Thursday's Early Action

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Thursday's Early Action

Bettors need to start their handicapping early because three Thursday games will come off the board by 12:35 p.m. Eastern. And the slate is already limited, especially in the American League with just four contests on tap.

The Mets have all sorts of issues but they have quietly won four games in a row. They can really gain some momentum Thursday by sweeping a day/night doubleheader at home. On the other hand, if the Rockies can produce a sweep, it may be the dagger for all intents and purposes.

Jim Tracy?s team is now one-half game behind San Francisco in the NL wild-card hunt. The Giants captured a 1-0 win over Pittsburgh in extra innings Wednesday, taking advantage of another terrific effort from Matt Cain. With the Rockies and Mets raining out, San Francisco took sole possession of first for the wild card.

Let?s touch on a few of the early games for Thursday.

**Rockies at Mets** (Game 1 of day-night doubleheader)

--The New York Mets have been one of baseball?s biggest disappointments in 2009. They have been strapped with injuries galore and find themselves out of the National League East picture and clinging to slim hopes in the wild-card mix. The situation at Citi Field was further exacerbated by GM Omar Minaya?s curious performance at a press conference announcing the dismissal of exec Tony Bernazard, whose job status came in question after media reports of his volatile behavior toward players. Minaya put his job in jeopardy by suggesting a media member was trying to get Bernazard fired in hopes of landing his job. The whole situation is embarrassing for an organization that?s missed the playoffs in back-to-back campaigns due to unfathomable September collapses. Clearly, Minaya still has his job only thanks to a three-year extension signed this past off-season.

--With all that said, the Mets bring a four-game winning streak into this spot. They are plus-110 underdogs at most books. The total is 8 ? ?over? (minus-115).

--Colorado?s Jorge De La Rosa (8-7, 4.48 ERA) owns a 4-0 record and 2.43 ERA in the month of July. The lefty is 3-2 with a 3.88 ERA in eight road assignments. He hasn?t been as effective in day games, going 2-3 with a 7.07 ERA in six appearances (five starts). De La Rosa is 1-0 with a 7.71 lifetime ERA against the Mets.

--New York LHP Jonathon Niese (1-0, 4.08) is a 22-year-old rookie who will be making his seventh career start. He has been sharp in two of his three outings since taking over the No. 5 spot in the Mets rotation two weeks ago. New York has prevailed in two of those three starts with its bats scoring 24 combined runs behind Niese.

--Jeff Francoeur?s promising career had been in decline for well over 200 games, so the Braves traded the hometown product to the Mets. The change of scenery has been huge for Francoeur, who has 16 RBI?s in his first 14 games with his new club.

--The Rockies are 15-15 against southpaws, while the Mets are just 10-13 versus lefties.

--The Mets are 27-20 at home this year, while the Rockies are 27-25 on the road.

--The ?under? is 50-44 overall for the Mets, 25-21 in their road contests.

--The ?under? is 50-47 overall for Colorado, 29-22 in its road games.

--Gamblers need to get their bets in early for this 12:10 p.m. Eastern start at Citi Field.



**A?s at Red Sox**

--Most spots are listing Boston as an expensive minus-320 favorite with a total of 9 ? ?under? (minus-120). Bettors don?t have lay quite as much ?chalk? by going the run-line route with the Red Sox at minus-150 (risk $150 to win $100).

--Boston LHP Jon Lester (9-7, 3.79) is 5-3 with a 3.06 ERA in 10 home starts this season. The southpaw is 2-3 with a 4.74 career ERA against Oakland. The BoSox have emerged victorious from eight of Lester?s last nine assignments.

--Oakland LHP Gio Gonzalez (2-2, 7.85) is 2-0 with a 4.43 ERA in five road appearances (two starts) this year. He has never faced Boston before.

--Oakland has a 14-20 record when facing left-handers. On the flip side, the BoSox took a 21-12 ledger against southpaws into Wednesday?s showdown against the A?s lefty Brett Anderson.

--Before Wednesday?s results were in, Boston had a 34-16 home record compared to Oakland?s 20-32 mark on the road.

