Trend sheet 6/26

[cisco]

Hot Pitchers
-- Cain is 7-0, 2.00 in his last nine starts. Gallardo is 3-2, 2.11 in his last six starts.
-- Wells has 2.76 RA in eight starts this season. Contreras is 2-1, 1.23 in three starts since coming back from the minor leagues.
-- Hamels is 1-1, 2.57 in his last four starts. Romero is 1-1, 2.66 in his last three starts.
-- Bergesen is 3-0, 2.33 in his last five starts.
-- Meche is 2-2, 3.34 in his last five starts.
-- Beckett is 4-1, 2.47 in his last six starts.
-- Johnson is 4-0, 2.63 in his last five starts. Tampa Bay won four of last five Shields starts.
-- Verlander is 8-1, 1.75 in his last eleven starts.
-- Astros are 5-2 at home when Rodriguez starts.
-- Millwood is 3-1, 1.57 in his last four starts.
-- Cardinals won last three Wainwright starts, scoring 13-11-12 runs.
-- Weaver is 4-1, 2.45 in his last six starts.
-- Colorado won Hammel's last six starts, scoring 40 runs.
-- Kershaw has a 1.63 RA in his seven home starts. Seattle is 5-0 with Vargas if they score 2+ runs, 0-3 if they don't.


Cold Pitchers
-- Harang is 0-3, 4.45 in his last five starts. Sowers is 0-6, 7.08 in seven starts this season.
-- Detwiler is 0-3, 5.65 in his last five starts.
-- Vasquez was 5-2, 4.18 in 14 starts at AAA Indianapolis.
-- Pelfrey has an 8.41 RA in his last four starts. Sabathia is 1-1, 5.57 in his last four starts- he left his last start in second inning (bicep).
-- Jurrjens is 0-3, 5.06 in his last four starts.
-- Silva is 0-0, 6.00 in three starts this season.
-- Perkins is 0-2, 10.80 in his three road starts.
-- Anderson is 0-2, 8.59 in his last three starts.
-- Buckner is 0-3, 9.72 in his last three starts.

Hot Teams
-- Giants won five of their last six games.
-- White Sox won four of their last five games.
-- Blue Jays won four of their last five games.
-- Mets won three of their last four games. Bronx won their last couple games, scoring 19 runs.
-- Red Sox won eight of their last ten road games.
-- Tampa Bay won 10 of its last 14 games. Marlins won six of seven.
-- Tigers won their last seven games, scoring 44 runs. Astros are 10-6 in their last sixteen games.
-- Angels won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Rockies won 17 of their last 20 games.
-- Mariners won seven of their last nine games.


Cold Teams
-- Brewers lost seven of their last nine home games.
-- Cubs lost their last five road games.
-- Indians lost eight of their last nine games. Reds are 5-14 in their last nineteen road games.
-- Phillies lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Orioles lost their last three games, allowing 23 runs. Nationals lost three of their last four contests.
-- Pirates lost five of their last seven games. Royals lost six of their last eight games.
-- Braves lost 10 of their last 15 games.
-- Padres lost nine of their last twelve games. Rangers lost five of their last seven games.
-- Minnesota is 9-17 in its last 26 road games. Cardinals lost three of their last four games.
-- Arizona lost 16 of its last 22 home games.
-- Oakland lost three of its last four games.
-- Dodgers are just 12-10 at home without Manny Ramirez.


Totals
-- Eight of last ten Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Eight of last eleven Cub road games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Philadelphia road games went over the total.
-- Last four Washington games went over the total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in Royals' last five road games.
-- Three of last four Bronx Bomber games went over the total.
-- Last five Boston road games went over the total.
-- Nine of last thirteen Florida games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Houston games.
-- Last ten Texas home games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in Cardinals' last eight games.
-- Seven of last nine Arizona home games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-4 in Colorado's last twelve road games.
-- Six of last nine Dodger games went over the total.

