thursday mlb plays inside........

[gman2]

ytd...26-19 (+13.1 units)
31 dogs / 14 favorites

for thursday afternoon, a favorite:

1 unit....boston (-180) over texas
this is really more of a play against drese. i had to watch this gas can every 5th day for cleveland the last few years. he's got potential, but he just has no clue how to get guys out consistently right now. hes VERY susceptible to the long ball, and hes not exactly off to a blazing start with texas. rangers gave him a lot of run support last outing, but angels had him on the ropes. i just think theres an enormous class edge with lowe vs. drese- and the 9/5 price actually offers some value imo.

adding: 1 unit...arizona (+135) short writeup below

adding: 1 unit....cleveland (+210) aware of change
actually, the pitching change is the reason im playing this one. i would have passed with anderson on the mound, but traber has a shot tonight. he's pitched well out of the bullpen, and now hes getting his chance to start. hes basically a jamie moyer clone. so neither pitcher is gonna be busting 90 mph fast balls tonight. i love the way traber changes speeds and he has good control- so i dont expect to see any unnecessary walks and extra baserunners for seattle. gonna take a shot on this kid. ive been impressed with him so far

adding: 1 unit....new york/anaheim under 10
not really play a "due theory" as far as expecting an under after all these yankee overs, but i do think theyll come down to earth a little tonight. as long as ortiz avoids control problems (which seem to be his achilles heel) this should be a 5-3 type game. yanks already got their series "win". not saying they wont be playing for a sweep but i dont see a slugfest. plus- no giambi in the lineup for the yanks tonight. that takes a big power bat out of there

 

[mjalam]

aren't you worried about the Texas bats knocking Lowe out the

game early, and the bullpen coming on to put the ball on the tee

for the rangers??..just wanted a little insight to how far you

think Lowe will go into the game

 

[Woizeee]

Mjalam if I may drop my 2 cents in this one...., Drese is no good, wouldnt suprise me to see Boston jump on him very early. Texas bullpen is nothing special either. I could see Lowe going a solid 6 IP and having like a 7-3 lead and the bullpen SHOULD be good enough to close it out lol... Lowe's last 2 starts have been solid after a shaky start....

I also like Montreal btw but havent played it yet and how can one not like the yanks lol

 

[gman2]

mjalam:

your point is valid- bostons pen is obviously terrible right now. but i just think drese is such garbage that it wont even matter. if lowe gets in 6 innings- im happy.

 

[homerh]

good luck on your sox

 

[mjalam]

thanks woizee and gman..much appreciated i didn't play the game

but i would've stuck w/texas...




boy lowe is gettin' smacked around..and so was Drese...good

thing they took him out

 

[gman2]

boston play was atrocious. sox actually got to drese like i expected (that guy is a freakin gas can) but holy sh1t was lowe terrible. just another reason not to get chalk happy, no matter how bad the opposing pitcher is. anything can happen.

adding: 1 unit.....arizona (+135) over montreal

vazquez has been lights out this year, but it seems like kim is finally settling into the role of a starter now. his k to walk ratio isnt bad (2 to 1), and his last two outings have been solid (1 run in 6 innings....3 runs in 7 innings) at very worst, kim should be able to keep zona in the game and give the dbacks a shot to win late- as i like zonas bullpen.

 

[mjalam]

i thought lowe would get hit hard like a loose well you know..

anyway good luck on arizona, i'm staying away from that game.

If vasq. is on then it is over from the beginning

 

[gman2]

added cleveland (with billy traber)

 

[gman2]

added: yanks under 10