--The ?under? is 52-38 overall for the Red Sox, 27-18 in their home outings.

--The ?under? is 52-46 overall for the A?s, 26-25 in their road games.

--Lester will throw the first pitch at Fenway Park at 1:35 p.m. Eastern.



--I?m pleased to announce that starting this week, Kevin Rogers will begin joining me every week to co-host The Power Hours on VI Radio.

-- Pittsburgh?s Zach Duke was brilliant in Wednesday?s 1-0 loss at San Francisco. The left-hander threw seven scoreless innings, only to see his club lose in 10 innings. Duke?s ERA dipped to 3.26.

--The Cubs pounded Mike Hampton and the Astros in a 12-0 victory Wednesday afternoon at Wrigley Field. Chicago cashed tickets as minus-200 favorites with Alfonso Soriano going yard again less than 24 hours after beating Houston with a walk-off grand slam on Tuesday night.
 

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Thursday Tips

Thursday Tips

Thursday Tips

The Thursday night card includes five matchups that involve teams either fighting for a Wild Card berth, or trying to solidify their grasp on a division lead. The top three clubs in the NL East will be showcased, including the two teams right behind the Phillies battling it out in South Florida.

Braves at Marlins (7:10 PM EST)

The Marlins have been on fire as of late, winning seven of eight, as they creep closer to the top of the NL Wild Card race. Don't dismiss the Braves, who have won 12 of 19, including five victories over the Rockies and Giants in this stretch.

Florida sends out right-hander Rick VandenHurk (1-0, 2.45 ERA), who made his first two starts of the season on the last road trip at San Diego and Los Angeles. VandenHurk beat the Padres, but picked up a no-decision in a loss to the Dodgers. Can't fault VandenHurk, as he left with a 3-1 lead, but L.A. rallied against the Florida bullpen to capture a 4-3, walk-off win. VandenHurk's last three starts against the Braves have been solid outings, allowing six hits and one run in 16 innings of work.



Javier Vazquez (8-7, 2.98 ERA) has rebounded nicely after some bad luck in June. The Braves righty has won his last four starts, including three against teams in the midst of the playoff race (Phillies, Cubs, Brewers). Vazquez has finished 'under' the total in 12 of 18 starts this season, including eight of the last nine. Vazquez was on the losing end of a 5-1 decision to the Marlins in April, but the veteran struck out 12 batters, a season-high.

Las Vegas Sports Consultants has installed the Braves as a $1.45 favorite, with the total set at 8.

Dodgers at Cardinals (8:15 PM EST)

A pair of struggling right-handers get together for the finale of a four-game set at Busch Stadium, as the Cards go for the sweep. Hiroki Kuroda (3-5, 4.57 ERA) and Kyle Lohse (4-6, 4.35 ERA) have both missed time this season due to injury, and are trying to get back to last season's success. The Cardinals and Cubs continue to see-saw atop the NL Central, while the Dodgers are rolling along inside the NL West, despite four straight losses.

Kuroda is coming off a no-decision his last time out in a win over Florida, but is seeking his first victory since July 3 at San Diego. The Dodgers haven't given Kuroda much run support, averaging only 3.45 runs/game.

A year removed from winning 15 games, Lohse has picked up one victory since the end of April (nine starts). In Lohse's three July starts, the Cardinals are 0-3, while the righty's ERA is 5.62 in this span. Nighttime hasn't been kind to Lohse, with St. Louis going 1-6 in his seven starts after the sun goes down.

LVSC has listed the Cardinals as a $1.20 home 'chalk,' while the total sits at 9.

Mariners at Rangers (8:15 PM EST)

The Rangers have taken six of nine meetings this season against the Mariners this season, as these teams begin a crucial four-game set at Ameriquest Field. Seattle has won two straight after dropping four in a row. Texas, meanwhile, has heated up with eight wins in its last ten contests, despite getting blasted by Detroit on Wednesday night, 13-5.

The Rangers have allowed three runs or less in eight of their last ten games, sending out lefty Derek Holland (3-6, 6.13 ERA). The Texas southpaw has compiled only one quality start in nine outings this season, while not tossing more than 95 pitches in any start. Despite the high ERA, the 'under' has hit in five of his seven starts.

