Trend sheet 5/8

cisco

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Hot Pitchers
-- Cueto is 2-0, 0.68 in his last four starts. Pineiro is 4-1, 4.13 in his five starts this season.
-- Brewers won last three Bush starts (1-0, 4.12).
-- Rodriguez is 2-1, 1.80 in his last four starts.
-- Martis is 3-0, 4.10 in his last four starts.
-- Dodgers are 6-0 in Billingsley starts (5-0, 2.43). Giants won Zito's last three starts (0-0, 1.33).

-- Verlander is 2-0, 0.64 in his last two starts. Lee has 1.86 RA in his last four starts, but Indians lost last three.
-- Shields has 2.53 RA in his last three starts; he is 1-1, 4.97 vs Boston already this season.
-- Harrison is 2-0, 3.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Angels won both Palmer starts, scoring 18 runs.
-- Richmind is 4-0, 2.73 in his last four starts.


Cold Pitchers
-- Reyes is 0-1, 5.00 in three starts this season. Hamels is 0-2, 7.27 in four starts, suffering injuries in his last two.
-- Niese is 0-2, 6.55 in five AAA starts this year; he was 1-1, 7.07 in his three starts for the Mets LY. Karstens is 1-1, 6.30 in four starts.
-- Wells is 3-0, 2.77 in five AAA starts this season.
-- Gaudin is 0-1, 5.06 in two starts this season.
-- Nolasco is 0-3, 7.62 in his last five starts. Hammel is 0-0, 5.00 in two starts this season.
-- Arizona is 0-4 in Petit starts (0-2, 7.71).

-- Sabathia is 0-3, 5.46 in his last four starts. Orioles lost the last four Guthrie starts (0-2, 7.61).
-- Penny has 10.70 RA in his last four starts.
-- Baker is 0-4, 9.15 so far this season. Jakubauskus is 0-3, 6.00 in four starts for the Mariners.
-- White Sox are 0-5 in Contreras starts (0-4, 8.65).
-- Meche is 1-2, 6.88 in his last three starts.
-- Outman is 0-0, 6.28 in three starts for Oakland.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies won eight of their last twelve games.
-- Mets won five of their last six games.
-- Cardinals are 7-2 in series openers, 4-0 on the road.
-- Cubs won six of their last seven games. Brewers won twelve of their last sixteen games.
-- Dodgers are 14-0 at home this season. Giants are 11-5 in their last sixteen games.


-- Orioles won three of their last four games.
-- Red Sox won sixteen of their last twenty games. Rays won last three games, scoring 18 runs.
-- Royals won eight of their last nine games.
-- Rangers won nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Angels won four of their last five games.
-- Blue Jays won five of their last seven games.


Cold Teams
-- Braves lost four of their last six games.
-- Nationals lost nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Reds are 5-8 at home this season.
-- Pirates lost nine of their last ten games.
-- Astros lost five of their last six home games. Padres lost thirteen of their last sixteen games.
-- Diamondbacks lost four of their last five games.
-- Rockies are 4-6 in their last ten home games. Marlins lost six of their last seven games.

-- Bronx lost last five games, allowing 33 runs.
-- Indians lost four of their last six home games. Detroit is 0-5 in first game of a road series.
-- White Sox lost four of their last five games.
-- Mariners lost five of their last six games. Twins lost four of their last six games.
-- A's lost five of their last seven games.


Totals
-- Over is 8-3-1 in Phillies' last twelve games.
-- Three of four Karstens starts stayed under the total.
-- Last three Cueto starts stayed under the total.
-- Over is 9-3-1 in Chicago's last thirteen games.
-- All three Hernandez home starts stayed under the total.
-- Five of six Nolasco starts went over the total.
-- Three of four Petit starts went over the total.
-- Over is 16-5-2 in last twenty-three Dodger games.


