Trend sheet 5-21

cisco

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Hot Pitchers
-- Owings is 2-1, 3.38 in his last three appearances; his last outing was in relief in the 16-inning game at San Diego Saturday night.
-- Scherzer is 1-1, 2.74 in his last four starts.
-- Suppan is 2-1, 2.88 in his last four starts.
-- Lincecum is 3-0, 3.97 in his last five starts.

-- Jackson is 2-1, 2.07 in his last four starts. Millwood is 3-1, 4.45 in his last four starts.
-- Pavano is 3-1, 4.01 in his last four starts.
-- Greinke is 7-1, 0.75 so far this season.
-- Garza is 3-0, 2.51 in his last four starts.
-- Chamberlain is 2-1, 3.65 in his last four starts.
-- Saunders is 3-1, 4.33 in his last four starts. Bedard is 1-0, 3.52 in his last four starts.


Cold Pitchers
-- Blanton is 0-1, 6.92 in his last couple starts.
-- Snell is 0-2, 7.62 in his last three starts. Stammen was 4-2, 1.80 in his seven AAA starts this season.
-- Colorado is 0-4 in Cook's road starts (0-1, 6.19). Medlen was 5-0, 1.19 in six AAA starts this season.
-- Miller has a 6.28 RA in three starts this season.
-- Oswalt has a 5.82 RA in his last three starts.
-- Wainwright is 0-2, 5.40 in his last three starts. Marshall is 1-3, 4.20 in five starts this season.
-- Ex-Giant Correia is 1-2, 5.02 in seven starts this season.

-- White Sox lost last three Colon starts (0-2, 4.91), scoring two runs. Twins lost Blackburn's last three starts (0-1, 6.50).
-- Braden is 0-3, 7.41 in his last three starts.
-- Eaton is 1-2, 8.57 in his last four starts.
-- Lester is 1-2, 8.22 in his last four starts. Ray is 1-1, 4.50 in his three starts this season.

Hot Teams
-- Pirates won their last five games, scoring 40 runs.
-- Phillies won ten of their last thirteen road games.
-- Arizona won three of its last four games.
-- Brewers won ten of their last thirteen games. Astros won four of their last five home games.
-- St Louis held Cubs to one run in the last two games.
-- San Diego won its last six home games.


-- Rangers won seven of their last nine games, but lost last two. Detroit won its last five games, scoring 43 runs.
-- Bronx Bombers won their last eight games. .
-- Red Sox are 14-2 in last 16 games at Fenway.
-- White Sox won their last two games, scoring 13 games.


Cold Teams
-- Nationals lost ten of their last eleven games.
-- Cincinnati lost four of its last five games.
-- Florida lost ten of its last twelve home games.
-- Braves lost eleven of their last sixteen home games. Colorado is 5-12 in its last seventeen road games.
-- Cubs lost four of their last five road games.
-- Giants lost six of their last seven games.


-- Orioles lost 13 of their last 16 road games.
-- Toronto lost its last two games, scoring total of four runs.
-- Rays lost last two games, 4-1/7-6. A's lost eleven of their last fifteen road games, but won last two.
-- Indians lost four of their last five games. Royals are 3-8 in their last eleven games.
-- Twins lost their last nine road games.
-- Mariners lost eleven of their last fifteen games. Angels lost four of their last six contests.


Totals
-- Over is 9-4 in Pirates' last thirteen road games.
-- Five of last seven Cincinnati home games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Under is 10-3-3 in Arizona road games; both pitching staffs are on E after yesterday's long, run-filled doubleheader. .
-- Seven of last nine Milwaukee road games went over the total.
-- Four of Cubs' last five road games stayed under the total.
-- Four of Giants' last five road games stayed under the total.

-- Rangers' last five road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Red Sox games.
-- Over is 13-5-1 in Baltimore road games.
-- Seven of last nine Oakland road games went over the total.
-- Over is 14-1 in Cleveland's last fourteen road games.
-- Under is 9-2-1 in Minnesota's last eleven road games.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in Bedard's last four starts.
 

