Trend sheet 4/29

[cisco]

Hot Pitchers
-- Gallardo is 1-0, 1.20 in his last two starts. Snell is 1-1, 2.50 in his last three outings.
-- Johnson is 2-0, 2.20 in four starts this season. Santana is 3-1, 1.40.
-- Davis has 3.15 RA in his last three starts.
-- Wainwright is 2-0, 3.50 in his last three starts. Vazquez is 2-0, 1.50 in his last couple starts.
-- Paulino has 3.00 RA in two starts this season.
-- Lincecum is 1-0, 0.56 in his last two starts. Dodgers are 3-0 in Stults starts (2-0, 3.52).

-- Uehara has 2.63 RA in his last two starts.
-- Bedard is 2-1, 2.18 in his last three starts.
-- Lester is 1-0, 1.38 in his last couple starts.
-- Greinke is 4-0, 0.00 in 29 IP this year (one unearned run allowed). Tallet is 1-0, 1.64 in his two starts.
-- Kazmir is 2-0, 0.75 in two road starts. Blackburn is 1-0, 3.29 in his last two starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Colorado is 0-4 in Cook starts (0-1, 8.35). Correia is 0-1, 4.50 in his three starts this season.
-- Dempster has a 5.50 RA in his last three starts.
-- Olsen is 0-3, 6.33 in four starts this season.
-- Myers is 1-1, 4.91 in four starts this season.
-- Volquez is 0-2, 7.71 in two home starts.

-- Loux is 0-2, 6.61 in three starts this season.
-- Floyd has 7.71 RA in his last three starts.
-- Carmona is 1-3, 7.77 in four starts this season.
-- Chamberlain is 0-0, 5.63 in three starts this year. Porcello is 1-2, 5.00 in his first three big league starts.
-- Outman is 0-0, 8.64 in two starts this season. Padilla is 1-1, 8.27 in his four starts this season.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies won last five games, scoring 48 runs.
-- Astros won their last three games, allowing six runs.
-- Cardinals won eight of their last twelve games. .
-- Brewers won seven of their last nine games.
-- Giants won seven of their last ten games.


-- Tigers won five of their first seven home games.
-- Blue Jays are 8-4 on the road this season.
-- Red Sox won eleven of their last twelve games.
-- Armadillosports.com is America's favorite website.
-- Twins won four of their last five home games.
-- Mariners are 12-6 in their last eighteen games.
-- Rangers won four of their last five games.

Cold Teams
-- Pirates are 4-6 in their last ten road games.
-- Braves lost four of their last five home games.
-- Nationals are 1-10 on the road, outscored 81-51.
-- Marlins lost seven of their last eight games. Mets lost six of their last nine games.
-- Reds are 4-6 in their ten home games this season.
-- Padres lost six of their last eight games. Rockies lost 11 of their last 15 games.
-- Cubs lost five of their last seven games. Arizona are 6-10 in their last sixteen games.
-- Dodgers are 7-7 in their last fourteen road games.

-- Orioles lost ten of their last thirteen games. Angels are 2-5 on road.
-- Bronx Bombers lost four of their last five games.
-- Indians are 5-6 at home so far this season.
-- Royals lost six of their last nine games.
-- Rays lost ten of their last fourteen games.
-- White Sox lost four of their last six games.
-- Oakland lost its last five road games.

Totals
-- Eight of last eleven Washington road games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven St Louis road games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-4 in last twelve Cincinnati games.
-- Five of last six Florida games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven games at Miller Park went over the total.
-- Seven of eight Colorado home games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Arizona games; seven of last nine Cub games went over.
-- Over is 11-2-1 in last fourteen Dodger games.


-- Over is 11-5 in Orioles' last sixteen games.
-- Four of last six Bronx road games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Cleveland games stayed under the total. 11 of last 14 Boston games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-4 in Kansas City home games.
-- Last five Minnesota games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last eleven White Sox games went over the total.
-- Eight of ten Texas home games went over the total.

Umpire stats
-- Wsh-Phil-- There isn't enough data for umpire Tichenor yet.
-- StL-Atl-- Four of five Montague games went over the total.
-- Hst-Cin-- There isn't enough evidence on umpire Causey yet.
-- Fla-NY-- Underdog won two of three Barry games.
-- Pitt-Mil-- Favorite won all three Foster games.
-- SD-Colo-- Three of four Crawford games went over the total.
-- Chi-Ariz-- Road team won four of five Kellogg games.
-- LA-SF-- Underdog won four of five McClelland games, with three of last four going over the total.