-- Three of last four Sabathia starts went over the total.
-- Over is 16-4-2 in last twenty-two Boston games.
-- Last three Lee starts stayed under the total.
-- Three of four Baker starts went over the total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Texas road games.
-- Five of last six Meche starts went over the total.
-- Five of last six Oakland home games stayed under the total.
 

cisco

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Friday, May 8th

National League

ATLANTA at PHILADELPHIA, 7:05 PM ET
REYES: 9-21 TSR when the total is 8.5 to 10
HAMELS: PHI 38-20 after having lost 2 of their last 3

PITTSBURGH at NY METS, 7:10 PM ET
KARSTENS: PIT 31-16 OVER as a road underdog of +125 to +175
NIESE: NYM 30-17 OVER against NL Central

ST LOUIS at CINCINNATI, 7:10 PM ET
PINEIRO: STL 12-4 when the money line is +125 to -125
CUETO: 19-8 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10

CHICAGO CUBS at MILWAUKEE, 8:05 PM ET
WELLS: CHC 18-7 AWAY after having won 3 of their last 4
BUSH: 15-4 OVER at home

SAN DIEGO at HOUSTON, 8:05 PM ET
GAUDIN: 7-1 TSR AWAY when the total is 7 to 8.5
RODRIGUEZ: 12-2 UNDER at home in the first half of the season

FLORIDA at COLORADO, 9:10 PM ET
NOLASCO: 12-6 TSR as a road underdog
HAMMEL: COL 9-1 OVER at home

WASHINGTON at ARIZONA, 9:40 PM ET
MARTIS: WAS 3-11 in road games
PETIT: ARI 54-42 at home with a money line of -100 to -150

SAN FRANCISCO at LA DODGERS, 10:10 PM ET
ZITO: 7-2 TSR AWAY after a team win
BILLINGSLEY: 3-9 TSR after giving up 2 or less runs


American League

NY YANKEES at BALTIMORE, 7:05 PM ET
SABATHIA: 1-7 TSR AWAY after a team loss
GUTHRIE: BAL 49-27 OVER when the total is 9 to 9.5

TAMPA BAY at BOSTON, 7:10 PM ET
SHIELDS: TB 40-22 after a win by 2 runs or less
PENNY: BOS 13-4 OVER in night games

DETROIT at CLEVELAND, 7:05 PM ET
VERLANDER: 6-14 TSR against division opponents
LEE: CLE 21-8 after 7+ consecutive road games

SEATTLE at MINNESOTA, 8:10 PM ET
JAKUBAUSKAS: SEA 46-80 when the total is 8.5 to 10
BAKER: MIN 22-7 when playing on Friday

TEXAS at CHI WHITE SOX, 8:11 PM ET
HARRISON: 9-2 TSR as an underdog
CONTRERAS: CHW 24-11 UNDER in May

KANSAS CITY at LA ANGELS, 10:05 PM ET
MECHE: 11-20 TSR AWAY with a money line of -100 to -150
PALMER: LAA 29-20 as an underdog of +100 to +150

TORONTO at OAKLAND, 10:05 PM ET
RICHMOND: TOR 9-1 after a team loss
OUTMAN: OAK 21-9 UNDER after a win by 4+ runs
 

cisco

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7:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

7:05 PM
DETROIT vs. CLEVELAND
Detroit is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Detroit is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

7:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. BALTIMORE
NY Yankees are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
NY Yankees are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 2-8 SU in their last 10 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Baltimore's last 12 games when playing NY Yankees

7:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. NY METS
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of NY Mets's last 13 games when playing Pittsburgh
NY Mets are 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

7:10 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. CINCINNATI
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing St. Louis

7:10 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. BOSTON
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay

8:00 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of San Diego's last 19 games when playing Houston
San Diego is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:05 PM
CHI CUBS vs. MILWAUKEE
Chi Cubs are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Chi Cubs's last 18 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

8:10 PM
SEATTLE vs. MINNESOTA
Seattle is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Minnesota's last 16 games when playing Seattle
Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Seattle

8:11 PM
TEXAS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Chi White Sox are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games when playing Texas
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Texas

9:10 PM
FLORIDA vs. COLORADO
Florida is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Florida's last 11 games when playing Colorado
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against Florida

9:40 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ARIZONA
Washington is 3-19 SU in its last 22 games on the road
Washington is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Arizona's last 15 games when playing at home against Washington

10:05 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. LA ANGELS
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games on the road
LA Angels are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing Kansas City

10:05 PM
TORONTO vs. OAKLAND
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Oakland is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oakland's last 11 games when playing Toronto

10:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. LA DODGERS
San Francisco is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games on the road
San Francisco is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
LA Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against San Francisco
LA Dodgers are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games
 

cisco

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Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox [7:05 PM ET]

Rays (-115, O/U 10): James Shields (3-2, 3.51 ERA) has posted a 9.56 ERA in losing all 4 of his starts at Boston. He faced the Red Sox on the road April 7, surrendering 5 runs and 9 hits in 5 1-3 innings as the Rays lost 5-3. Shields earned a win at home against Boston in his last outing, giving up 2 runs and 6 hits while striking out 6 in 7 1-3 innings as Tampa Bay won 5-3 on Sunday night. The right-hander is 3-5 with a 5.17 ERA in 10 starts overall vs. the Red Sox. Slugger Carlos Pena is batting .333 (8 for 24) with 3 homers and a double in Tampa Bay's 7 games with Boston this season, helping the Rays win 5 of those contests.