Fellow left-hander Garrett Olson (3-4, 5.37 ERA) has been anything but effective since the All-Star Break. The former Oriole has allowed nine earned runs in his last two starts (4 IP), both losses to the Tigers and Indians. Prior to this poor stretch, Olson did pick up a pair of victories as a substantial underdog at Boston and Los Angeles.

The Rangers are a $1.50 favorite, with the total listed at 10 ?, according to LVSC.

Yankees at White Sox (8:15 PM EST)

The Yanks and Sox meet up for this first time this season, as New York is slowly walking away with the AL East division. The Bronx Bombers are 11-2 since the break, while helping the White Sox by sweeping the Tigers and Twins over the last month. Since the Mark Buehrle perfect game, the Pale Hose are just 1-6, while getting swept in Minnesota the last three days.

Gavin Floyd (8-6, 4.24 ERA) gets the ball for the Sox, going for his fifth home victory. The Sox right-hander has significantly better numbers on the South Side, owning a 2.70 home ERA, while Chicago is 7-2 in his home starts. The 'under' has been a profitable play when Floyd starts at home, going 'under' in six of nine starts. The Sox beat the Yankees in Floyd's two starts last season, including a seven-inning effort in the Bronx.

Andy Pettitte (8-6, 4.87 ERA) hasn't been sharp as of late, dropping three of his last four decisions. The nail in the bettor's coffin was a loss as a home favorite of $3.00 against the A's his last trip to the mound. Pettitte's best role has been on the road this season, putting together a 4-2 mark, while the Yanks have won six of his eight away outings.

The Yankees are 15-2 their last 17 games against a right-handed starter, while the Sox are 10-2 in their last 12 versus a left-handed starter. The Bombers claimed five of seven meetings last season, including two of three at U.S. Cellular Field.

LVSC has listed the Yankees as road 'chalk' at a $1.30, with the total is listed at 9 ?.

Phillies at Giants (10:15 PM EST)

The Phillies have been red-hot since the break, going 10-2, while winning 19 of their past 22. Philadelphia added another ace on Wednesday by acquiring Cliff Lee from Cleveland, bolstering a pitching staff that could use another reliable arm. The Giants and Rockies, meanwhile, continue to go back-and-forth atop the Wild Card standings.

Jonathan Sanchez (3-9, 4.92 ERA) is best known for tossing a no-hitter against the Padres back on July 10, but his record won't indicate any sort of dominance. Sanchez has compiled only four quality starts in 16 trips to the mound, but is 3-1 at home this season.

The Phillies have won all four of Rodrigo Lopez's (3-0, 3.09 ERA) starts this season. Lopez has not made a road start yet, as the Phils have given the righty 8.5 runs/game.

Philadelphia and San Francisco split six meetings last season, while the 'over' hit four times. The Phillies are a $1.20 road favorite according to LVSC, with the total set at 9.
 

