Trend sheet 5/11

[cisco]

Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Indians

- Divisional bragging rights will be on the line on Monday when the Chicago White Sox and the Cleveland Indians meet at Progressive Field.

Gavin Floyd will be the starting pitcher for the White Sox on this day. Righthander Floyd is 2-2 this season with a 6.29 ERA.

Floyd's opponent in this one will be Carl Pavano. The Indians righthander has a 6.61 ERA to go along with a 2-3 record this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Indians listed as 133-moneyline favorites versus the White Sox, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The White Sox lost to Texas 7-1 as a -110 favorite on Sunday. The eight runs scored fell UNDER the posted over/under total (10).

Jermaine Dye scored the White Sox's lone run on a wild pitch, while Bartolo Colon gave up five runs on five hits in 4 2-3 innings.

The Indians lost to Detroit 5-3 as a -125 favorite on Sunday. The eight runs scored fell UNDER the posted over/under total (10).

Grady Sizemore drove a run for Cleveland and Anthony Reyes surrendered five runs on seven hits in five innings.

Current streak:
Cleveland has lost 4 straight games.

Team records:
Chicago: 14-16 SU
Cleveland: 11-21 SU

Chicago most recently:
When playing on Monday are 1-9
Before playing Cleveland are 4-6
After playing Texas are 5-5
After a loss are 6-4

Cleveland most recently:
When playing on Monday are 3-7
Before playing Chi White Sox are 5-5
After playing Detroit are 5-5
After a loss are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games
Chi White Sox are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chi White Sox's last 12 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 11 games at home
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 12 games when playing Chi White Sox


Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets

- Divisional bragging rights will be on the line on Monday when the Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets meet at Citi Field.

The Braves will pin their hopes on the pitching of ace righthander Derek Lowe in this game. Lowe has a 4-1 record and a 3.98 ERA this season.

It'll be ace Johan Santana toeing the rubber for the Mets in this contest. Lefthander Santana is 4-1 with a 0.91 ERA so far this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Mets listed as 210-moneyline favorites versus the Braves, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Braves defeated Philadelphia 4-2 as a +135 underdog on Sunday. The six runs scored fell UNDER the posted over/under total (10.5).

Casey Kotchman was 3-5 with three RBI for Atlanta, while Kenshin Kawakami went six innings and allowed two runs on five hits.

The Mets defeated Pittsburgh 8-4 as a -160 favorite on Sunday. The 12 runs scored went OVER the posted over/under total (9.5).

Luis Castillo and Omir Santos were both 2-4 with a pair of RBI for New York, while Livan Hernandez allowed two runs on seven hits in six innings.

Current streak:
Atlanta has won 2 straight games.
New York has won 7 straight games.

Team records:
Atlanta: 15-16 SU
New York: 17-13 SU

Atlanta most recently:
When playing on Monday are 7-3
Before playing NY Mets are 3-7
After playing Philadelphia are 6-4
After a win are 4-6

New York most recently:
When playing on Monday are 6-4
Before playing Atlanta are 7-3
After playing Pittsburgh are 8-2
After a win are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
NY Mets are 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
NY Mets are 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
NY Mets are 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing Atlanta


Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

- The Cincinnati Reds and the Arizona Diamondbacks will both be trying to pick up a win on Monday when they battle at Chase Field.

Bronson Arroyo will be the starting pitcher for the Reds on this day. Righthander Arroyo is 4-2 this season with a 7.15 ERA.

Starting this game for the Diamondbacks will be Jon Garland. The righthander has a 4.03 ERA to go along with a 3-1 record this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Diamondbacks listed as 125-moneyline favorites versus the Reds, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Reds lost to St. Louis 8-7 as a -110 favorite on Sunday. The 15 runs scored went OVER the posted over/under total (.

Jay Bruce hit a two-run home run for Cincinnati, while Joey Votto and Adam Rosales added solo shots.

The Diamondbacks defeated Washington 10-8 as a -175 favorite on Sunday. The 18 runs scored went OVER the posted over/under total (9).

Eric Byrnes homered and drove in three runs for Arizona, while Chris Snyder also had three RBI

Team records:
Cincinnati: 17-14 SU
Arizona: 13-19 SU

Cincinnati most recently:
When playing on Monday are 4-6
Before playing Arizona are 5-5
After playing St. Louis are 4-6
After a loss are 8-2

Arizona most recently:
When playing on Monday are 3-7
Before playing Cincinnati are 4-6
After playing Washington are 4-6
After a win are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cincinnati's last 15 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Arizona's last 15 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games at home


Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants

- The Washington Nationals and the San Francisco Giants will both be trying to pick up a win on Monday when they battle at AT&T Park.

