clean 5-0 sweep last night puts the man on his heels, ups record to 74-57-2. terp side and total too easy, and temple halftime play was gravy at -4 as decimated duquesne obviously was not able to compete. got another nice run going with ten wins in last twelve - lets see if we can keep it going tonight:
loy chi +7-: this play getting so much attention i almost got off of the game, but the fundementals cap out solidly enough so i'm going to stay with it. game is big for both teams as winner will sit in first place of horizon league this weekend. coach larry farmer of ucla fame has loyola playing improved ball this year with strong inside game standing flames first in conference in rebounding. downside is ill-chi has terrible road history and currently have lost 14 straight conference road games. but things seem to be turning around this year as evinced by flames' 5-1 ats away record. losing streak was broken a couple weeks ago with two point win at an improved st marys, and followed by a credible loss at illinois. the last three meetings between these two teams have been decided by a total of five points. see no reason to believe it won't play out the same way tonight.
austin peay -7: line has moved from -8 today but i really like this play and will probably put a couple units on it. peay another improving team that caught me on the wrong side a few weeks ago. they're only 7-9 but 5-2 s/u, 3-1 ats at home. tenn-martin just not a very good road team, currently 2-5 s/u, 1-3 ats. when traveling they shoot 37.7% from the field, 27.3% from the arc. defensively, they allow 87.2 ppg on 48% field goal shooting. not good against a peay team that shoots over 47% at home. t-m will have trouble matching up at guard also both teams play a 3 guard offense but two of tenn guards are 5'9" and all three of the governors' backcourt trio are over 6', including star nick stapleton (23 ppg). tenn martin hasn't played within double digits vs peay in over four years - nothing changes tonight.
oregon state +5: nice looking home dog here. beavers hang around, having taken a second half lead in 13 of 14 games this year. ore st leading pac 10 in shooting % at .485, and nail over 50% at home, over 45% on treys. beavers 6-1 s/u, 3-0 ats at home, lone setback a three point loss to az. stanford just 2-4 on the road, losing at texas, byu and cal. i think beavs stick around,
cal poly +8: seen opinions both way but i like poly slo, winners of 3 straight and 7 of last 8. nicw wins over ore st, e was and utah state. cal poly 0-fer forever at pacific but last year's 9-19 team hung with 10 there. i'll give it a go.
ut st/uci over 128-: play is a little contrarian but makes sense to me. two good shooting team playing in big west showdown on nat'l tv, bragging rights at stake. ut st over this number 8 of 13, 6 of 8 @ home. uci over same 10 of 14, 4 of 5 away. both schools and big west conference mucky-mucks big on more national exposure and credibility for conference, seeking more big tv $$$. tight plodding defensive game not good for such so i expect both coaches to open up the offense a bit; both have the palyers to do it.
writups a bit long-winded tonight, sorry they're so late. good luck everyone.
loy chi +7-: this play getting so much attention i almost got off of the game, but the fundementals cap out solidly enough so i'm going to stay with it. game is big for both teams as winner will sit in first place of horizon league this weekend. coach larry farmer of ucla fame has loyola playing improved ball this year with strong inside game standing flames first in conference in rebounding. downside is ill-chi has terrible road history and currently have lost 14 straight conference road games. but things seem to be turning around this year as evinced by flames' 5-1 ats away record. losing streak was broken a couple weeks ago with two point win at an improved st marys, and followed by a credible loss at illinois. the last three meetings between these two teams have been decided by a total of five points. see no reason to believe it won't play out the same way tonight.
austin peay -7: line has moved from -8 today but i really like this play and will probably put a couple units on it. peay another improving team that caught me on the wrong side a few weeks ago. they're only 7-9 but 5-2 s/u, 3-1 ats at home. tenn-martin just not a very good road team, currently 2-5 s/u, 1-3 ats. when traveling they shoot 37.7% from the field, 27.3% from the arc. defensively, they allow 87.2 ppg on 48% field goal shooting. not good against a peay team that shoots over 47% at home. t-m will have trouble matching up at guard also both teams play a 3 guard offense but two of tenn guards are 5'9" and all three of the governors' backcourt trio are over 6', including star nick stapleton (23 ppg). tenn martin hasn't played within double digits vs peay in over four years - nothing changes tonight.
oregon state +5: nice looking home dog here. beavers hang around, having taken a second half lead in 13 of 14 games this year. ore st leading pac 10 in shooting % at .485, and nail over 50% at home, over 45% on treys. beavers 6-1 s/u, 3-0 ats at home, lone setback a three point loss to az. stanford just 2-4 on the road, losing at texas, byu and cal. i think beavs stick around,
cal poly +8: seen opinions both way but i like poly slo, winners of 3 straight and 7 of last 8. nicw wins over ore st, e was and utah state. cal poly 0-fer forever at pacific but last year's 9-19 team hung with 10 there. i'll give it a go.
ut st/uci over 128-: play is a little contrarian but makes sense to me. two good shooting team playing in big west showdown on nat'l tv, bragging rights at stake. ut st over this number 8 of 13, 6 of 8 @ home. uci over same 10 of 14, 4 of 5 away. both schools and big west conference mucky-mucks big on more national exposure and credibility for conference, seeking more big tv $$$. tight plodding defensive game not good for such so i expect both coaches to open up the offense a bit; both have the palyers to do it.
writups a bit long-winded tonight, sorry they're so late. good luck everyone.