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MLB UMPIRE REPORT

MLB UMPIRE REPORT

MLB UMPIRE REPORT

UMPIRE AVG RUNS GAMES UNDER OVER K/GAME BB/GAME K/BB
ADRIAN JOHNSON 9.69 16 4 9 11.6 7.9 1.5
ALFONSO MARQUEZ 10.00 2 1 1 14.5 7.5 1.9
ANDY FLETCHER 6.69 16 13 2 14.9 8.4 1.8
ANGEL CAMPOS 8.46 13 8 5 15.8 6.2 2.6
ANGEL HERNANDEZ 9.94 17 7 9 13.4 7.8 1.7
BILL HOHN 8.43 14 7 6 13.1 6.0 2.2
BILL MILLER 8.71 17 11 5 16.1 5.9 2.7
BILL WELKE 9.88 16 8 7 14.8 5.5 2.7
BOB DAVIDSON 9.64 14 5 8 13.7 7.2 1.9
BRIAN GORMAN 6.88 16 12 3 14.7 6.4 2.3
BRIAN KNIGHT 8.94 17 9 7 13.5 6.6 2.0
BRIAN O'NORA 7.63 16 9 6 13.8 5.9 2.3
BRIAN RUNGE 8.47 15 9 4 13.3 6.5 2.0
BRUCE DRECKMAN 9.00 13 5 7 12.4 6.9 1.8
BUCKNOR 9.19 16 8 8 13.1 7.6 1.7
CASEY MOSER 4.00 2 2 0 12.5 4.0 3.1
CHAD FAIRCHILD 8.20 15 10 5 14.7 6.1 2.4
CHARLIE RELIFORD 7.93 15 10 5 13.7 5.2 2.6
CHRIS GUCCIONE 8.33 18 10 7 14.5 7.1 2.0
CHRIS TILLER 6.00 2 2 0 11.0 7.0 1.6
CHUCK MERIWETHER 9.47 15 7 8 14.1 6.9 2.0
DALE SCOTT 10.00 16 5 10 13.7 5.9 2.3
DAMIEN BEAL 9.50 2 1 1 14.5 5.0 2.9
DAN BELLINO 4.67 3 3 0 16.7 3.3 5.0
DAN IASSOGNA 10.80 15 7 8 13.2 6.8 1.9
DANA DEMUTH 9.67 15 8 7 13.4 6.7 2.0
DELFIN COLON 7.33 3 2 0 12.0 4.7 2.6
DERRYL COUSINS 8.81 16 8 7 12.6 7.9 1.6
DOUG EDDINGS 9.71 17 7 10 14.5 6.1 2.4
ED HICKOX 14.33 3 2 1 10.7 10.0 1.1
ED MONTAGUE 11.80 5 1 4 14.4 6.8 2.1
ED RAPUANO 9.53 17 7 9 13.7 7.4 1.8
ERIC COOPER 10.33 18 6 12 14.3 6.7 2.1
FIELDIN CULBRETH 7.33 15 11 3 13.7 7.5 1.8
GARY CEDERSTROM 10.00 13 7 6 13.7 6.5 2.1
GARY DARLING 8.18 11 7 4 13.5 5.5 2.5
GERRY DAVIS 11.00 16 6 7 12.7 7.8 1.6
GREG GIBSON 11.22 9 3 6 10.7 7.2 1.5
HUNTER WENDELSTEDT10.06 17 7 10 13 9 7.3 1.9
JAMES HOYE 9.53 19 12 6 11.9 7.5 1.6
JEFF KELLOGG 7.65 17 11 6 13.2 8.4 1.6
JEFF NELSON 10.33 15 6 8 12.6 7.3 1.7
JERRY CRAWFORD 11.57 14 6 7 14.9 9.1 1.6
JERRY LAYNE 8.31 16 8 7 14.8 6.9 2.2
JERRY MEALS 9.19 16 6 9 14.9 7.4 2.0
JIM JOYCE 8.94 16 9 7 14.3 8.7 1.6
JIM REYNOLDS 9.18 11 4 7 14.1 8.0 1.8
JIM WOLF 9.80 15 7 7 13.9 7.1 2.0
JOE WEST 9.06 17 8 8 13.4 7.5 1.8
JOHN HIRSCHBECK 8.82 17 11 6 13.9 6.2 2.2
KERWIN DANLEY 8.50 4 2 2 13.5 6.5 2.1
KEVIN CAUSEY 3.00 1 1 0 12.0 5.0 2.4
LANCE BARKSDALE 9.87 15 6 9 11.5 7.6 1.5
LARRY VANOVER 8.47 15 7 7 11.9 6.9 1.7
LAZ DIAZ 10.27 15 6 8 13.0 6.3 2.1
MARK CARLSON 9.14 14 8 6 13.7 7.4 1.8
MARK WEGNER 9.41 17 9 8 13.8 6.6 2.1
MARTY FOSTER 8.53 15 8 6 13.4 6.5 2.1
MARVIN HUDSON 7.76 17 9 8 15.4 7.1 2.2
MIKE DIMURO 8.87 15 7 8 14.6 6.7 2.2
MIKE ESTABROOK 8.33 6 3 3 13.2 3.8 3.4
MIKE EVERITT 10.25 16 6 10 12.7 7.7 1.7
MIKE MUCHLINSKI 8.00 2 1 0 14.5 8.5 1.7
MIKE REILLY 9.80 15 6 9 14.7 8.4 1.7
MIKE WINTERS 10.13 15 7 8 12.5 6.5 1.9
PAUL EMMEL 9.23 13 7 5 12.5 7.5 1.7
PAUL NAUERT 9.56 16 7 9 15.1 6.4 2.3
PAUL SCHRIEBER 9.94 16 6 6 14.6 8.6 1.7
PHIL CUZZI 9.12 17 10 6 14.6 7.4 2.0
RANDY MARSH 10.44 16 5 10 11.8 8.6 1.4
REYBURN 6.33 3 2 1 10.7 2.3 4.6
ROB DRAKE 9.22 18 9 9 14.9 5.9 2.5
RON KULPA 9.17 6 4 2 15.7 7.0 2.2
SAM HOLBROOK 8.64 14 8 6 14.4 7.1 2.0
SCOTT BARRY 7.24 17 13 4 12.9 6.5 2.0
TED BARRETT 9.00 16 9 6 12.6 6.9 1.8
TIM MCCLELLAND 12.24 17 3 10 13.2 8.5 1.5
TIM TIMMONS 11.06 18 7 9 13.9 7.5 1.9
TIM TSCHIDA 10.31 16 7 8 13.3 8.1 1.6
TIM WELKE 10.56 16 8 8 13.6 7.6 1.8
TODD TICHENOR 8.57 14 8 6 12.6 7.7 1.6
TOM HALLION 8.47 17 7 9 12.5 6.6 1.9
TONY RANDAZZO 7.89 18 10 7 12.3 5.1 2.4
WALLY BELL 9.38 16 9 6 14.2 7.3 1.9
 

