I agree with your guys thoughts on the Over for the Carolina/Florida game. I did a little number crunching and here is what I came up with, assuming weekes vs. kidd.
Kidd this season: 7O-3U-5P
last five: 5O-0U-5P
Specifically, the goals/game home/away:
home: 7, 7, 8, 6, 7, 4, 12, 5
away: 7, 4, 4, 8, 2, 6, 6, 5, 5, 6, 6, 5, 5, 9, 5
all of those games are in chronological order from beginning of season till now.
We'll have to remember to keep that home stat in mind for Kidd if he plays at home again, those numbers look great for the over!
Now, Weekes:
Last 5 games, 2O-0U-3P
specifically, 7, 5, 5, 8, 5
Also read that the Canes are getting sick of home ties, so look for them to try to score more than usual.
(just realized 1 error in my research, all were assuming a line of 5 goals for the O/U analysis).
Either way, think this one looks real good. hope this helps.