The Rays are 15-48 in the last 63 meetings in Boston.
The Rays are 27-8 in Shields' last 35 starts as a favorite.

Key Injuries - OF B.J. Upton (illness) is QUESTIONABLE.

PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (Side Play of the Day)

Red Sox: The Red Sox are beat up. 1B Kevin Youkilis missed his third straight game with tightness in his left side, OF Jacoby Ellsbury has sat out two straight contests with a tight right hamstring, and DH David Ortiz was scratched from the lineup last night with a stiff neck. Ortiz is batting .421 (8 for 19) with two home runs and four doubles against Tampa's starter tonight, James Shields. Brad Penny gets the start for Boston. Penny has a 6.35 ERA in three straight losses to the Rays and is 1-3 with a 5.26 ERA in four starts and one relief appearance all-time against them.

The Red Sox are 16-5 in their last 21 overall.
The Over is 20-6-2 in the Red Sox's last 28 on grass.

Key Injuries - DH David Ortiz (neck) is QUESTIONABLE.
1B Kevin Youkilis (side) is QUESTIONABLE.
OF Jacoby Ellsbury (hamstring) is QUESTIONABLE.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4
 

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Hot lines: Today?s best MLB bets
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Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Indians (-121, 9)

It's been nearly a decade since the AL had a repeat Cy Young Award winner. It doesn't look like that will change this season.

Reigning Cy Young Award winner Cliff Lee looks to bounce back from another tough defeat as he takes the ball for the Cleveland Indians in the opener of a three-game series against the Detroit Tigers on Friday night.

On the heels of Lee's outstanding 2008, the Indians (11-18) were expected to contend for the AL Central crown this year. So far, both Lee (1-4, 3.92 ERA) and the Indians have been falling short of expectations.

Lee already has lost more games this season than he did last year, when he went 22-3. Cleveland, meanwhile, has the AL's worst record.

On Sunday, Lee gave up three runs and a season-high 12 hits in seven innings in a 3-1 loss to Detroit (14-13) as the Indians fell to just 1-5 in the left-hander's starts. Cleveland was 24-7 with Lee on the mound a year ago.

Although he's struggled to get in the win column and is unlikely to become the AL's first repeat Cy Young Award winner since Boston's Pedro Martinez in 1999 and 2000, Lee hasn't been pitching that badly lately.

He's yielded just five runs in 23 innings over his last three starts, but has been backed by just one run of support in those games. Excluding his win over the New York Yankees on April 16, Lee has received two total runs of support in 33 innings in his other five games.

The Tigers counter with Justin Verlander (2-2, 5.66), who looks to win his third straight start.

After yielding 24 runs in 21 innings over his first four starts, Verlander has given up one run while striking out 20 in 14 innings in winning his last two.

The right-hander allowed one run and two hits with a season-high 11 strikeouts in seven innings to beat Cleveland on Sunday.

"This is certainly the best I've felt in a while,'' he said.

After winning Rookie of the Year in 2006 and going 18-6 in 2007, Verlander regressed by going 11-17 last season. He seems to have regained some dominance.

"I think he answered some questions and answered some critics," Tigers manager Jim Leyland said after Sunday's performance.

Pick: Under 9



Toronto Blue Jays at Oakland Athletics (-101, 9)

Unheralded Scott Richmond has proved to be critical to the Toronto Blue Jays as they've managed to overcome an injury-plagued starting rotation.

The 29-year-old rookie looks to improve to 5-0 on Friday night when the AL-East leading Blue Jays open a three-game road set against the Oakland Athletics.

Since winning the fifth starter's spot in spring training, Richmond (4-0, 2.67 ERA) has more than exceeded expectations in his first full season. He's combined with ace Roy Halladay to bring stability to a rotation that's been hit hard by injuries to talented young pitchers Jesse Litsch and Ricky Romero.

Richmond allowed two earned runs while striking out six in seven innings of a 4-3 victory at Baltimore on Sunday.

