TL Season Long Thread

[TLankford]

Poor tennessee looked like they might actually get on the scoreboard in the 1st half :0002

2H Bama TT Over 14.5

have a feeling this one is gonna be around a 56-7 ballgame

 

[TLankford]

Auburn 1H TT Over 20.5

Vegas really expecting Auburn to come out flat. One matchup in this game makes me feel like we go well over this number. Auburn OLine vs. FAU DLine. Our OLine has been better than anyone thought and no team so far has been able to slow down this run game. This group of guys definitely won't be able to

FAU's starting DL

Defensive Line:
LE Martin Wright R-Sr, 6-4, 250
LT Trevon Coley So, 6-2, 225
RT Brandin Bryant R-So, 6-2, 260
RE Corey Henry Sr, 6-3, 238

I also think we may play JJ a decent amount at QB to get him some more game experience

Easiest pick all day. Hit in half a quarter without even throwing a forward pass. Vegas you're drunk

 

[TLankford]

2H FAU TT Over 7

AU gonna be playing a lot of real young guys. Feel like FAU will be able to put up at least 10 garbage points here.

 

[TLankford]

6-3 Day. Can't believe Mizzou got Ray Finkle'd like that. Laces out Dan.

9-3 last couple weeks finally got a little run going

19-17 YTD

 

[TLankford]

Getting on this one early

UGA -140 Over Florida

banking on Gurley being back for this one. Helps a lot with that offense.

Don't Like Auburn at -9.5 hopefully maybe this line comes down a little. I think we can beat Arkansas by 14+ but it's a road game in the SEC. Gonna wait and get an update on Nick marshall before playing this one

 

[TLankford]

Vegas gonna keep giving me Team Totals like this with AU's offense I'm going to keep taking them. Marshall is healthy and ready to go. Arkansas defense giving up more points against everyone than their teams average vs other opponents. They are also outside the top 100 in plays over 20 yards given up. Auburn offense will have their way against this defense.

Auburn Team Total over 31.5

Gonna be on the opposite side of LDB and Jord on this one, and I don't like that because they are good cappers, but I don't think people are giving Arkansas Defense credit for how shitty they are... And their passing game isn't good enough to expose our secondary that's currently thinned out by injuries.

Auburn -7 (-130)

 

[TLankford]

Oh wow just looked at 1st half lines. Vegas is this a goddamn joke? Maybe Vegas knows something I don't and Arkansas has some NFL players suiting up on D. Or they think AU will either come out flat or Arkansas controls the clock. I am clueless

1st Half Auburn Team Total OVER 17 +120....

Also took a couple more Team Totals:

Tennessee Team Total UNDER 22.5

Florida Team Total UNDER 22

Miami Team Total UNDER 21

 

[TLankford]

FSU 2H -10
FSU 2H TT Over 21

Think winston is done making mistakes. FSU will cover the original line and roll in the 2H

Tennessee offense looking terrible as usual.
Big win by the Tigers today.

Be 5-1 with a just the FSU game pending unless Vols score 3 times here in the 4th

 

[TLankford]

7-2 today
26-19 YTD

On a nice little 16-5 run the last 3 weeks. Hopefully can keep this going for a little while. Been having good fortune with the Team Totals. Wish FSU could have put one more in the zone there at the end but not gonna complain about the day I had

 

[TLankford]

It appears Vegas still has not woken up.

Is this line "too low"? Absolutely
Does that mean you need to take the other side? Hell no
Say thank you to Vegas and get paid until they wake up.

Auburn -7 over Tennessee

Game will probably not be close. Will shake out a lot like the Arkansas game, except UT doesn't have a running game and being at 11am their home field advantage will be close to non-existent. If this line moves down for some reason, I'll buy back my -7 $ amount and put a duplicate amount on the lower number. As of right now I can't buy the hook. Do I think I'll need it? No. Am I a donkey that buys hooks on all key numbers just out of principle? Yes.

:0008

I also love:

LSU +11 against Bama. First Offense Bama will play since A&M that is worth a shit. Waiting to see if this one will go up. I doubt it drops below 10.

Oregon -10.5. In a different class this year. Don't see a repeat of last meeting

Mizzou -14. First road game after 3 big home games. Some people probably expecting a semi-let down here. I don't think that happens purely because UK doesn't have the guns to capitalize on a lack of intensity.

 

[dunclock]

nice week :0074

your team did win the best flop of the week :mj07:

 

[BOBBYW]

gl...

 

[TLankford]

nice week :0074

your team did win the best flop of the week :mj07:

pretty funny that we beat someone by 18 on the road and only ran like 4 plays on offense. tecmo bowl style.

the game could have been closer if Arkansas's backup didn't choke, but also we had the goalline stand that was huge and our offense pretty much moved the ball at will

 

[dunclock]

I was talking about the flop "injury" :mj07:

Gus is doing a great job so he wont have to worry about coaching but he could get a job as a psychopath in the movies as he has the CRAZY eyes

 

[TLankford]

Aaaah yes that... at least Gus pulled the long con and had Swain go to the locker room and put on a knee brace and not return to the game. Most of us think that he did it as a slap in the face to Beliema for A) Crying about the HUNH offense and B) Running the "swinging gate" play that he cried about earlier in the week as "being edited out of the game film auburn sent him"

 

[TLankford]

Decided to sit back and just watch the ducks-trees game and glad I did :142smilie

Along with Auburn I have a few more sides/totals. Actually not taking any of the 3 leans listed earlier this week

Arkansas +17.5 over Mississippi

Not sure OMiss run game can capitalize on that defense. RB is too small. Arkansas should be able to move the ball a decent amount against the Rebs defense too

Mizzou/Kentucky Under 57.5

Originally liked Mizzou, and still do. Little bit of Reverse Line movement and UK has a decent defense. I don't think they have anything on offense though. Should be a low scoring game.

Bama/LSU Over 55

Not sure whose thread I posted in this week talking about this over. Not sold on either teams' defense. Bama's D stats are great, but nobody can look at the schedule and say the stats mean a fucking thing. A&M is the only offense we need to talk about on there and they put up a ton of yards. Mett has a good OC and two great WRs to throw to. As long as Les doesn't find a way to handcuff Cam Cameron, they should get theirs. And LSU's defense is garbage compared to the last 4-5 years. bama should get into the 40s.

Should have some Team Totals tomorrow if I am not too hungover or in a hurry to get out and day drink during Auburn's game.

 

[TLankford]

Got on a few team totals and now it's time to go back to bed for a while

VTech Under 18.5

Kentucky Under 21.5

Arkansas Over 19

 

[TLankford]

Auburn -3 2nd Half

 

[TLankford]

It appears Vegas still has not woken up.

Is this line "too low"? Absolutely
Does that mean you need to take the other side? Hell no
Say thank you to Vegas and get paid until they wake up.

Auburn -7 over Tennessee

:0008

This team looks better every week. And passes the ball fewer times each week :mj07:

 

[TLankford]

Texas A&M TT Over 43.5

Shouldn't be a tough number to hit at home. Dogs should put up enough on the board themselves to keep A&M on the go