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PHILADELPHIA vs. CINCINNATI
Philadelphia is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

TEXAS vs. DETROIT
Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

MINNESOTA vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
Minnesota is 1-10 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games
Chi White Sox are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games at home

CLEVELAND vs. KANSAS CITY
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Kansas City is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games

OAKLAND vs. TAMPA BAY
Oakland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Oakland is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Oakland
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland

BALTIMORE vs. NY YANKEES
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Baltimore

PITTSBURGH vs. WASHINGTON
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

ARIZONA vs. FLORIDA
Arizona is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
Arizona is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Florida
Florida is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Arizona
Florida is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Arizona

COLORADO vs. ATLANTA
Colorado is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Atlanta is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games at home

TORONTO vs. BOSTON
Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games at home
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto

MILWAUKEE vs. HOUSTON
Milwaukee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games

CHI CUBS vs. ST. LOUIS
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs

SAN FRANCISCO vs. SAN DIEGO
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Francisco is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

LA ANGELS vs. SEATTLE
LA Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games
LA Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 4-10 SU in their last 14 games when playing at home against LA Angels
Seattle is 7-15 SU in their last 22 games when playing LA Angels
 

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National League

PHILADELPHIA at CINCINNATI
BLANTON: PHI 8-1 OVER AWAY when the total is 10+
OWINGS: CIN 23-11 OVER at home in May

PITTSBURGH at WASHINGTON
SNELL: PIT 8-4 against NL East
STAMMEN: WAS 3-12 at home when the money line is +125 to -125

COLORADO at ATLANTA
COOK: 5-2 OVER in all games
MEDLEN: ATL 0-7 at home with a money line of -100 to -150

ARIZONA at FLORIDA
SCHERZER: ARI 66-23 UNDER AWAY when the total is 8.5 to 10
MILLER: FLA 5-13 in May

MILWAUKEE at HOUSTON
SUPPAN: 10-4 TSR as a road underdog of +100 to +150
OSWALT: 17-25 TSR in May

CHICAGO CUBS at ST LOUIS
MARSHALL: 13-2 UNDER in road games
WAINWRIGHT: 14-4 TSR when the total is 8 to 8.5

SAN FRANCISCO at SAN DIEGO
LINCECUM: 8-0 OVER in May
CORREIA: SD 54-80 when the total is 7 to 8.5


American League

TEXAS at DETROIT
MILLWOOD: TEX 14-8 as an underdog
JACKSON: DET 11-22 when the total is 7 to 8.5

MINNESOTA at CHI WHITE SOX
BLACKBURN: MIN 22-8 OVER after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games
COLON: CHW 12-0 as a home underdog of +100 to +125

CLEVELAND at KANSAS CITY
PAVANO: CLE 8-1 OVER as a road underdog of +125 to +175
GREINKE: 7-13 TSR in day games

OAKLAND at TAMPA BAY
BRADEN: OAK 66-45 UNDER as an underdog
GARZA: 10-16 TSR as a favorite

BALTIMORE at NY YANKEES
EATON: BAL 29-65 against division opponents
CHAMBERLAIN: NYY 12-6 as a home favorite

TORONTO at BOSTON
RAY: 3-0 UNDER in all starts
LESTER: BOS 28-6 at home when the total is 10 or higher

LA ANGELS at SEATTLE
SAUNDERS: 23-9 TSR when working on 5 or 6 days rest
BEDARD: SEA 14-33 in May
 

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NATIONAL LEAGUE

Chicago Cubs (21-17) at St. Louis (23-17)

The Cardinals go for a three-game sweep of the hated Cubs at Busch Stadium tonight, with Adam Wainwright (3-2, 3.83) slated to toe the rubber for the home team against Chicago southpaw Sean Marshall (2-2, 4.02).

The Cardinals have posted wins of 3-0 and 2-1 to begin this series, holding the Cubs to a total of just nine hits. The back-to-back wins for St. Louis come after a 4-10 slump, including a 2-7 rut against N.L. Central rivals. Tony LaRussa?s squad is now 20-7 in its last 27 as a home chalk, 6-1 in its last seven against lefty starters and it has won eight consecutive Thursday contests.

The Cubs have followed up a five-game winning streak with three straight defeats, and they?re 1-4 in their last five road games, all within the N.L. Central. Chicago has also lost eight of its last nine as an underdog, five of its last seven on Thursday and eight of their last 10 against teams with a winning record.

This is the third series of the year between these hated rivals, with the Redbirds now holding a 5-3 lead, including winning four of the last five battles, all in St. Louis. The host is 6-1 in the last seven clashes.

Marshall came out of the bullpen on Sunday in a 4-4 game against the Astros and got the final out in the top of the ninth inning, then earned the victory when the Cubs scored in the bottom of the ninth. In his last start on May 10, Marshall earned a 4-2 victory at Milwaukee, allowing two runs in five innings. That snapped Chicago?s eight-game losing skid in games started by Marshall. Still, the Cubs have lost 17 of Marshall?s last 22 starts overall, including four of his last five on the road and five of his last six on Thursday.