-- NY-Det-- Both Runge games stayed under the total, with underdogs winning both games.
-- Bos-Clev-- All six Davis games this season went over the total.
-- LAA-Balt-- Average total in BWelke's three games this year: 10.3.
-- A's-Tex-- There isn't enough data for umpire Campos yet.
-- Tor-KC-- Favorite won all three Winters games.
-- TB-Minn-- Underdog won two of three Dreckman games.
-- Sea-CWS-- Road team won two of three Tschida games this year.

 

[cisco]

Wednesday's Tip Sheet
By Brad Young

Most of the focus this time of year is on the NBA Playoffs or NHL Playoffs, but there is still plenty of value concerning Major League Baseball. Today?s Tip Sheet will focus on two games in the National League and the American League. The baseball season is now almost a month old, meaning some solid trends are starting to appear in the stat sheet. Now let?s take a closer look at four key contests on Wednesday?s schedule.

**Cardinals (Wainwright) at Braves (Vazquez)**

-Las Vegas Sports Consultants installed Atlanta as a $1.25 home ?chalk? over St. Louis, with the total set at 8 ? ?under? (minus $1.20). This National League matchup is slated to start at 7:10 p.m. ET.

-St. Louis right-hander Adam Wainwright (2-0, 2.70 ERA) picked up a no-decision Friday against Chicago. The five-year veteran went seven innings while allowing three runs (one earned) on seven hits with a walk and six strikeouts.

-The Cardinals eventually won that contest as a $1.28 home favorite, 4-3, while the combined seven runs went ?under? the 8 ?-run closing total. St. Louis is 3-1 in Wainwright?s four starts, while the ?over? has also gone 3-1.

-The 27-year-old beat the Braves last season as a $2.00 home ?chalk,? 18-3, tossing six innings while being reached for one run on five hits (one home run) with a walk and four strikeouts. The combined 21 runs soared ?over? the nine-run closing total.

-Atlanta?s Javier Vazquez (2-1, 2.63 ERA) has won his last two starts after knocking off Cincinnati Friday as a $1.00 road selection, 4-3. The Puerto Rico native went six innings, surrendering two runs (one earned) on seven hits with a walk and nine strikeouts.

-The combined seven runs failed to eclipse the 8 ?-run closing total.

-Vazquez, a 12-year veteran who pitched for the Chicago White Sox the previous few seasons, has not started against St. Louis the last three years.

**Dodgers (Stults) at Giants (Lincecum)**

-LVSC opened San Francisco as a $1.50 home favorite over Los Angeles, with the total listed at 7 ?. This NL West contest is scheduled to begin at 10:15 p.m. ET.

-Los Angeles hurler Eric Stults (2-0, 3.52 ERA) received his first no-decision of the young season after tossing five innings in Friday?s effort against Colorado. The four-year veteran was reached for three runs on seven hits with five walks and three strikeouts.

-The Dodgers eventually prevailed as a $1.13 road underdog, 6-5, while the combined 11 runs slithered ?over? the 10 ?-run closing total. The ?over? is 2-0-1 during his three starts this year.

-The southpaw beat San Francisco April 16 as a $1.70 home favorite, 7-2, going five innings while yielding two runs on five hits with three walks and two strikeouts. The combined nine runs landed directly on the closing total.

-San Francisco?s Tim Lincecum (1-1, 2.96 ERA) earned his first victory of the year by upending Arizona Friday as a $1.25 road ?chalk,? 5-1. The reigning NL Cy Young recipient went eight innings while being reached for the lone run on five hits with a walk and 12 strikeouts.

-The combined six runs went ?under? the 8 ?-run closing total, helping the ?under? cash his second consecutive start.

-The 24-year-old beat the Dodgers last season as a $1.70 home favorite, 3-1, going seven innings while allowing one run on four hits with two walks and 13 strikeouts. The combined four runs went ?under? the seven-run closing total.

**Red Sox (Lester) at Indians (Carmona)**

-LVSC lists Boston as a $1.25 road ?chalk? over Cleveland, with the total set at 9 ? ?under? (minus $1.20). This American League tilt is slated to start at 7:05 p.m. ET.