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TOTALS REPORT

TOTALS REPORT

TOTALS REPORT

Team Total Home Away Streak
Arizona Diamondbacks 48 - 49 33 - 23 15 - 26 Under-5
Atlanta Braves 42 - 55 20 - 27 22 - 28 Over-1
Baltimore Orioles 46 - 49 20 - 28 26 - 21 Over-1
Boston Red Sox 39 - 52 19 - 27 20 - 25 Over-3
Chicago Cubs 43 - 53 24 - 27 19 - 26 Over-2
Chicago White Sox 39 - 63 16 - 36 23 - 27 Under-11
Cincinnati Reds 41 - 54 21 - 23 20 - 31 Under-2
Cleveland Indians 54 - 45 19 - 28 35 - 17 Over-6
Colorado Rockies 47 - 50 25 - 21 22 - 29 Under-1
Detroit Tigers 36 - 61 19 - 27 17 - 34 Over-1
Florida Marlins 48 - 47 28 - 20 20 - 27 Over-1
Houston Astros 43 - 52 21 - 28 22 - 24 Over-2
Kansas City Royals 42 - 52 27 - 24 15 - 28 Over-1
Los Angeles Angels 58 - 37 31 - 18 27 - 19 Over-10
Los Angeles Dodgers 50 - 46 23 - 25 27 - 21 Under-1
Milwaukee Brewers 51 - 46 24 - 26 27 - 20 Over-4
Minnesota Twins 44 - 53 28 - 21 16 - 32 Under-3
New York Mets 44 - 50 21 - 25 23 - 25 Under-1
New York Yankees 48 - 47 25 - 23 23 - 24 Under-2
Oakland Athletics 47 - 52 21 - 26 26 - 26 Over-4
Philadelphia Phillies 45 - 48 22 - 27 23 - 21 Under-3
Pittsburgh Pirates 41 - 56 16 - 27 25 - 29 Under-5
San Diego Padres 48 - 51 21 - 26 27 - 25 Under-2
San Francisco Giants 43 - 51 22 - 23 21 - 28 Under-4
Seattle Mariners 40 - 60 21 - 27 19 - 33 Under-2
St. Louis Cardinals 43 - 53 18 - 30 25 - 23 Under-1
Tampa Bay Rays 44 - 55 24 - 22 20 - 33 Under-2
Texas Rangers 34 - 61 17 - 34 17 - 27 Over-1
Toronto Blue Jays 46 - 53 22 - 27 24 - 26 Under-2
Washington Nationals 46 - 51 22 - 30 24 - 21 Over-3
 

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Phillies invade the bay

Phillies invade the bay

Phillies invade the bay


The Philadelphia Phillies head to the Bay Area fresh off a big trade and are -120 favorites over the San Francisco Giants

Game-time is at 10:15 pm ET for the first in a four-game series. The Over/Under is 8.5 runs.