With the win at Milwaukee, Marshall improved to 1-1 with a 3.75 ERA in four appearances (two starts) on the road this season, with the one defeat coming in an 8-2 loss at St. Louis on April 25. In fact, Marshall faced the Cardinals in consecutive starts last month, giving up a combined six runs in 11 innings, with Chicago losing both games. For his career, he?s 2-2 with a 3.79 ERA in 11 appearances (seven starts) against St. Louis.

Wainwright was a tough-luck 1-0 loser on Sunday against the Brewers, allowing the single run on two hits in a complete-game, eight-inning effort at home, which came on the heels of two poor outings (11 earned runs allowed in 12 innings against the Phillies and Reds). The right-hander is now 1-2 with a 3.16 ERA in five home starts.

Despite Sunday?s setback, with Wainwright on the bump, the Cardinals still enjoy positive runs of 19-7 overall, 16-5 at home, 16-6 as a favorite and 4-0 against Chicago. That includes two wins eight days apart last month ? 7-4 in Chicago against Marshall and 4-3 at home ? even though Wainwright allowed a combined seven runs (five earned) in 13 innings. He?s just 2-3 with a 5.47 ERA all-time against the Cubs (17 appearances, eight starts).

The over is 11-4-2 in Wainwright?s last 17 starts overall, 8-2-1 in his last 11 against N.L. Central rivals and 4-1-1 in Marshall?s last six starts. However, with Marshall starting, the Cubs are on ?under? streaks of 13-3-1 on the road, 7-1-1 versus the N.L. Central and 4-1-1 when he faces the Redbirds.

The under is 7-1-1 in the last nine series battles at Busch Stadium, including 3-1-1 this season. For Chicago, the over is still on streaks of 6-3-1 on the road, 35-17-1 on Thursday and 11-6-1 as a road underdog. Conversely, the Cardinals carry ?under? trends of 6-2 overall (all against the N.L. Central) and 50-22-1 on Thursday.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ST. LOUIS


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Toronto (27-16) at Boston (24-16)

For the second straight day, the Blue Jays send a rookie pitcher to the Fenway Park mound, with Robert Ray (1-1, 3.60) squaring off against lefty Jon Lester (2-4, 6.51), who will try to pitch the Red Sox to a three-game sweep of this series between A.L. East rivals.

One night after edging Toronto 2-1, Boston pounded out an 8-3 victory Wednesday. The two wins come on the heels of a 1-4 slump, and last night?s offensive outburst ended a string of nine straight games in which the Red Sox failed to score more than five runs. The Sox carry positive trends of 79-33 at home, 18-7 as a favorite, 37-14 on Thursday and 6-1 in divisional contests.

The Blue Jays have dropped two in a row after arriving in Boston on a 12-5 surge. Toronto is 12-5 in its last 17 Thursday games but just 5-8 in its last 13 roadies and 1-6 in its last seven as an underdog. Cito Gaston?s crew had surrendered three runs or fewer in eight of nine games, including last six in a row, prior to Wednesday?s blowout loss..

Boston is now 6-1 in the last seven clashes with Toronto dating to last season.

Ray threw a gem against the White Sox on Sunday, allowing just one unearned run on three hits over eight innings, with the Blue Jays scoring two runs in the bottom of the eighth to give the right-hander a 2-1 victory, his first in the big leagues. However, in his first road start, Ray got rocked for six runs (five earned) on 10 hits in 6 1/3 innings at the Angels, losing 6-1. Ray, who is making his fourth major-league start tonight, is facing Boston for the first time.

Lester, who got off to a slow start in April before turning things around in leading the Sox to four straight wins, is in a funk once again. He?s given up 13 runs (all earned) on 18 hits over his last two starts totaling just 10 innings (11.70 ERA), losing 14-5 at home to Tampa Bay and 5-4 at Seattle on Saturday. With the eight-run, 4 1/3-inning outing against the Rays, Lester is now 1-2 with a 6.04 ERA in four home starts.

Despite Lester?s recent struggles, Boston is still 39-19 in his last 58 starts overall, 22-5 in his last 27 at home (all as a favorite) and 20-9 in his last 29 against the A.L. East. In five starts against Toronto, the southpaw is 1-2 with a 3.94 ERA, but 1-0 with 0.56 ERA in two games at Fenway (both Red Sox victories)..

Toronto is on ?under? stretches of 4-2 on the road, 5-2 against A.L. East rivals and 4-1 as an underdog. Boston is 6-2-1 ?under? in its last nine overall (4-1-1 ?under? in the last six), 5-1 ?under? in Lester?s last six Thursday outings and 2-0 in Lester?s two home starts against Toronto. Finally, the under is 4-2 in the last six meetings between these clubs and 7-4 in the last 11 clashes at Fenway Park.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
 
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