here is something I pay a lot of attention to and make money on. A 60 % 3 yr over trend that was right on schedule until 8 games ago. It has now gone under 8 straight. Looks like a good spot for the over and if I don't play it that way, I will pass.

Here's the rest of my leans which have been disasters here lately.

Utah +1 adv and o, NY o, Port +1 adv and o.

Back after a while with the real stuff.
 

nighthorse

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Against a team playing matador defense like GS, it's easy to imagine the youngsters of the Clippers enjoying a more free-wheeling game.

When two styles conflict, Golden States way seems to win the day more often than not. Hard for teams not to take the freebies Golden State regularly hands out.

By the way, this seems to be especially true against teams with big men who can run....GS big men either can't or won't.

Just some thoughts..........
 

gsp

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Nighthorse, I appreciate your thoughts but it's the Lakers tonight.
 

nighthorse

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I just saw that, Duh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

That changes things a bit. The Lakers big men don't run that well. I think Lakers fare much better against GS in the halfcourt. I don't like the over so much now.....in fact, I don't really like it at all.

Haven't seen Shaq lately, would imagine that the toe is slowing him down though. Probably slows down whole team.
 

gsp

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Utah +2'
Port o 205'
SA o 186

Good luck everyone
 
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