The Nationals will give the ball to starter Daniel Cabrera in this one. Righthander Cabrera is 0-3 this season with a 4.86 ERA.

It'll be Randy Johnson toeing the rubber for the Giants in this contest. Lefthander Johnson is 2-3 with a 5.68 ERA so far this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Giants listed as 145-moneyline favorites versus the Nationals, while the game's total has not yet been posted.

The Nationals lost to Arizona 10-8 as a +165 underdog on Sunday. The 18 runs scored went OVER the posted over/under total (9).

Adam Dunn homered twice and had three RBI for Washington, while Scott Olsen surrendered five runs on 10 hits in 4 1-3 innings.

The Giants defeated the Dodgers 7-5 in 13 innings as a -130 favorite on Sunday. The 12 runs scored went OVER the posted over/under total (7.5).

Randy Winn was 4-6 and drove in a pair of runs in the 13th inning and Emmanuel Burriss was 4-7 with an RBI in the win.

Team records:
Washington: 10-19 SU
San Francisco: 16-14 SU

Washington most recently:
When playing on Monday are 2-8
Before playing San Francisco are 3-7
After playing Arizona are 4-6
After a loss are 5-5

San Francisco most recently:
When playing on Monday are 3-7
Before playing Washington are 6-4
After playing LA Dodgers are 5-5
After a win are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
San Francisco is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
San Francisco is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games

 

[cisco]

CHI WHITE SOX vs. CLEVELAND
Chi White Sox are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox

ATLANTA vs. NY METS
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
NY Mets are 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing Atlanta

CINCINNATI vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 11 games

WASHINGTON vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games on the road
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 16 of San Francisco's last 24 games when playing at home against Washington

 

[cisco]

Monday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
By Covers.com

Streaking

Johan Santana, New York Mets

The Mets' $137 million ace has the NL's best ERA but he's never beaten the Atlanta Braves, a drought he'll hope to end Monday night when New York looks for its eighth straight victory in the opener of a three-game series at Citi Field.

Santana (4-1, 0.91 ERA) signed a six-year, $137.5 million contract extension on Feb. 2, 2008, the final step toward a blockbuster deal that sent him from Minnesota to New York armed with, at the time, the richest deal ever for a pitcher.

Santana has looked to be worth the investment so far for the Mets (17-13). He went 16-7 with a major league-best 2.53 ERA in his first season in New York and has looked even more dominant in 2009, allowing just four earned runs in 39 2-3 innings.

Opponents are batting a minuscule .168 against Santana after he limited Philadelphia to two hits over seven innings on Wednesday, and the left-hander struck out 10 in New York's 1-0 victory.

"He's really, really special," Mets manager Jerry Manuel said. "This is the most impressive I've seen him."

New York hasn't scored much when Santana's been on the hill, totaling 12 runs in six starts. Then again, he hasn't needed much help - Wednesday's win was the two-time Cy Young Award winner's second 1-0 victory.

"With Johan, one run gives you a real good shot at winning," third baseman David Wright told the team's official Web site. "He's been just dominant. You run out of good things to say."

Santana would certainly prefer a few more runs of support as he tries to earn his first career victory against the Braves (15-16), the only team in baseball he's yet to beat. He hasn't pitched poorly versus Atlanta - posting a 2.76 ERA in five starts - but Santana is 0-3.

Jon Garland, Arizona Diamondbacks

Arizona counters with Jon Garland (3-1, 4.03), who allowed three hits in seven shutout innings of a 3-1 win over San Diego on Wednesday.

Since yielding seven runs in a loss to St. Louis on April 15, the right-hander is 2-0 with a 2.30 ERA in his last four outings.

In his only career start against the Reds on June 18, 2006, Garland yielded one run and four hits in eight innings of an 8-1 victory for the Chicago White Sox.

Slumping

Gavin Floyd, Chicago White Sox

Chicago will look to Gavin Floyd (2-2, 6.29) to help snap a four-game slide away from home. Floyd, who hasn't earned a victory since April 19, won both of his starts last season against the Indians.

While going 0-1 in his last three starts, the right-hander has given up 14 earned runs in 15 1-3 innings.

 

[cisco]

Monday's Tip Sheet
By Brad Young

**Braves (Lowe) at Mets (Santana)**

-Las Vegas Sports Consultants opened New York as a $1.65 home ?chalk? over Atlanta, with the total set at 7 ? ?under? (minus $1.30). This National League East matchup is scheduled to start at 7:10 p.m. ET.

-Atlanta?s Derek Lowe (4-1, 3.98 ERA) heads to the hill riding a personal three-game winning streak after knocking off Florida Wednesday as a $1.50 road favorite, 8-6. The veteran right-hander prevailed despite allowing six runs on seven hits (one home run) with three walks and five strikeouts over five innings.

