sure enough, after starting 5-0, i've lost 3 straight bowl games. i can't believe how much chalk i've been eating, and will continue eating. it's one of those rare bowl seasons where the favorites should be the more motivated team in most of these games.
Military Bowl
san jose (-7) 1 unit. everything screams to take bowling green in this game. san jose primarily moves the ball through the air. it's going to be very windy and bowling green has the 7th ranked pass defense in the country. but here's what i think is being overlooked - san jose also has a very good defense. in fact, they already have one shutout not far from dc, as they won at navy 12-0. which was their first ever win on the east coast. i expect a similar type game this afternoon, with a few turnovers from bg qb schilz being the difference.
under (44.5) 2 units. maybe this is too easy. both teams are in the top 25 in scoring defense and in 3rd down defense. we won't see too many sustained drives. especially if the wind is blowing across the field instead of end-to-end.
Military Bowl
san jose (-7) 1 unit. everything screams to take bowling green in this game. san jose primarily moves the ball through the air. it's going to be very windy and bowling green has the 7th ranked pass defense in the country. but here's what i think is being overlooked - san jose also has a very good defense. in fact, they already have one shutout not far from dc, as they won at navy 12-0. which was their first ever win on the east coast. i expect a similar type game this afternoon, with a few turnovers from bg qb schilz being the difference.
under (44.5) 2 units. maybe this is too easy. both teams are in the top 25 in scoring defense and in 3rd down defense. we won't see too many sustained drives. especially if the wind is blowing across the field instead of end-to-end.
