07:10 PM MLB [951] TOTAL o9.5 -115 (STL CARDINALS vrs CIN REDS) ( A WAINWRIGHT -R / B FINNEGAN -L )
08:10 PM MLB [954] MIL BREWERS -112 ( B COLON -R / J NELSON -R )
10:10 PM MLB [962] TOTAL u8-120 (CLE INDIANS vrs SEA MARINERS) ( J TOMLIN -R / N KARNS -R )
08:10 PM MLB [966] MIN TWINS -134 ( T KOEHLER -R / E SANTANA -R )
05:10 PM MLB [967] PIT PIRATES +101 ( J LOCKE -L / C BETTIS -R )
1 unit bet pays 21 ....betdsi line
MLB parlays: 8-63, +1.04 units units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast: :0074x34:
<blockquote class="imgur-embed-pub" lang="en" data-id="dR0GR5Z"><a href="//imgur.com/dR0GR5Z">View post on imgur.com</a></blockquote><script async src="//s.imgur.com/min/embed.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
STL CARDINALS v CIN REDS Over 9.5
-- Waino's been pitching decent of late, but he has bad numbers vs Cinci, and Cinci been hitting great of late (7.3 rpg last 10)...5 of last 7 STL road starts went over.
-- Finnegan's been nothing but over at home. He's off a fine road start, so that usually means a mediocre home start. He has a 3.89 ERA, but a FIP of 5.23, that tells ya a lot, and this STL offense been very consistently decent all season, even more dangerous now with Jhonny Peralta back. And he will help that STL horrible defense, worst in MLB.
-- STL bullpen not bad, but Cinci has the worst in all MLB...
-- HP ump Jerry Meals (in Cinci tonight) over has hit 8-1 overall this season, 18-11 in 2015, 21-9 in 2014, 18-12 in 2013...
-----------
last 2 days Mets have played 3 games - Reed, Familia and Henderson in the bullpen are tired and used...
taking Pittsburgh Pirates +125 and under...in a tough sandwich spot tonight (ya not hear that in baseball too much - Pitt off dispiriting Mets game last night, and home vs STL Friday-Sun), but bats and Locke have been consistent of late. And Pitt has won 8 straight at Coors....both teams played last night, these pitchers will be fresher than the bats. Bettis flew home ahead of team to prepare..
Jeff Locke has 4 previous starts at Colorado - all 4 went under (3.75 ERA, his last start here was 6 scoreless innings)!..and he inexplicably threw a complete game vs Mariners (Pitt had been 268 starts without a starter going the distance until then - with everyone in Pitt that night watching the Penguins playoff game, har har!), and followed that up with 7 inning 3ER vs Angels (7 out of 8 starts he's been reliable now)....so his confidence is way up now, which really helps a pitcher,
and Locke has been working on a new breaking pitch, using it sparingly so far. "it?s velocity (85 MPH), spin rate, and break angle were all noticeably different from those of Locke?s changeup. It was also thrown harder and moved much differently than the knuckle-curveball Locke had used consistently before this season."...Colo's Bettis has been awful his last 3 starts, is 5-5 with a 5.19 ERA in his last 15 starts at Coors.
and lotta bettors hate Locke, automatically bet against him - so we are getting value here too. Line been running in our favor all day
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
The Brewers are:
4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
5-1 in Nelson?s last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
5-1 in Nelson?s last 6 starts vs. National League East.
5-2 in Nelson?s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 3-1-1 in Nelson?s last 5 starts overall.
Nelson generally hasn?t had two bad starts in a row this year. He also have a very good 2.54 ERA in seven home starts. Meanwhile, Colon?s road ERA is about a run higher than his home mark. The Mets are 1-6 in his past seven starts vs. NL Central teams. The Brewers are 5-2 in their past seven game vs. the NL East.
Nelson has made three career starts against the Mets, posting a 1-1 record and 1.80 ERA.
Colon should be plenty fresh considering the Mets lifted him after just five innings and 76 pitches last time out. But that may not necessarily be a good thing. Colon is 2-2 with a 4.09 ERA immediately after starts of 90 or fewer pitches.