-The combined 14 runs toppled the nine-run closing total, helping the ?over? improve to 5-1 his last six starts.

-Lowe, a 13-year veteran, has not started against the Mets the last few seasons.

-New York ace Johan Santana (4-1, 0.91 ERA) continued his winning ways by blanking Philadelphia Wednesday as a decided $2.40 home ?chalk,? 1-0. The crafty left-hander tossed seven innings of scoreless ball on just two hits with three walks and 10 strikeouts.

-The lone run never seriously threatened the 8 ?-run closing total, enabling the ?under? to cash in all six of his starts.

-Santana went 0-2 against the Braves last year in three starts, pitching a combined 21 innings while yielding seven runs (six earned) on 28 hits with two walks and eight strikeouts. The Mets fell as a $1.40 road favorite, 3-1, as a $1.25 road ?chalk,? 4-2, and as a $3.00 home favorite, 3-2. The ?under? prevailed in all three matchups.

**Reds (Arroyo) at Diamondbacks (Garland)**

-LVSC installed Arizona as a $1.25 home favorite over Cincinnati, with the total set at 9 ? ?over? (minus $1.20). This game is slated to start at 9:40 p.m. ET.

-Cincinnati pitcher Bronson Arroyo (4-2, 7.15 ERA) is coming off of his worst effort of the year that resulted in Wednesday?s setback to Milwaukee as a $1.13 home ?chalk,? 15-3. The 32-year-old lasted just one inning, but was tagged for nine runs on seven hits (two home runs) with three walks and no strikeouts.

-The combined 18 runs soared ?over? the nine-run closing total, helping the ?over? improve to 2-1 his last three outings.

-Arroyo picked up a no-decision against the Diamondbacks last year, tossing five innings while surrendering four runs (two earned) on four hits (one home run) with three walks and five strikeouts. The Red eventually prevailed as a $1.10 home favorite, 6-5, while the combined 11 runs went ?over? the 8 ?-run closing total.

-Arizona right-hander Jon Garland (3-1, 4.03 ERA) toes the rubber after beating San Diego Wednesday as a $1.60 road underdog, 3-1. The 6-foot-6 hurler tossed seven scoreless innings on three hits with three walks and two strikeouts.

-The combined four runs failed to topple the seven-run closing total, enabling the ?under? to improve to 3-0-1 his last four outings.

-Garland, a member of the Los Angeles Angels last year, has not started against the Reds the previous few seasons.

**Nationals (Cabrera) at Giants (Johnson)**

-LVSC lists San Francisco as a $1.50 home ?chalk? over Washington, with the total set at 8 ? ?over? (minus $1.25). This game is scheduled to start at 10:15 p.m. ET.

-Washington hurler Daniel Cabrera (0-3, 4.85 ERA) is still searching for his first victory after Wednesday?s setback to Los Angeles as a $1.80 road underdog, 10-3. The righty was reached for five runs (four earned) on six hits with five walks and a strikeout over 5 1/3 innings.

-The combined 13 runs eclipse the 9 ?-run closing total, helping the ?over? improve to 5-0-1 his six starts.

-Cabrera, who pitched for Baltimore last season, has not started against the Giants the previous few years.

-San Francisco counters with veteran Randy Johnson, hoping he can improve on his 2-3 record and 5.68 ERA in six starts.

-The lanky left-hander was roughed up by Colorado Wednesday as a $1.42 road underdog, 11-1. The hurler went 5 2/3 innings while allowing seven runs on eight hits (two home runs) with three walks and no strikeouts.

-The combined 12 runs toppled the 9 ?-run closing total, ending a string of three straight ?under? outings for the Cy Young recipient.

-Johnson has not started against the Nationals the previous few seasons.

**White Sox (Floyd) at Indians (Pavano)**

-LVSC opened Cleveland as a $1.35 home ?chalk? over Chicago, with the total listed at 10 ? ?under? (minus $1.25). This American League Central contest is scheduled to start at 7:05 p.m. ET.

-Chicago?s Gavin Floyd (2-2, 6.29 ERA) recorded his second consecutive no decision after Tuesday?s effort against Kansas City. The six-year veteran was reached for six runs on six hits (two home runs) with two walks and two strikeouts over five innings.

-The White Sox eventually dropped that affair as a $1.15 road underdog, 8-7, while the combined 15 runs eclipsed the 9 ?-run closing total. The ?over? has cashed his last five starts.