Philadelphia made a huge pre-deadline move yesterday when they acquired lefthander Cliff Lee and outfielder Ben Francisco from Cleveland for four prospects.

Lee is the consolation prize to Toronto?s Roy Halladay whose price was deemed too steep. However, he is the reigning AL Cy Young award winner and a guy they badly need if they hope to repeat as World Champs.



The Phillies are now +300 to win the National league at BroburySports.com and that ties them with the suddenly hot Chicago Cubs and just behind Manny Ramirez and the Los Angeles Dodgers (+200). Place your wager now on the Phillies before the odds drop due to this trade.

San Francisco (55-46) is right in the thick of the NL Wild Card race, currently a half game ahead of Colorado. They are coming off a three-game sweep of Pittsburgh, their first home series of the second half, but know things get much tougher with the Phils coming into town.

Bettors will want to note that San Fran (34-15) quietly has the best home record in the NL. The Giants are also the leading money-making home team this year at +1663 units.

Philadelphia (58-41) had a four game winning streak snapped yesterday in Arizona. However, they have to feel invigorated knowing management acquired another top-notch starter to boost their chances.

Philly has the best road record in the league at 31-16 and are by far the biggest money maker there (+1748 units) for bettors. They are also 22-6 in their last 28 games as a road favorite.

Rodrigo Lopez (Philadelphia) vs. Jonathan Sanchez (San Francisco)

Lopez (3-0, 3.09 ERA) has made four starts since being called up from AAA and the Phils have won them all. What else can you ask of a 5th starter?

The 33 year-old looks recovered from his shoulder injury and he did have decent success in the majors with Baltimore and Colorado before getting hurt and missing 2008. One caution note is he still has to prove it on the road this year as this is his first start outside of Citizens Bank Park.

Sanchez (3-9, 4.92 ERA) has made two starts since his July 10th no-hitter, both coming on the road and neither very impressive (6.54 ERA). He does have the quality stuff with a strike-out rate over 9, but the Giants are only 2-9 in his last 11 starts versus teams with winning records. That doesn?t bode well tonight.
 

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DUNKEL INDEX 30 JUL 09

DUNKEL INDEX 30 JUL 09

DUNKEL INDEX 30 JUL 09

Today's MLB Picks

Oakland at Boston

The A's come off an 8-6 win last night and look to build on their 4-1 record in Gio Gonzalez' last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in the previous game. Oakland is the pick (+280) according to Dunkel, which has the A's favored by 1/2 a run.
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+280).

Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, JULY 30
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Colorado at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Hammel) 15.086; NY Mets (Santana) 16.371
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 903-904: San Diego at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stauffer) 13.922; Cincinnati (Cueto) 12.783
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+145); Under

Game 905-906: Washington at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Martin) 14.319; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 13.620
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-260); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+235); Over

Game 907-908: Atlanta at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Vazquez) 15.313; Florida (Vandenhurk) 16.366
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+145); Under

Game 909-910: LA Dodgers at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 14.362; St. Louis (Lohse) 16.031
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-115); Under

Game 911-912: Philadelphia at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lopez) 16.324; San Francisco (Sanchez) 14.848
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-115); Under

Game 913-914: Kansas City at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.435; Baltimore (Bergesen) 14.843
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-155); Under

Game 915-916: Oakland at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gonzalez) 15.673; Boston (Lester) 15.064
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-320); 9
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+280); Over

Game 917-918: Seattle at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Olson) 15.284; Texas (Holland) 14.216
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-150); 10
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+140); Under

Game 919-920: NY Yankees at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Pettitte) 16.484; White Sox (Floyd) 15.267
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-125); Under

Game 921-922: Houston at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Ortiz) 15.646; Cubs (Hart) 14.931
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-190); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+175); N/A

Game 923-924: Colorado at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 15.896; NY Mets (Niese) 15.582
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
 

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Thursday's streaking and slumping starters

Thursday's streaking and slumping starters

Thursday's streaking and slumping starters

Streaking

Gavin Floyd (Chicago White Sox)

The 26-year-old right-hander appears to be hitting his stride at the right time for Chicago.

