TLank Bowl Season

TLankford

Donkey
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Nov 24, 2005
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Figured starting a new thread for bowls was the hip thing to do so I'll get with it. Gonna try to stay conservative with the # of plays, although it's very tempting to try and pick a winner every game.

YTD: 31-20 Don't do "units." It is what it is :0008

Put in a few plays today. Don't see the lines getting any better and most of the news about coaching has come and gone so, barring any random suspensions/arrests, we know what we're dealing with for each team.

Wisconsin +7.5 -145

Badgers haven't lost by more than 7 all season. Not sure who is the better team out of OSU and Stanford, but if Wisconsin can hang in physical games with a few teams on their schedule, they should be able to keep it close with Stanford. Cardinals didn't blow out any of their decent opponents this year, besides UCLA in game 1 of their series where UCLA could have been uninspired since they were rematching the next week. Also the Badgers probably got an upgrade at head coach for the game. 21-20 Stanford

Oregon State -130

First time I looked at OSU I had to question whether their resume this year was that impressive or not. But then I realized they were playing Texas. I hope Cody Vaz is starting for this game. Watched him and Mannion play a few games each and Vaz is the better QB who takes a lot better care of the ball. I think OSU's defense is just as good as others that have put the clamps on Texas's pretty pathetic offense. Texas's defense isn't what is used to be and either QB for the Beavers should be able to lead them down the field plenty of times. 31-21 Beavers

LSU -175

Clemson's offense got exposed by USCe in the last game of the season. Easily the best defense they played all year and it showed. LSU has the athletes and the speed on D to slow down that 4-some of boyd, andre, sammy and hopkins. Clemson's defense on the other hand... can't stop a leaky faucet. LSU should be able to play ball control like USCe and keep Clemson's offense off the field. 40-20 split on possession in the CU-USC game. Mettenger just needs to manage the game for an win here. And Les Miles needs to stay out of LSU's way. 24-13 LSU

Northwestern +115

Every team with a pulse beat MSU pretty handily this year. Dan Mullen is not a good coach. Don't care what anyone says about that... There is a decent amount of talent on MSU's defense, but they give up a ton of yards to spread Os. Pat Fitzgerald is a good coach and I think has done well with what he has to work with at NW. Kain Colter is a player too. He's certainly no Johnny Football, but I can see him putting up some good numbers like Manziel did against the bulldogs. 31-24 NW

Washington - Boise Under 46.5

Washington D had a few bad games this year including their season finale. However, 3 of the 4 teams that put up points on them were spread offenses. Boise is not. Both teams love to grind it out, run the ball and play defense. They aren't built for shootouts. And both of these offenses have gotten shut down by most, if not all, of the good defenses they've played. 20-14 Boise

Texas Tech - Minnesota Under 57.5

First of all I'm not really sure how the Gophers got invited to a bowl. Pretty sad if you look at their schedule. I know Tuberville bolted to Cincy, but I don't think his defense left with him. The guys he left behind at AU were fundamentally sound and knew how to play ball after he was long gone. Minnesota isn't going to put up many points in this game. Just no way around that. If Tech puts up 40+ this total could be in trouble. Gophers held a few other high scoring offenses to a reasonable number so hopefully they can do that again in this bowl. 38-10 Tech

Vandy -6.5 -122

Pretty bad draw for NCST getting the best Vandy team in a half century at a home bowl game in Nashville. I know they played early in the year and you're not supposed to use transitive properties in gambling blah blah blah. Tennessee and NCState are the same team. Vandy is a lot better than both of them. I think Dana Bible is in over his head coaching against Franklin. Rodgers and Stacy were both playing their best football the last 4-5 games of the season for Vandy and should be able to have a field day against that sad NCST D. 35-21 Dores

All for now. Looking hard at Texas A&M and South Carolina, but don't like giving more than a field goal in either of those. One of them may make the plays, but besides those, any other plays will be Team Totals or 1st Half plays

:0003
 
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in the black

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Dec 27, 2004
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Kind of like that Tech under.Tech OC Neal Brown moving on to Ky and not coaching the bowl game may also help that total?
 

TLankford

Donkey
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Nov 24, 2005
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Definitely should help keep Tech's points in check. Gophers really aren't that much of a threat to score on anyone.
 

TLankford

Donkey
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Nov 24, 2005
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Started off the season with an L in that unforeseen washington-boise shoot out. Oh well.

SJST - BG 1st Half Under 23 -117

Cincy 1st Half -4 -132
 
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TLankford

Donkey
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Nov 24, 2005
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Thanks man. Horrendous start to bowl season. 1-4 :facepalm:

Vandy is my favorite play of the entire spiel.

Max Bet on -6.5 with the buy.

also:

1H Vandy -4
1H Vandy/NCST Under 27 -124

Debating on trying for a middle in Clemson game since the line has kept moving up. Have the -175 ML and could buy up to +7 for -142 odds. Will wait and see how the Vandy game looks before doing anything else though.
 
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TLankford

Donkey
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Nov 24, 2005
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Big hit on the Vandy game. Score prediction was only off by a few points a piece.

Adding a play on ISU +3 -127

Like Paul Rhodes a lot think he's a solid coach. Better team IMO
 
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TLankford

Donkey
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Nov 24, 2005
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well if it weren't for this:

And Les Miles needs to stay out of LSU's way.

original plays would have come out 4-3 instead of 3-4.

5-7 so far but a little in the black thanks to Vandy being a huge play.

Decent sized play tonght:

Louisville TT Under 17.5 -132
 
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TLankford

Donkey
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Nov 24, 2005
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Pretty bad showing for bowl season. Haven't been capping as much as during the season and didn't like a lot of half or team total lines. Have a few props tonight I'm going to get on. No real opinion on the game. It should go under and Bama should win but who knows :shrug: so I just went with some props I think have a good chance of hitting. They're not all the same amount so I'll do a units deal

3U Bama TT Under 27.5 -142

3U 1Q Under 7.5 -115

1.5U First Score NOT a TD +135

1.5U No Score in 1st 7:00 -105

2U Longest TD Scored Under 39.5 yards -115

2U 1st Turnover is an INT +155

GL :0003
 

smax

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Feb 1, 2005
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NOW--these are interesting. I like them all except the longest touchdown 39.5.

I use a local so I don't have a play for these BUT, I think you have some winners.

Best of luck :0074
 
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