-Floyd went 2-0 against the Indians last year in two starts, tossing a combined 12 innings while yielding nine runs (seven earned) on 15 hits (two home runs) with two walks and 17 strikeouts. The White Sox triumphed as a $1.23 road underdog, 6-5, and as a $1.47 home ?chalk,? 9-7. The ?over? occurred in both contests.

-Cleveland right-hander Carl Pavano (2-3, 6.61 ERA) notched his second consecutive victory after upending Boston Wednesday as a $1.60 road underdog, 9-2. The 33-year-old went six innings, surrendering both runs on six hits with three walks and four strikeouts.

-The combined 11 runs slithered ?over? the 10 ?-run closing total, enabling the ?over? to cash his second straight start.

-Pavano, a 12-year veteran, has not started against the White Sox the past few years.

 

[cisco]

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Atlanta (15-16) at N.Y. Mets (17-13)

The Mets put a season-high seven-game winning streak on the line when they send ace Johan Santana (4-1, 0.91 ERA) to the Citi Field mound in the opener of a three-game series against the Braves. New York is coming off a three-game weekend sweep of the Pirates, outscoring Pittsburgh 25-8.

Atlanta, which hands the ball to Derek Lowe (4-1, 3.98) for this contest, has won four of five on its current road trip, including taking the final two games in Philadelphia on Saturday and Sunday by scores of 6-2 and 4-2, respectively. The Braves have won seven of their last nine on the highway.

New York?s current winning streak began with a pair of wins in Atlanta last week, the first meetings of the season between these N.L. East rivals. The Mets have won seven of the last 11 against the Braves overall and six of the last eight clashes in New York. Also, despite the Mets? two road wins a week ago, the host is still on a 12-5 run in this rivalry.

Atlanta has lost 10 of its last 11 games on Monday, but it is 5-2 in Lowe?s first seven starts this season. New York is on streaks of 5-0 as a favorite, 6-0 against right-handed starters, 4-0 in divisional play, 17-5 with Santana on the mound and 5-1 with Santana pitching at home.

Lowe is coming off his worst performance of the season, allowing six runs in five innings at Florida on Wednesday, but he still earned an 8-6 victory. With that effort, the veteran right-hander who is in his first season with Atlanta is now 3-1 with a 3.81 ERA in four road starts. However, he?s 1-2 with a bloated 8.78 ERA in eight lifetime appearances (two starts) against the Mets.

Santana continued his brilliance in Wednesday?s 1-0 home win over the Phillies, scattering two hits and three walks while striking out 10 in seven innings. The veteran lefty has given up just six runs (four earned) in 39 2/3 innings with 12 walks and 54 strikeouts. He?s 3-0 with a 1.00 ERA in four starts at new Citi Field, but he?s 0-3 with a 2.76 ERA in five career efforts against the Braves, including 0-2 with a 2.57 ERA in three starts last year, his first season with the Mets.

The under is 5-0 in Santana?s five career outings against Atlanta, 7-0 in his last seven starts overall, 5-0 in his last five starts at home and 5-0 in his last five against the N.L. East. Conversely, with Lowe on the mound, the over is on stretches of 5-1 overall and 3-0 against New York.

The over is 6-2 in the Mets? last eight games overall, 11-4-3 in their last 18 on Monday and 4-0 in the Braves? last four against lefty starters. However, the under is on streaks of 6-1 for Atlanta on Monday, 8-3 for Atlanta against N.L. East rivals and 11-5-2 for New York against divisional foes.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. METS

 

[cisco]

Hot Pitchers
-- Santana is 4-1, 1.36 in six starts this season. Braves won Lowe's last three starts (3-0, 4.82) scoring 25 runs.
-- Arizona won last four Garland starts (3-0, 2.63).
-- Johnson is 2-1, 1.89 in three home starts, not allowing a run in his last 14 innings at home.

-- Pavano is 2-0, 2.70 in his last two starts.


Cold Pitchers
-- Arroyo is 1-2, 11.05 in his last three starts.
-- Cabrera is 0-2, 8.56 in his last three starts.

-- Floyd is 0-1, 8.81 in his last three starts.

Hot Teams
-- Braves won four of last five games. Mets won their last seven games, outscoring foes 43-20.
-- Reds won seven of their last ten road games.
-- Washington won five of its last seven games. Giants won nine of last twelve home games.


-- None.


Cold Teams
-- Arizona lost three of its last four games.

-- White Sox lost six of their last eight games. Indians lost last four in a row, outscored 23-6- they scored three runs in their last three games.


Totals
-- Three of last four Atlanta games stayed under the total. Mets' last four games all went over.
-- Under is 8-1-2 in last eleven Arizona games.
-- Six of last eight Washington games went over the total.


-- Six of last seven White Sox games stayed under the total.