-Boston southpaw Jon Lester (1-2, 4.88 ERA) is off Friday?s no-decision against New York. The 6-foot-2 hurler tossed six innings, surrendering two runs on seven hits with three walks and seven strikeouts.

-The Red Sox eventually won that affair as a $1.40 home favorite, 5-4, while the combined nine runs slithered ?under? the 9 ?-run closing total. The ?under? has cashed his last two starts.

-Lester went 1-0 against the Indians last year in two starts, going a combined 10 1/3 innings while yielding five runs on seven hits with six walks and seven strikeouts. The Red Sox won as a $1.15 road underdog, 6-4, and as a $1.75 home ?chalk,? 6-1.

-Cleveland pitcher Fausto Carmona (1-3, 7.36 ERA) hopes to rebound from Friday?s setback to Minnesota as a $1.45 home favorite, 5-1. The Dominican Republic native went six innings, yielding five runs (four earned) on eight hits (one home run) with two walks and seven strikeouts.

-The combined six runs failed to topple the 10-run closing total, helping the ?under? go 2-1 his last three starts.

-Carmona escaped with a no-decision against the Red Sox last season, lasting just one inning while surrendering four runs on five hits with a walk and a strikeout. The Indians eventually dropped that contest as a $1.47 road underdog, 5-4, while the combined nine runs went ?under? the 10-run closing total.

**Rays (Kazmir) at Twins (Blackburn)**

-LVSC opened Tampa Bay as a $1.25 road favorite over Minnesota, with the total listed at eight ?over? (minus $1.20). This contest is scheduled to begin at 8:10 p.m. ET.

-Tampa Bay ace pitcher Scott Kazmir (3-1, 3.97 ERA) cruised past Oakland Friday as a $1.30 road ?chalk,? 8-2, tossing six scoreless innings on two hits with three walks and two strikeouts.

-The combined 10 runs went ?over? the eight-run closing total, helping the ?over? improve to 4-0 this season when he?s pitching.

-Kazmir beat the Twins last season as a $1.55 home favorite, 7-2, pitching six scoreless innings on five hits with a walk and five strikeouts. The combined nine runs went ?over? the eight-run closing total.

-Minnesota righty Nick Blackburn (1-1, 4.44 ERA) is coming off of his first victory of the season after Friday?s win over Cleveland as a $1.35 road underdog, 5-1. The 27-year-old was reached for one run on six hits with no walks and four strikeouts over seven innings.

-The combined six runs failed to eclipse the 10-run closing total, helping the ?under? improve to 2-1 his last three outings.

-Blackburn fell to the Rays last year in his lone start against them as a $1.11 road underdog, 11-1. The 6-foot-4 hurler survived just 1 1/3 innings, allowing six runs on six hits with three walks and no strikeouts. The combined 12 runs went ?over? the nine-run closing total.

 

[cisco]

Wednesday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
By Covers.com

Streaking

Zack Greinke (Kansas City Royals)

Coming off consecutive complete-game efforts, the Kansas City right-hander looks to become the major leagues' first five-game winner Wednesday night when the Royals continue a four-game home set with the Toronto Blue Jays.

Greinke (4-0, 0.00 ERA) continued his dominance that began late last season after giving up an unearned run and three hits while striking out 10 for the second straight contest in a 6-1 win over Detroit at home on Friday. The 25-year-old pitched a seven-hitter in a 2-0 victory at Texas on April 18 in his previous start.

"When Greinke pitches, the Royals are as good as any team in baseball," Tigers manager Jim Leyland said.

Johan Santana (New York Mets)

Johan Santana will look to continue his nearly flawless start Wednesday afternoon, but he'll also be looking for revenge against the only team - and only pitcher - to beat him as the Mets and visiting Florida Marlins play the decisive finale of their three-game series.

New York's second through fifth starters have a combined 6.64 ERA in 16 outings - leaving Manuel to speculate about possible changes - but its ace has lived up to his billing. Santana (3-1, 0.70 ERA) has been the NL's best starting pitcher, yielding two earned runs in 25 2-3 innings while striking out 37.

Tim Lincecum (San Francisco Giants)

Lincecum has pitched every bit like an ace his last two times out, and he'll look to keep rolling Wednesday night as his San Francisco Giants play the decisive third game of their series against the visiting Los Angeles Dodgers.

Lincecum is 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA in three games - two starts - against Los Angeles (14-7). He struck out 13 over seven innings in his lone start versus the Dodgers last season, yielding a run and four hits in a 3-1 home win Sept. 28.

