it's been a long four days since sunday's totals crashed at 0-3 to finish off the week 11-6-3. vindication-seeking plays set out below.
kc/pit over 9o: like this play without the hook as this number appears primarily based on suppan's under record for the year and kc's .160 ba vs lefties over the last 10 games. however, i like the over at this bumber as both stats above i believe to be misleading.
suppan, while 5-13 under for the year and 3-7 under L10, has 4.64 era this year and 4.82 era, 13.98 mba L3. during that 3-7 under stretch over the last 10 suppan's era was the same mediocre 4.80 it's been all year. with limited support from the royal's bullpen tonight he looks reachable by pirates who have averaged over 5 rpg over the L10.
royals .160 average vs lefties ovet the L10 is mainly the result of 7 innings of shutout ball pitched by cleveland's sabathia on 7/2. kc's faced only righty starters in other 9 games and had limited ab's vs lefty relievers over that span. kc hits .256 for the year and .256 on the road vs lefties which looks good enough to put up some rums on anderson, 9.20 era, 19.64 mba L3; 5.40 era at night and 5.03 this year. pit also 7-3 to the over L10 and 23-13 over @ home this year. teams have also played over 8 of 9 over last 2 seasons.
tor/phi over 9-u: coggin probably not ready for prime time yet; 9.64 home era a result of giving up 5 er's in 6 innings vs fla 6/28. totonto hitting .305 vs righties L10 averaging 4.6 rpg. they've played over 7 of L10, averaging over 6 rpg in that span, and that includes a nifty shutout thrown at them by boston's arrojo on 7/1.
carpenter 6-2 to the over on the road this year. philly .273 vs righties @ home, 22-17 over @ home and 13-3-1 over L17 @ home.
bal/atl over 7o: just a hunch this number too low given all-star travel of maddux and others. play takes cahones.
one unit each. good luck to all.
kc/pit over 9o: like this play without the hook as this number appears primarily based on suppan's under record for the year and kc's .160 ba vs lefties over the last 10 games. however, i like the over at this bumber as both stats above i believe to be misleading.
suppan, while 5-13 under for the year and 3-7 under L10, has 4.64 era this year and 4.82 era, 13.98 mba L3. during that 3-7 under stretch over the last 10 suppan's era was the same mediocre 4.80 it's been all year. with limited support from the royal's bullpen tonight he looks reachable by pirates who have averaged over 5 rpg over the L10.
royals .160 average vs lefties ovet the L10 is mainly the result of 7 innings of shutout ball pitched by cleveland's sabathia on 7/2. kc's faced only righty starters in other 9 games and had limited ab's vs lefty relievers over that span. kc hits .256 for the year and .256 on the road vs lefties which looks good enough to put up some rums on anderson, 9.20 era, 19.64 mba L3; 5.40 era at night and 5.03 this year. pit also 7-3 to the over L10 and 23-13 over @ home this year. teams have also played over 8 of 9 over last 2 seasons.
tor/phi over 9-u: coggin probably not ready for prime time yet; 9.64 home era a result of giving up 5 er's in 6 innings vs fla 6/28. totonto hitting .305 vs righties L10 averaging 4.6 rpg. they've played over 7 of L10, averaging over 6 rpg in that span, and that includes a nifty shutout thrown at them by boston's arrojo on 7/1.
carpenter 6-2 to the over on the road this year. philly .273 vs righties @ home, 22-17 over @ home and 13-3-1 over L17 @ home.
bal/atl over 7o: just a hunch this number too low given all-star travel of maddux and others. play takes cahones.
one unit each. good luck to all.
