totals for tuesday >>>

[loophole]

fla/phi over 8-: both teams coming off good offensive series. phillies offense especially rolling since burrell inserted in cleanup. burrell in may - 32/94, .340 b/a, 9 hr's, 24 rbi, 23 k. beckett's first game back since he took that shellacking in cincy last week. don't know if on the road in philly is the setting to get your confidence back. he's also 3-0 to the over in his philly starts. adams has been past the 6th once in his 10 starts, so we should see plenty of the philly bullpen. marlins over 8 of last 10, phillies 5-1-1 over last 7, teams over 8 of last 10 mtgs.

chi/mil over 8: woods has had some control issues and one thing that has been predictable about home plate ump tschida is that you can count on him for 7-8 bb/gm. if that holds true tonight woods should be spending considerable time pitching out of the stretch. figueroa's problem has been the gopher balls - 12 hr's in 42 innings this year. not too good considering his whip over 2 last 3 starts. sammy must be licking his chops.

sea/oak over 8-: hudson's struggles this season well aired. his last 5 starts vs seattle have all gone over. remains to be seen if soriano can go deep into games, especially on the road. home plate ump schreiber fairly neutral but has been walking 8 a game. oakland 18-9 over at home, teams 13-4-1 over last 18 mtgs.

 

[loophole]

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hou/az over 9: a little leery of astro's unreliable bats but willing to give this one a go with no hook on the 9. 'zona obviously an over machine at the bob, over 20 of 27 there and 8 of the last 9. az also over 12 of last 16. miller just back in the rotation and has terrible numbers thus far - 8.55 era, 10.80 away, 9.00 at night, 6.30 vs the d'backs. he's also over his last 5 starts. helling has been bad at home, 9.57 era, also 7.27 at night. home plate ump fletcher 3-7 to the under this year, but 3 of those games went under by a half-run and his rpg average is over 10. he also has a fairly low k/bb ratio and has been primarily an over ump in years past

 

[loophole]

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bos/det over 9: why do i think the bubble is going to burst on burkett soon? the guy has a lifetime era around 4 and a half and i just see it around that level before the year is out. anyway, he ain't hanging around more than 6 or so, which means plenty of that nice unreliable boston bp. greisinger is a hack, he couldn't make it the second time through anybody's lineup without getting hit, and the red sox are gonna be ready to roll after last night's debacle. boston offense has been steady with five or more runs in 8 of the last 10; detroit not too bad either with 4 or more in 7 of last 10.



like most tempermental artists, i go through my phases, and right now i'm in an "over" phase, as you can tell. because of the early season proliferation of unders, the linemaker has adjusted the total lines steadily downward, the result being totals that are a good half-run to a run lower than they were just 2-3 weeks ago. along with that factor, pitchers are starting to have their first bouts with fatigue andf dead arms, teams are getting multiple looks, and the summer is starting to heat up. all in all, i just feel that the time is right to start looking for some selective over plays, especially on pitchers that have been cruising along at their seasonal peaks. it's been working well the last week or so - we'll see if it holds up.

 

[Lightning]

Good work Loop ... I'm on 3 of your 4 and I was looking at the Cubs/Brewers but you never know when Wood will have all is stuff (including control) and come up with a great game resulting in a shutout.

As far as Burkett, I used to bet against him as much as possible a few years ago but then he signed as a FA with Atlanta and they changed something cause he is now a pretty good pitcher. It took me a few losses last year till I learned my lesson. Whatever the Atlanta pitching coaches did, they turned him from a bum who had one decent year in Texas a few years ago into a pitcher.

Anyway, Good Luck tonight!

 

[wufdude]

loophole...always enjoy your write-ups....looking forward to f-ball and hopefully a big year from the Pack....unbelievable the difference Amato has made in the program...I did see where one of the stud recruits, Elijah Dukes, was the 2nd pick in the 3rd round today...I doubt we'll ever see him wear a State jersey but word on the street was that if it wasn't baseball, his grades would keep him out...thanks again for the bases analyses

 

[ndnfan]

GL today...glad to have you back posting these totals again