Hottest pitcher: Josh Tomlin, Indians (8-1, 3.54 ERA)
Cleveland attempts to pull off a series split at Seattle following consecutive losses, as Tomlin has been nearly unbeatable this season. The Indians own a sterling 9-1 record in Tomlin?s 10 starts, including a 4-0 mark away from Progressive Field. Tomlin bounced back from his first loss of the season to shut down the Royals in a 7-1 victory in his past start, delivering his sixth quality outing of 2016. The last time Tomlin faced the Mariners came back in 2014, as the right-hander tossed a gem by allowing one hit and striking out 11 in a complete game shutout.
Pirates / Rockies Under 11.5
If you get this tonight and you are a scalp player..Grab the Rockies now....They will go off as the favorite IMO by a decent amount....I'm on the under here for this one..Last time Locke pitched here, he was very strong..0ER and only 5 hits allowed...He should feel strong here playing today...This is now a day game and both teams played the late ones last night..Bats will be a tad slower, but some of the players got rested yesterday..Still the pitchers should rule the day...Bettis gets the nod and he got bopped at home Vs. Pitt..He gives up a bunch of hits and runs...Usually the first game for teams coming to Colorado is a Rockies fade, but I feel good here with the situation against the Buccos..Pitt bats should struggle coming across the country playing early..Pitt and the mets last night went late and was a barn burner..How much energy will they have here playing and early game..I feel the pitchers do enough to keep this one under 12 runs.
MINNESOTA -1? +152 over Miami
8:10 PM EST. The Twins are 18-40. Two games ago they were 16-40 and on a pace to lose about 115 games. That would put them among the five worst teams in the history of this great game but the oddsmakers could not care less, as they have Minnesota listed (at the time of this writing) as -140 favorite. The Toronto Blue Jays lost 107 games in 1977 and were never even close to being a -140 favorite the entire year. The point is that the Twinkies are probably going to play over .500 for the rest of the year and that means there should be great profits in playing them. There are too many good players, too much team speed and too many overall good parts for these Twins to be losing so frequently. A big correction has started and the line strongly suggests it will continue here with a sweep of the Fish.
After facing starters Adam Conley and Wei-Yin Chen in the first two games of this series, Minnesota takes a huge step down in class when facing Tom Koehler. Koehler brings a WHIP of 1.60 into this game after 11 starts. In 60 innings this season, Koehler has walked 36 batters and struck out 45. That?s a horrible ratio. For a pitcher lacking swing-and-miss stuff (4% in his last start), good control is vital to have a chance at any success but Koehler doesn?t have that and it?s getting worse. Koehler brings more value to his real-life team as a steady innings eater type than he does to anyone that wants to bet on him. He?s a weak pitcher that is getting weaker and the oddsmakers know it. The Fish look TOO appealing taking back a price like this and that?s a warning sign.
Coldest pitcher: Tom Koehler, Marlins (3-6, 4.50 ERA)
Miami tries to avoid a sweep at Minnesota after losing a pair of high-scoring games the last two nights. Koehler has won once in his past seven trips to the mound with the only victory coming at Atlanta in late May. The Marlins right-hander has walked five batters in four of his last five starts, while owning a 1.80 WHIP away from South Florida. In Koehler?s last 15 starts on the highway since 2015, the Marlins have won only five times.
Biggest UNDER run: Indians (5-0-1 last six)
Cleveland?s offense has dried up since heading to the Pacific Northwest as the Indians have scored only four runs in the first three games against the Mariners, resulting in three ?unders.? The Tribe?s pitching staff went through a solid stretch prior to blowing up the last two games as Cleveland allowed three runs over a four-game stretch that ended Monday. Cleveland has cashed the ?under? in five of the last six games away from Progressive Field, but Josh Tomlin heads to the mound tonight as the right-hander is 7-0-1 to the ?over? in his past eight starts.
Biggest OVER run: Twins (12-3 last 15)
Minnesota seeks its third sweep of the season as the Twins close out their series with the Marlins. The Twins? lineup has exploded recently by scoring 13 runs in the first two wins over Miami, but the pitching has imploded by allowing at least four runs in eight consecutive games. Is another ?over? in store for the Twins tonight? Ervin Santana heads to the mound for Minnesota as the right-hander owns a 5.46 ERA at Target Field this season, while the ?over? has cashed in three of his last four home outings.
