Thursday.

MrChristo

The Zapper
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Nov 11, 2001
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Sexlexia...
SA -5

Seeing alot of people on Sac today....Have to say it reminds me of Dallas yesterday. Looks easy right? Best team in the League getting 5!
I've read gsp's thread, and he says the line is right on....I agree, but I think there are a few more factors at work here.

Schelduling: Sactown have played only 7 back-to-back games this season, 5 on the road. Their record? 2-5 SU. Lowest loss by 5 in OT @ HOME to Portland.
Road losses have been by 21 @ Denver, 7 @ GS, 11 @ Seattle and 14 @ Memphis. (The win was @ Atlanta by 12).

In contrast, SA have had 5 games with no rest this month alone....and they make some interesting reading.
Beat Washington @ home by 22.
Then beat Indi by 1, Lost to Min by 7, lost @ Det by 8 and lost home to NO by 2. All back-to-back games....and all with something else in common.
At HT in those games, SA were UP by 4 to Indi, 4 to Min, (down 2 @ Det), and up by 4 to NO......
Their last quarters in those games were, -6, -10, -6 and -13 respectively.
No mere coincidence IMHO.
The fact that they were up @ HT in the home games tells me they are still playing good ball at home, but simply tiring late, due in large part to having no rest.
I have to think tonight that they come out well rested and take it to a Kings team that struggles to come up with no rest.

League: 25-18 (Av.win 12.0!) home 5+ fav, 1 day rest off 10- ats win as away 4- fav. [SA]
13-5 (Av. win 15.2!) if opp were away dogs last game.
4-0 (Av. win 22.5!!) if opp off any upset win.

SA: 21-11 (Av. win 12.3) away -> home, 1 day rest as 5+ favs. (3-0 this season)

League: 19-19 (Av. loss 6.7) away dog, no rest off 10- ats win as away 4- dog. [Sac]
7-11 (Av. loss 9.6) if opp off SU win.
2-7 (Av. loss 9.4) if opp off away ats win.

Will also take SA -2.5 for the first half.

Good Luck all :cool:
 

caught up

Registered User
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Jan 7, 2004
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MA
youu seem to be solid throughout with your picks in general. i'm with you here. GL
 

MrChristo

The Zapper
Forum Member
Nov 11, 2001
4,414
5
0
Sexlexia...
2004: 15-11-2

2004: 15-11-2

Portland -1

League: 9-0 (Av. win 9.1) away 4- favs, no rest off SU win as away 5+ dog. [Port] (1-0 this season)
League: 16-8 SU (Av. win 4.1) away 4- fav, no rest off any 15+ ats away win. (2-0 this season)
9-2 (Av. win 4.9) if opp off SU loss.

Port: 15-6 SU (Av. win 4.1) away -> away no rest as any fav.
7-3 (Av. win 5.0) if 4- fav. (1-0 this season)
Atl: 8-15 (Av. loss 3.5) home -> home, 1 day rest as dog. (1-4 this season)
Port: 14-7 away fav v. team off a home loss.
Port: 12-4 SU in a road game where total 180-185 last 3 years.
Atl: 2-8 SU v. Pacific this year.
4-15 SU playing a team <.500 this year!

Terry will likely play (From what I'm seeing) but is still quite stiff and sore. Can't see him being all that effective....esp. when Wallace gives him another elbow early! :D
 
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