 

[cisco]

CHI CUBS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Chi Cubs are 10-5 SU in their last 15 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi White Sox's last 11 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Chi White Sox are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs

CINCINNATI vs. CLEVELAND
Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 10 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

KANSAS CITY vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

WASHINGTON vs. BALTIMORE
Washington is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games on the road
Baltimore is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Baltimore's last 13 games when playing at home against Washington

PHILADELPHIA vs. TORONTO
Philadelphia is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

NY YANKEES vs. NY METS
NY Yankees are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 16-8 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

BOSTON vs. ATLANTA
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

FLORIDA vs. TAMPA BAY
Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Florida is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games when playing at home against Florida

DETROIT vs. HOUSTON
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games

SAN DIEGO vs. TEXAS
San Diego is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
Texas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas's last 10 games when playing San Diego

SAN FRANCISCO vs. MILWAUKEE
San Francisco is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

MINNESOTA vs. ST. LOUIS
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games at home

LA ANGELS vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

COLORADO vs. OAKLAND
Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado

SEATTLE vs. LA DODGERS
Seattle is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games

 

[cisco]

Tips and Trends

Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves

Red Sox (-$1.20, O/U 8 under -$1.20): The Red Sox could be in a foul mood after being embarrassed on Thursday night by the lowly Nationals. Boston has lost back-to-back games just once during its past 22 games. The Red Sox are 16-6 in their last 22 contests. The Red Sox are 28-11 in their last 39 interleague matchups. They have captured eight of their past 10 away games. Josh Beckett pitched a shutout on Saturday in beating the Braves at home, 3-0. Beckett allowed just five singles, while striking out seven and not giving up a walk. Beckett has dominated the Braves going 5-0 against them with a 0.45 ERA in his last six starts. He has held the Braves without a run in five of those six outings. The right-hander has won six of his last seven overall decisions. He has a 1.44 ERA in his last six starts with a 4-1 record and 42 strikeouts.

The Red Sox are 49-14 in their last 63 interleague games versus a right-handed starter.

Key Injuries - Jed Lowrie (wrist) is on the DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5


Braves: Atlanta has lost 10 of its last 13 to Boston, including two of three at Fenway Park last weekend. Jair Jurrjens is looking to pick up his first win this month. Jurrjens is 0-3 with a 3.80 ERA in June. He failed to beat the Red Sox last Sunday, giving up five runs ? two earned ? in 6 1/3 innings. The Braves are 1-5 in Jurrjens? last six starts as an underdog. The Braves have only scored three runs during the past 21 innings Jurrjens has pitched. The under is 11-5-1 in Jurrjens? last 17 starts. Atlanta has lost 18 of its last 29 games. During their past 10 series, the Braves are 1-6-3. The Braves lost another reliever when Jeff Bennett went on the DL with a broken hand. Chipper Jones is batting just .179 (five-for-28) versus Beckett and Brian McCann is hitting only .214 (three-for-14) against Beckett.

The Under is 9-4-1 the past 14 times the teams have met in Atlanta.

Key Injuries - None

PROJECTED SCORE: 4 (OVER - Total of the Day)


San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers

Giants: Matt Cain is trying to become the National League?s first 10-game winner this season. The Giants are 9-0 in Cain?s last nine starts. Cain pitched well enough to win his last start, but the Giants had to go 11 innings to beat Texas, 2-1, on Saturday with Cain getting a no-decision. Cain held the Rangers to one run on three hits, while striking out eight in eight innings. Cain, though, is 1-2 with a 4.05 ERA in three career starts versus the Brewers. The under is 11-5-1 in Cain?s last 17 road starts versus a team with a winning record. The Giants have struggled against Milwaukee, losing seven of the past nine meetings. The Giants are 13-30 in their last 43 road contests against teams with a winning home mark. The Giants have won eight of their last 12 away games. San Francisco was idle on Thursday.

The Over is 10-2-2 the past 14 times the Giants have played in Milwaukee.