08:10 PM MLB [954] MIL BREWERS -112 ( B COLON -R / J NELSON -R )
10:10 PM MLB [962] TOTAL u8-120 (CLE INDIANS vrs SEA MARINERS) ( J TOMLIN -R / N KARNS -R )
08:10 PM MLB [966] MIN TWINS -134 ( T KOEHLER -R / E SANTANA -R )
05:10 PM MLB [967] PIT PIRATES +101 ( J LOCKE -L / C BETTIS -R )
1 unit bet pays 21 ....betdsi line
MLB parlays: 8-63, +1.04 units units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast: :0074x34:
<blockquote class="imgur-embed-pub" lang="en" data-id="dR0GR5Z"><a href="//imgur.com/dR0GR5Z">View post on imgur.com</a></blockquote><script async src="//s.imgur.com/min/embed.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
STL CARDINALS v CIN REDS Over 9.5
-- Waino's been pitching decent of late, but he has bad numbers vs Cinci, and Cinci been hitting great of late (7.3 rpg last 10)...5 of last 7 STL road starts went over.
-- Finnegan's been nothing but over at home. He's off a fine road start, so that usually means a mediocre home start. He has a 3.89 ERA, but a FIP of 5.23, that tells ya a lot, and this STL offense been very consistently decent all season, even more dangerous now with Jhonny Peralta back. And he will help that STL horrible defense, worst in MLB.
-- STL bullpen not bad, but Cinci has the worst in all MLB...
-- HP ump Jerry Meals (in Cinci tonight) over has hit 8-1 overall this season, 18-11 in 2015, 21-9 in 2014, 18-12 in 2013...
-----------
last 2 days Mets have played 3 games - Reed, Familia and Henderson in the bullpen are tired and used...
taking Pittsburgh Pirates +125 and under...in a tough sandwich spot tonight (ya not hear that in baseball too much - Pitt off dispiriting Mets game last night, and home vs STL Friday-Sun), but bats and Locke have been consistent of late. And Pitt has won 8 straight at Coors....both teams played last night, these pitchers will be fresher than the bats. Bettis flew home ahead of team to prepare..
Jeff Locke has 4 previous starts at Colorado - all 4 went under (3.75 ERA, his last start here was 6 scoreless innings)!..and he inexplicably threw a complete game vs Mariners (Pitt had been 268 starts without a starter going the distance until then - with everyone in Pitt that night watching the Penguins playoff game, har har!), and followed that up with 7 inning 3ER vs Angels (7 out of 8 starts he's been reliable now)....so his confidence is way up now, which really helps a pitcher,
and Locke has been working on a new breaking pitch, using it sparingly so far. "it?s velocity (85 MPH), spin rate, and break angle were all noticeably different from those of Locke?s changeup. It was also thrown harder and moved much differently than the knuckle-curveball Locke had used consistently before this season."...Colo's Bettis has been awful his last 3 starts, is 5-5 with a 5.19 ERA in his last 15 starts at Coors.
and lotta bettors hate Locke, automatically bet against him - so we are getting value here too. Line been running in our favor all day
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
The Brewers are:
4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
5-1 in Nelson?s last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
5-1 in Nelson?s last 6 starts vs. National League East.
5-2 in Nelson?s last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 3-1-1 in Nelson?s last 5 starts overall.
Nelson generally hasn?t had two bad starts in a row this year. He also have a very good 2.54 ERA in seven home starts. Meanwhile, Colon?s road ERA is about a run higher than his home mark. The Mets are 1-6 in his past seven starts vs. NL Central teams. The Brewers are 5-2 in their past seven game vs. the NL East.
Nelson has made three career starts against the Mets, posting a 1-1 record and 1.80 ERA.
Colon should be plenty fresh considering the Mets lifted him after just five innings and 76 pitches last time out. But that may not necessarily be a good thing. Colon is 2-2 with a 4.09 ERA immediately after starts of 90 or fewer pitches.
