Thursday April 26th

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Thursday April 26th 2007

yesterday: 6-4 -1.13
2007: 90-83 +7.05
ml 62-36 +14.75
rl 8-7 +0.4
totals 13-17 -8.37
parlays 7-23 +0.27
system sides now 25-16 (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
--1-2 system sides yesterday as two closers blew it for me in the bottom of the 9th; Cox shoulda taken Hudson out a couple of batters sooner and Hoffman?well?guess that was a bad 2-strike pitch, buddy

system sides

team win% (line)value indicator

Pitt 51% (+108)+2
Stl 52 (+100)+2
Phil 71 (-210)+3 RL 57 (+100)+7
sd 55 (-120)even
Lad 69 (-185)+4 RL 54 (+120)+8
tex 53 (+134)+10
Min 53 (-150)-7
Laa 72 (-188)+6 RL 58 (+103)+8
Oak 63 (-140)+4
bost 62 (-145)+2
Nyy 58 (Burnett-Hughes)(-155)-3
det 62 (-104)+11

system totals

tex@Clev ov10 71% (+113)+24
--ump Iassogna used to be an under-ump (4-6 years ago) but he's been pretty even last few years
seat@Oak un9 68 (+100)+18
--ump Wolf a slight under-ump

Flippin' expensive ones today, aye?
Was thinkin' about playin' the 3 big ones, but I'd need 2 of 3 just to break even.
Maybe put the 3 on a 3-teamer and leave it at that. I dunno.
Could try 3 runlines, maybe.
Gonna have a shower and mull this over.
Be back later to post plays.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

I don't know about this Texas-Cleveland game...
Byrd was great in only start at home (vs cws), and has been better in day games historically; Loe makes one good start vs a team that can't hit (A's)--he's also a little better in day games; Byrd lifetime 1-5 vs Texas in 6 starts with a 7.46 era (and 7 HR in 35 IP)

slight edge Rangers

I think their bats are coming around lately

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

temptation #654,322

temptation #654,322

Cards sure are tempting, for this price at home.

I just don't know if Lohse is gonna throw another beauty. Keisler is nothing special, but Reds aren't hitting lefties this year (.568 OPS, .202 ba)

ump Timmons is a bit of an under play

Cinci travels after, to Pittsburgh, while the Cards stay put to await the Cubs

Cards and under

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

go Senators!

go Senators!

PLAYS

system sides

rangers +134 0.7/0.94
Angels -188 2.82/1.5
tigers -104 2.08/2

other sides

Cards +100 0.75/0.75
padres -120 1.2/1
A's -140 1.4/1
bosox -145 2.17/1.5

totals

cinci@Cards un9 +101 0.75/0.75
wash@Phil un9 -116 0.58/0.5
tex@Clev ov10 +113 0.75/0.85
m's@A's un9 +100 0.75/0.75
bosox@O's un9 +105 0.7/0.73

2-teamer
--Phillies ml
--Dodgers ml
+134
1.3/1.7

6-teamer
--Phillies ml
--Dodgers ml
--A's ml
--Angels ml
--bosox ml
--tigers ml
+1820
0.2/3.64

May the bullpens treat you kindly

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

really like these two

really like these two

adding

2-teamer
--Phillies ml
--Angels ml
+127
2/2.54


Phillies