"Right now (Richmond) is pitching nowhere near like a No. 5 starter,'' catcher Rod Barajas said of the AL rookie of the month for April. "He's our No. 2 guy. The way he's stepped up, the way he's pitched for us, it's something that we desperately needed.''

Two years removed from the independent Northern League, the right-hander hasn't allowed more than three earned runs in any of his 10 major league starts.

"I'm happy I'm contributing, I'm happy I'm pitching well,'' Richmond said. "I'm so focused out there. We're doing so great. I've got to do my job.''

Richmond gave up three runs in 5 2-3 innings of a 4-3 victory over Oakland on Aug. 5, his only previous appearance versus the A's.

Pick: Toronto -106
 

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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers
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Streaking

Scott Richmond (Toronto Blue Jays)

Unheralded Scott Richmond has proved to be critical to the Toronto Blue Jays as they've managed to overcome an injury-plagued starting rotation.

The 29-year-old rookie looks to improve to 5-0 on Friday night when the AL-East leading Blue Jays open a three-game road set against the Oakland Athletics.

Since winning the fifth starter's spot in spring training, Richmond (4-0, 2.67 ERA) has more than exceeded expectations in his first full season. He's combined with ace Roy Halladay to bring stability to a rotation that's been hit hard by injuries to talented young pitchers Jesse Litsch and Ricky Romero.

Richmond allowed two earned runs while striking out six in seven innings of a 4-3 victory at Baltimore on Sunday.

Chad Billingsley (Los Angeles Dodgers)

It will be tough for San Francisco to duplicate that offensive outburst Friday against scheduled starter Chad Billingsley (5-0, 2.21 ERA), who looks to become the NL's first six-game winner.

Billingsley gave up two runs and four hits with eight strikeouts in seven innings of a 7-3 win over the Padres on Sunday, as the Dodgers improved to 6-0 in the right-hander's starts.

Billingsley is 2-0 with a 1.84 ERA in four starts against the Giants since the start of last season and set to make his third start of the year against them.

He gave up one run and five hits with 11 strikeouts in seven innings of an 11-1 home win over the Giants on April 13 and allowed three runs and eight hits while striking out eight in 7 1-3 innings of a 5-3 victory in San Francisco on April 28, but was not a factor in the decision.


Slumping

Ricky Nolasco (Florida Marlins)

If Nolasco (1-3, 7.03 ERA) is going to be the first Florida starter to earn a win since Sanchez defeated the Braves on April 16, he'll have to improve upon his most recent outing. In Sunday's 6-4 loss to Chicago, Nolasco gave up a grand slam to Derrek Lee and allowed five earned runs and eight hits.

Nolasco won a career-best 15 games with a 3.52 ERA in 2008 but is 0-3 with a 6.92 ERA since beating Washington on opening day April 6.

"When you're rolling, this game is great," Nolasco told the Marlins' official Web site. "When you're struggling, you don't get any help."

Nolasco is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA in two career starts versus the Rockies. He won 5-3 on Aug. 2 in his last start against them, giving up three runs and striking out a career-high 13 in eight innings.

Jose Contreras (Chicago White Sox)

Jose Contreras again looks to end his horrible start to the season and help the White Sox win their second straight in the opener of a three-game series with the Texas Rangers.

Mark Buehrle retired the first 19 batters Thursday and allowed one hit over eight innings, leading Chicago (13-14) to a 6-0 victory over Detroit that snapped a four-game skid.

The White Sox, who dropped two of three at Texas last weekend, have won all six of Buehrle's starts but are 7-14 in other games. They've lost all five starts by Contreras (0-4, 8.31 ERA).

The right-hander yielded at least five runs in three of those five outings. He gave up a season-high seven runs in a season-low 3 1-3 innings of a 9-6 loss to the Rangers on Saturday.

Although Contreras has been awful, White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen is planning on sticking with him in the rotation for the foreseeable future. Guillen had the opportunity to skip his beleaguered starter because of Wednesday's rainout but is giving the veteran a chance to get out of his funk.

"I don't want to give up on him, it's not my style, but I'd like to know what's going through his mind,'' Guillen said.

Contreras, who hasn't won since beating the Cubs on June 27, has allowed 14 runs in 7 1-3 innings in two starts against the Rangers since the start of last season. In five career starts versus Texas, Contreras is 1-2 with a 10.17 ERA - his highest ERA against any team he's faced more than once.
 

sharktank

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Great job cisco. I do this research myself but not as extensive. I know how much time this takes. This is a great help.
 
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