Slumping

Shane Loux (Los Angeles Angels)

Shane Loux (0-2, 6.61 ERA) looks to rebound from his worst performance of the season for Los Angeles. The right-hander's ERA jumped nearly three full runs after he was reached for seven runs and 11 hits over four innings Friday in an 8-3 home loss to Seattle.

He made his only career appearance against the Orioles on Aug. 5, throwing two scoreless innings of relief in the Angels' 3-0 loss

 

[cisco]

LA ANGELS vs. BALTIMORE
LA Angels are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games when playing Baltimore
LA Angels are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games on the road
Baltimore is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Baltimore is 2-7 SU in their last 9 games when playing LA Angels

PITTSBURGH vs. MILWAUKEE
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

FLORIDA vs. NY METS
Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
Florida is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
NY Mets are 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Florida
NY Mets are 3-6 SU in its last 9 games

SEATTLE vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Seattle is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Seattle is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Seattle

SAN DIEGO vs. COLORADO
San Diego is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
Colorado is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games

CHI CUBS vs. ARIZONA
Chi Cubs are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Chi Cubs are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games
Arizona is 11-3 SU in their last 14 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

NY YANKEES vs. DETROIT
NY Yankees are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit
NY Yankees are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
Detroit is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing NY Yankees

WASHINGTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Washington is 1-18 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington

HOUSTON vs. CINCINNATI
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Houston is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

ST. LOUIS vs. ATLANTA
St. Louis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
St. Louis is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

BOSTON vs. CLEVELAND
Boston is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Cleveland is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Boston

OAKLAND vs. TEXAS
Oakland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Texas is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Oakland
Texas is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing Oakland

TAMPA BAY vs. MINNESOTA
Tampa Bay is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

TORONTO vs. KANSAS CITY
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

LA DODGERS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
LA Dodgers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road
LA Dodgers are 12-4 SU in their last 16 games
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
San Francisco is 8-17 SU in their last 25 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

 

[cisco]

National League

PITTSBURGH at MILWAUKEE
SNELL: PIT 22-11 OVER as a road underdog of +150 to +200
GALLARDO: MIL 58-30 at home in the first half of the season

FLORIDA at NY METS
JOHNSON: 8-2 TSR as an underdog
SANTANA: NYM 19-5 OVER when playing on Wednesday

SAN DIEGO at COLORADO
CORREIA: 14-6 TSR against division opponents
COOK: COL 38-62 in the first half of the season

CHICAGO CUBS at ARIZONA
DEMPSTER: 43-21 TSR when the money line is -100 to -150
DAVIS: ARI 10-18 when playing on Wednesday

WASHINGTON at PHILADELPHIA
OLSEN: 15-3 OVER as a road underdog of +125 to +175
MYERS: 3-9 TSR at home when the total is 10 or higher

ST LOUIS at ATLANTA
WAINWRIGHT: STL 9-2 when the money line is +125 to -125
VAZQUEZ: ATL 16-32 against NL Central

HOUSTON at CINCINNATI
PAULINO: HOU 10-2 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150
VOLQUEZ: CIN 50-69 against right-handed starters

LA DODGERS at SAN FRANCISCO
STULTS: LAD 41-26 in April
LINCECUM: SF 24-10 when playing with a day off


American League

LA ANGELS at BALTIMORE
LOUX: LAA 25-16 as a road underdog
UEHARA: BAL 14-38 in day games

SEATTLE at CHI WHITE SOX
BEDARD: SEA 19-35 when the money line is -100 to -150
FLOYD: CHW 11-0 as a home underdog of +100 to +125

BOSTON at CLEVELAND
LESTER: 28-10 TSR in night games
CARMONA: CLE 2-7 in night games

NY YANKEES at DETROIT
CHAMBERLAIN: NYY 72-52 as a favorite
PORCELLO: DET 22-42 as an underdog

OAKLAND at TEXAS
CAHILL: OAK 14-27 AWAY when the money line is +125 to -125
PADILLA: 9-2 TSR against division opponents

TORONTO at KANSAS CITY
TALLET: TOR 11-23 as a road underdog of +125 to +150
GREINKE: 8-1 TSR in April

TAMPA BAY at MINNESOTA
KAZMIR: 21-6 TSR as a favorite
BLACKBURN: MIN 14-28 against AL East