A few years ago I started tracking how teams did following a 17 point win or loss theory being linemakers and public would "adjust" line too much giving some extra value. It worked pretty well. This year I'm going track something else. Calling it the Big Bang theory.
Fade any team that won by 21 or more and benefited from a plus 3 advantage or more in net turnovers. Again theory being that the odds would be overinflated, but also that the blowout was overvalued because they got turnovers that they probably won't get this week.
This weeks fade.
Steelers who benefited from a plus 4 in turnovers.
and a 27 point win
Take + 9.5 for beer money.
Fade any team that won by 21 or more and benefited from a plus 3 advantage or more in net turnovers. Again theory being that the odds would be overinflated, but also that the blowout was overvalued because they got turnovers that they probably won't get this week.
This weeks fade.
Steelers who benefited from a plus 4 in turnovers.
and a 27 point win
Take + 9.5 for beer money.
