Thursday Scoopy Snacks

[Scoop Mackenzie]

Wow..okay first the afternoon game and the big question is how to do teams do after a no-no? I have no idea, but someone does and should post it....

There are just 3 nooners and so money will be flowing and these are the lines I see right now;

fish -115 8.5 U20

Yanks -185 9.5 U20

A's -169 8.5 O15


well have to look at a whole lot before this goes off but has to be a money maker in the bunch...

King Ray already crowned the over in A's/Braves so have to keep an eye on that


2 out of 3 of these games are on the national set (sorry fish fans) so money will be coming in and early results are as follows:

people jumping on the yanks to the tune of mid 60%'s


Oakland in high 50% , and milwaukee over 50%?????

well plenty of time for that to change, and as far as the totals go all overs have the consensus in the early going...more research, more stuff, more data...

coming up....


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[Scoop Mackenzie]

:yawn: okay early morning back to work, first want to see if there was any line movement over night so let's compare....

Last Night: fish -115 8.5 U20 NOW fish -1208.5 U20

Last Night: Yanks -185 9.5 U20 NOW Yanks -185 9.5 U20

Last night:A's -169 8.5 O15 NOW A's-163 8.5 O20

So with that the early move was on the fish, braves, and over in braves.

A far as the consensus goes;

Yankees are now over 70% and in the fade zone
A's are at mid 50's
Fish at mid to high 50's

So what is noticeable about that is the public went from the brewers to the fish and the yankees jumped to the fade zone. (NOTE: seattle and minnesota also in fade zone)

As far as total consensus goes all points to the over:

A's/Braves high 50%
Yanks/Stros low 60%
Fish/Brewers high 60%

(NOTE: over in cincy/TB in fade zone)

Okay so before we even begin crunching numbers we see that to no surprise the public is all over the chalk and the over and for the most part the money shows that with the exception of Atl. going to be back with number crunching and other useless babble.

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[Scoop Mackenzie]

I am going to start with the Yankees/Stros since it is the first game to go off. if you don't have time to crunch numbers or don't want to, I suggest (along with many others) you check out EXTRAPOLATER his thread is always chock full of information and well done and today is no exception.

Neither of these clubs have great records in game three of a series after a win or a loss so you would have to consider that a wash. The next thing and perhaps the most important thing to look at it is how the Yankees may react after being no hit last night. Now I have yet to find or see any numbers on how a team does after they are no hit so I will just look at what I do know. If a team gets no hit it is usually due to one dominating performance, but in yesterday?s case it was by six pitchers which tells me the Yankees are just not hitting. A look inside the numbers shows just that are the Yankees are hitting just .241 at home this year (.235 vs lefties) and in the last ten they are bad news at .224 and just .162 vs lefties. The run output is crap at just over two runs a game against lefties and in return the O/U is 3/7. So the next thing would be to consider how the bullpen is faring after last night?s outing and most would think they are worn out and should not have much today, but they should be just fine with the exception of maybe Munro who would not see time anyway. The pitchers who did throw last night had no problem with the punch less lineup of the Yanks and did not throw many pitches at all. Although six pitchers went for the Astros they are still in better shape than the Yankees pen. Houston has won seven out of the last eight and against the bad bats of the Yankees are at a bargain at the money today.

Astros +165 Looking for the fade zone to pay off.



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[Scoop Mackenzie]

Guess I am not done with this Yanks/Stros game as i have to jump on the total as well....

Under 9.5 +100

this line already flipped flopped from U20 to O20 and so that was enough to raise my eyebrows in this one. I have to think if this one goes over it is because the Astros hamer fatty but he pitches well in the day time so i don't see that happening and i know robertson has a high ERA in the daytime, but the Yanks are swinging at dead air right now...weather is not going to help and neither is the ump...would love to hear why anyone is on the over in this one in case I missed something.


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[Scoop Mackenzie]

line moves and public Update

line moves and public Update

Alright I have already played the Stros and the under but here is the update: The Yanks dropped to the high 60% and out of the fade zone and the money shows it as well as it dropped from 185 last night to -176 now and the total flipped flopped as mentioned.



Dog players also got in on the money train as the a's went from mid to high 50% to an almost pick 'em spot and the money moved with it at 169 to 163 now.

The fish and the over got the money moving in the last afternoon game. The fish went from -115 to -130 and the total went from 8.5U20 to 8.5U30. The consesnus jumped from a point but is still in the mid-high 50%.


I am going to jump on the fish/brewers game next....


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[Scoop Mackenzie]

Milwaukee+113

Going to regret this in the morning


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[Scoop Mackenzie]

Welcome to the last resort

Welcome to the last resort

well I guess I should have listened to the money that was moving on the yanks game as the brew crew was the only saving grace i had....

tonight i am going with these teams if they win i'll be back for the late games if not I am done...i will settle for 4-0 or nothing

Pittsburgh
Baltimore
San Diego
Detroit

I know I am going out on a limb with the Padres AND the Tigers on the card, but I don't think Ishi is impressive at all.....

also think the Rox are a great play but i have enough shitty teams on the roster.....

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