Hottest pitcher: Josh Tomlin, Indians (8-1, 3.54 ERA)
Cleveland attempts to pull off a series split at Seattle following consecutive losses, as Tomlin has been nearly unbeatable this season. The Indians own a sterling 9-1 record in Tomlin?s 10 starts, including a 4-0 mark away from Progressive Field. Tomlin bounced back from his first loss of the season to shut down the Royals in a 7-1 victory in his past start, delivering his sixth quality outing of 2016. The last time Tomlin faced the Mariners came back in 2014, as the right-hander tossed a gem by allowing one hit and striking out 11 in a complete game shutout.
Pirates / Rockies Under 11.5
If you get this tonight and you are a scalp player..Grab the Rockies now....They will go off as the favorite IMO by a decent amount....I'm on the under here for this one..Last time Locke pitched here, he was very strong..0ER and only 5 hits allowed...He should feel strong here playing today...This is now a day game and both teams played the late ones last night..Bats will be a tad slower, but some of the players got rested yesterday..Still the pitchers should rule the day...Bettis gets the nod and he got bopped at home Vs. Pitt..He gives up a bunch of hits and runs...Usually the first game for teams coming to Colorado is a Rockies fade, but I feel good here with the situation against the Buccos..Pitt bats should struggle coming across the country playing early..Pitt and the mets last night went late and was a barn burner..How much energy will they have here playing and early game..I feel the pitchers do enough to keep this one under 12 runs.
MINNESOTA -1? +152 over Miami
8:10 PM EST. The Twins are 18-40. Two games ago they were 16-40 and on a pace to lose about 115 games. That would put them among the five worst teams in the history of this great game but the oddsmakers could not care less, as they have Minnesota listed (at the time of this writing) as -140 favorite. The Toronto Blue Jays lost 107 games in 1977 and were never even close to being a -140 favorite the entire year. The point is that the Twinkies are probably going to play over .500 for the rest of the year and that means there should be great profits in playing them. There are too many good players, too much team speed and too many overall good parts for these Twins to be losing so frequently. A big correction has started and the line strongly suggests it will continue here with a sweep of the Fish.
After facing starters Adam Conley and Wei-Yin Chen in the first two games of this series, Minnesota takes a huge step down in class when facing Tom Koehler. Koehler brings a WHIP of 1.60 into this game after 11 starts. In 60 innings this season, Koehler has walked 36 batters and struck out 45. That?s a horrible ratio. For a pitcher lacking swing-and-miss stuff (4% in his last start), good control is vital to have a chance at any success but Koehler doesn?t have that and it?s getting worse. Koehler brings more value to his real-life team as a steady innings eater type than he does to anyone that wants to bet on him. He?s a weak pitcher that is getting weaker and the oddsmakers know it. The Fish look TOO appealing taking back a price like this and that?s a warning sign.
Coldest pitcher: Tom Koehler, Marlins (3-6, 4.50 ERA)
Miami tries to avoid a sweep at Minnesota after losing a pair of high-scoring games the last two nights. Koehler has won once in his past seven trips to the mound with the only victory coming at Atlanta in late May. The Marlins right-hander has walked five batters in four of his last five starts, while owning a 1.80 WHIP away from South Florida. In Koehler?s last 15 starts on the highway since 2015, the Marlins have won only five times.
Biggest UNDER run: Indians (5-0-1 last six)
Cleveland?s offense has dried up since heading to the Pacific Northwest as the Indians have scored only four runs in the first three games against the Mariners, resulting in three ?unders.? The Tribe?s pitching staff went through a solid stretch prior to blowing up the last two games as Cleveland allowed three runs over a four-game stretch that ended Monday. Cleveland has cashed the ?under? in five of the last six games away from Progressive Field, but Josh Tomlin heads to the mound tonight as the right-hander is 7-0-1 to the ?over? in his past eight starts.
Biggest OVER run: Twins (12-3 last 15)
Minnesota seeks its third sweep of the season as the Twins close out their series with the Marlins. The Twins? lineup has exploded recently by scoring 13 runs in the first two wins over Miami, but the pitching has imploded by allowing at least four runs in eight consecutive games. Is another ?over? in store for the Twins tonight? Ervin Santana heads to the mound for Minnesota as the right-hander owns a 5.46 ERA at Target Field this season, while the ?over? has cashed in three of his last four home outings.
