tonight

JustFootball

Registered User
Forum Member
Sep 24, 2004
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as much as i respect many of the cappers on this board who like dallas tonight, I can't agree.

consider a few key points:

the skins haven't had a home game of this magnitude since hosting the lions in a wildcard game in '99. few stadiums rocked like RFK and Snyderville has never had the excitement of tonight's matchup.

the redskins d is not as horrible as some imply. the run d ranks fifth in the NFL. yes, the cowboys put up 31 against the redskins in dallas. rgIII and the offense simply outscored them. the key will be romo's ability to recognize blitzes as well as the offensive look of the cowboys. they are great at looking run-heavy to murray and then dumping a swing pass to either murray or witten. don't forget that jim haslett is calling the redskins d and I don't see him coming in with a plan that will allow 31 points tonight. probably blitz-heavy but disguised. everyone in the house knows that romo getting knocked around or rushed is a recipe for bad decisions and picks.

on the other side, rgIII is not 100% but as we have seen this year, his legs are only part of his success. he is a bona fide excellent passer and that showed again last week. i think he will be able to move enough to keep d's pass rush honest and i would imagine that shanny moves the pocket.

in short...advantages...

qb --- wash
coaching --- wash (garrett is pathetic)
rb --- people seem to forget that morris has rumbled this year
wr -- dallas
te -- dallas
d -- even (wash more vulnerable to pass; dallas more vulnerable to run)

home field -- huge for washington

I see washington covering this by 7. I will take wash and buy the half down to 2'. gl whatever you decide. for what it's worth, i've seen a lot of guys on the under and i would agree. i think both teams will come out a bit conservative, not wanting to make a big mistake early/ :0008
 

ldabdou

Chillaxin
Forum Member
Dec 28, 2004
9,342
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Nor Cal
as much as i respect many of the cappers on this board who like dallas tonight, I can't agree.

consider a few key points:

the skins haven't had a home game of this magnitude since hosting the lions in a wildcard game in '99. few stadiums rocked like RFK and Snyderville has never had the excitement of tonight's matchup.

the redskins d is not as horrible as some imply. the run d ranks fifth in the NFL. yes, the cowboys put up 31 against the redskins in dallas. rgIII and the offense simply outscored them. the key will be romo's ability to recognize blitzes as well as the offensive look of the cowboys. they are great at looking run-heavy to murray and then dumping a swing pass to either murray or witten. don't forget that jim haslett is calling the redskins d and I don't see him coming in with a plan that will allow 31 points tonight. probably blitz-heavy but disguised. everyone in the house knows that romo getting knocked around or rushed is a recipe for bad decisions and picks.

on the other side, rgIII is not 100% but as we have seen this year, his legs are only part of his success. he is a bona fide excellent passer and that showed again last week. i think he will be able to move enough to keep d's pass rush honest and i would imagine that shanny moves the pocket.

in short...advantages...

qb --- wash
coaching --- wash (garrett is pathetic)
rb --- people seem to forget that morris has rumbled this year
wr -- dallas
te -- dallas
d -- even (wash more vulnerable to pass; dallas more vulnerable to run)

home field -- huge for washington

I see washington covering this by 7. I will take wash and buy the half down to 2'. gl whatever you decide. for what it's worth, i've seen a lot of guys on the under and i would agree. i think both teams will come out a bit conservative, not wanting to make a big mistake early/ :0008

Why buy pts at all if you think they will win by 7...:shrug:
 

JustFootball

Registered User
Forum Member
Sep 24, 2004
878
87
28
baltimore
The same reason anybody buys. i want to get off a key number in what i believe will be a fairly close game. i think that saying the skins will win by 7 indicates that. i'm capping, not using a crystal ball.

wish i could be precise enough to know exactly when to buy a half point. :142smilie
 
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