Floyd (8-6, 4.24 ERA) has struck out at least seven batters in each of his past three starts, proving the command that made him one of the best pitcher?s in the AL last season is returning. If he can cut down on his walks ? 46, the 11th-most in the league ? he will be back among the elite.

In his most recent start, he allowed only one earned run on six hits in 6 2-3 innings against the Tigers. Overall, he has yielded just four earned runs in the past 13 2-3 innings. He also has won four of his past five decisions.

"Outstanding," White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen said of Floyd to the Associated Press. "The last three or four starts he has been great.?

Javier Vasquez (Atlanta Braves)

Don?t let it fool you that Vasquez allowed four runs in his most recent start against the Brewers. He still managed to strike out nine against just three walks and went seven strong innings.

Vasquez (8-7, 2.98 ERA) has won each of his past three starts and the team is finally starting to give him the run support he's lacked.

The right-hander is second in the NL in strikeouts (150) and fourth in WHIP (walks + hits over innings pitched) at 1.07. Over the past 40 2-3 innings, he has allowed just nine earned runs and struck out 38.

Slumping

Derek Holland (Texas Rangers)

A move back into the starting rotation may not have been the best thing for the young lefty.

Holland (3-6, 6.13 ERA) has struggled to the point where Dustin Nippert is ready to take his spot in the rotation if he is unable to come up with at least a quality outing. In each of his past two starts, he has failed to make it out of the fifth inning.

In his most recent outing, a 6-3 loss to the Royals, he gave up four runs on seven hits in 4 2-3 innings. He also allowed a home run and walked two. He has allowed a home run in eight of his nine starts this season.

"It's frustrating, but also it's a learning process," Holland told reporters. "I'm only 22. These guys have been around and they know what to expect. I'm still learning.?

Kyle Lohse (St. Louis Cardinals)

After missing nearly all of June on the disabled list, Lohse was supposed to bolster the Cardinals rotation during the stretch run. Instead, he is helping to blow up the team's postseason hopes.

Lohse (4-6, 4.35) has given up 10 earned runs in his past 16 innings and picked up the loss in three of his past four starts. In his most recent outing, a 14-6 loss to the Phillies, he gave up three runs on four hits and three walks in just four innings.
 

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In the shadows
Thursday's best MLB bets

Thursday's best MLB bets

Thursday's best MLB bets

Colorado Rockies at New York Mets (+112, 8.5)

The Mets have been a disapointment this season, but still have the best home record in the NL East.

New York is hitting a respectable .270 with a .345 on-base percentage at Citi Field this year. The team has struggled to generate power with a lineup decimated by injuries, but it still has rattled off 14 triples in its own park.

Meantime, the Rockies, who are hitting a meager .242 away from Coors Field, must contend with ace pitcher Johan Santana. The hurler has won three of his past four home starts, lasting at least seven innings each time.

Overall, the Mets have taken their past four at home, while the Rockies are just 3-3 on the road since the All-Star break. Game 1 of Thursday?s doubleheader should go to the home nine.

Pick: Mets

Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles (-148, 8.5)

You?ve met the Baltimore Orioles this season, but let me introduce you to the team you might not know. The team that is the best home hitting side in baseball.

Baltimore leads the majors with a .292 average at home, to go with 57 homers and 89 doubles this year and Camden Yards. The team?s pitching staff also takes a dramatic turn when the players are able to sleep in their own beds.

Oriole pitchers have a horrendous 4.92 ERA on the season, but that number drops to just 4.13 at home. Not that it matters to the Royals. Kansas City has scored 23 fewer runs on the road (153) than any other team in the majors.

Pick: Orioles
 
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