Thursday - Monday

Smitty

Smitty

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Jan 5, 2005
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happy thanksgiving to all! enjoy the time with your loved ones.

doubt i'll have much time tomorrow, so posting this now...

dallas (-6.5) 3 units
dallas TT over (26.5) 2 units. despite playing ne twice, buffalo still has played the weakest schedule in the league. off the top of my head, i think this is a battle of two teams that haven't beaten a team with a winning record. well, dallas is mediocre, but buffalo is bad. buffalo's run defense is 26th in the league (per dvoa ratings). after the shit show on sunday, i think the bills are going to see a steady diet of elliot. i'm not happy with betting the cowboys two weeks in a row, but i think they're going to score early and often. a few josh allen (do i have the right allen?) turnovers wouldn't hurt either.
 
Smitty

Smitty

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Forum Member
Jan 5, 2005
7,410
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Upstate NY
ugly day on thursday. hopefully today is better.

tampa (ML) 2 units to win 2.
tampa/jax over 48.5) 2 units. well, i got a good line on the bucs and a bad line on the total. as much as i hate relying on winston to put up some points, it really looks like the jags have packed it in for the year. in the last two games, against division rivals indy and tennessee, they gave up 33 and 42 points. if they can't get up to slow those high-powered offenses, what are they gonna do against the bucs? the wind certainly worries me, but i bet this on wednesday. nothing i can do about it now.

SF 1st H (+3.5) 1 unit
SF (+6) 3 units
SF (ML) 1 unit to win 2.2. yeah, one more shot against the ravens. IF garoppolo can avoid turning the ball over, the niners should be in this game to the end. and gould is back, which will shore up the kicking game.

pitt (ML) 1 unit to win 1.1
pitt/cle 1st H under (19.5) 1 unit
pitt/cle under (40) 1 unit. you know how sometimes you make a wager that you just know is going to lose? this under is WAY too easy. the total in this matchup 2 weeks ago was 37, and they combined for 28. so how the hell is the total today 40? oh well, it's only money. i also like the steelers with hodges better than rudolph. can't play them for more than one unit without pouncey though.

tenn/indy 1st H under (21.5) 1 unit
under (43.5) 2 units. big divisional game... two fired up defenses.... i feel a slugfest coming on.

cincinnati (+3.5) 2 units. i can't even play the bengals on the ML. i just can't. but the jets still suck and i have to take the points on principle.

arizona (ML) 2 units to win 2.8. i hate betting against a team one week after they had a terrible performance on national tv. but it's hard to believe the rams haven't packed it in. goff looks like, well, the real jared goff, and donald is going to get worn out chasing murray all over the field. feels like a good spot for the cardinals to get a win.

houston (+3) 2 units
houston (ML) 1 unit to win 1.4. it's hard to trust any team other than the ravens to stick with the run, but if the texans do exactly that, they'll have a good shot at winning this game. unless this poor texans defense proves to be the cure for an anemic pats offense.

minnesota (+3) 2 units
minnesota (ML) 1 unit to win 1.4. i'll say it again... seattle has been remarkably bad at home this year. as long as kirk cousins doesn't COMPLETELY suck tomorrow night, the vikes should get a win. big day for dalvin cook.
 
ejthree

ejthree

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Sep 7, 2006
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Smitty said:
ugly day on thursday. hopefully today is better.

tampa (ML) 2 units to win 2.
tampa/jax over 48.5) 2 units. well, i got a good line on the bucs and a bad line on the total. as much as i hate relying on winston to put up some points, it really looks like the jags have packed it in for the year. in the last two games, against division rivals indy and tennessee, they gave up 33 and 42 points. if they can't get up to slow those high-powered offenses, what are they gonna do against the bucs? the wind certainly worries me, but i bet this on wednesday. nothing i can do about it now.

SF 1st H (+3.5) 1 unit
SF (+6) 3 units
SF (ML) 1 unit to win 2.2. yeah, one more shot against the ravens. IF garoppolo can avoid turning the ball over, the niners should be in this game to the end. and gould is back, which will shore up the kicking game.

pitt (ML) 1 unit to win 1.1
pitt/cle 1st H under (19.5) 1 unit
pitt/cle under (40) 1 unit. you know how sometimes you make a wager that you just know is going to lose? this under is WAY too easy. the total in this matchup 2 weeks ago was 37, and they combined for 28. so how the hell is the total today 40? oh well, it's only money. i also like the steelers with hodges better than rudolph. can't play them for more than one unit without pouncey though.

tenn/indy 1st H under (21.5) 1 unit
under (43.5) 2 units. big divisional game... two fired up defenses.... i feel a slugfest coming on.

cincinnati (+3.5) 2 units. i can't even play the bengals on the ML. i just can't. but the jets still suck and i have to take the points on principle.

arizona (ML) 2 units to win 2.8. i hate betting against a team one week after they had a terrible performance on national tv. but it's hard to believe the rams haven't packed it in. goff looks like, well, the real jared goff, and donald is going to get worn out chasing murray all over the field. feels like a good spot for the cardinals to get a win.

houston (+3) 2 units
houston (ML) 1 unit to win 1.4. it's hard to trust any team other than the ravens to stick with the run, but if the texans do exactly that, they'll have a good shot at winning this game. unless this poor texans defense proves to be the cure for an anemic pats offense.

minnesota (+3) 2 units
minnesota (ML) 1 unit to win 1.4. i'll say it again... seattle has been remarkably bad at home this year. as long as kirk cousins doesn't COMPLETELY suck tomorrow night, the vikes should get a win. big day for dalvin cook.
Click to expand...


Good looking card have Cinn as a top play ...GL Smitty as always...
 
Smitty

Smitty

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 5, 2005
7,410
1,992
113
Upstate NY
bosbabiesarm, already did. :toast:

Smitty said:
minnesota (+3) 2 units
minnesota (ML) 1 unit to win 1.4. i'll say it again... seattle has been remarkably bad at home this year. as long as kirk cousins doesn't COMPLETELY suck tomorrow night, the vikes should get a win. big day for dalvin cook.
Click to expand...
 
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