Key Injuries - None

PROJECTED SCORE: 3


Brewers (-$1.50, O/U 7): The Brewers are glad to be finished with Interleague competition after going 5-10 against American League clubs. Yovani Gallardo isn?t going to make it easy for Cain to become the NL?s first 10-game winner. Gallardo is 3-2 with a 1.88 ERA in his last six starts. Milwaukee is 8-3 in Gallardo?s last 11 starts. The right-hander allowed three runs and six hits, while striking out eight in seven innings during his last start versus Detroit on Sunday. The Brewers lost, 3-2. Milwaukee has a strong history against the Giants. The Brewers are 12-2 at home versus the Giants, scoring seven runs per game during this time span. Ryan Braun is batting .387 with five homers and 18 RBIs in 18 games against San Francisco. The Brewers have dropped five of their last six games. Gallardo is 2-1 with a 5.63 ERA in three career starts versus the Giants.

The Brewers are 12-3 in their last 15 home games against teams with a winning record.

Key Injuries - Richie Weeks (wrist) is on the DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4 (Side of the Day)

 

[cisco]

MLB Weekend Cheat Sheet
Marc Lawrence

The final round of Interleague play for the 2009 season concludes this weekend and the MLB CHEAT SHEET is here to guide you through.

This week we key in on four intra-state rivalries, all of who will be meeting for the second time this season.

Keep in mind that all pitcher records are ?team starts' unless noted otherwise. Good luck this weekend?

Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox

Most Recent Series Result: White Sox 5-1 last six games vs. Cubs (1-1 this year)

Most Recent Series Result: at the Site: White Sox 3-0 last three home games vs. White Sox

Key Day/Month Stat: Cubs 14-6 on Sundays; White Sox 0-4 home on Sundays

Best Arm in the Series: Cubs' Lilly 8-2 5.94 ERA career team starts vs. White Sox; Zambrano 2-0 3.33 ERA last two away vs. White Sox

Worst Arm in the Series: White Sox' Buerhle 1-4 5.27 ERA last four starts vs. Cubs

Florida Marlins at Tampa Bay Rays

Most Recent Series Result: Rays 9-2 last eleven games vs. Marlins (2-1 this year)

Most Recent Series Result at the Site: Marlins 4-2 last six games away vs. Rays

Key Day/Month Stat: Rays 16-2 home on Fridays; Marlins 1-5 on Fridays

Best Arm in the Series: Rays' Sonnanstine 4-0 3.09 ERA career team starts vs. Marlins; Garza 2-0 1.13 ERA career team starts vs. Marlins

Worst Arm in the Series: Marlins' Johnson 0-1 1.37 ERA away career start vs. Rays

Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Indians

Most Recent Series Result: Reds 8-2 last ten games vs. Indians (2-1 this year)

Most Recent Series Result at the Site: Indians 10-6 last sixteen home games vs. Reds

Key Day/Month Stat: Indians 5-1 home on Sundays; Reds 1-7 on Sundays

Best Arm in the Series: Reds' Cueto 3-0 2.33 ERA career team starts vs. Indians

Worst Arm in the Series: Indians' Sowers 0-2 9.00 ERA home career team starts vs. Reds; Indians' Pavano 0-2 13.10 ERA career team starts vs. Reds

New York Yankees at New York Mets

Most Recent Series Result: Yankees 4-2 last six games vs. Mets (2-1 this year)

Most Recent Series Result at the Site: Yankees 3-1 last four away games vs. Mets

Key Day/Month Stat: Mets 9-1 on Fridays (5-0 home)

Best Arm in the Series: Yankees' Pettite 6-3 2.63 ERA last nine away team starts vs. Mets

Worst Arm in the Series: Mets' Maine 0-2 16.50 ERA career team starts vs. Mets

 

[cisco]

San Francisco Giants at Milwaukee Brewers (-142, 7)

If the National League playoffs began today,the Wild Card in the senior circuit would go to ? the Giants?

That?s right.

Experts and fans across the country have been sleeping on the Giants, who have won 20 of their past 30 games and are 14-8 this month. The key for San Francisco has been its dominant starting pitching, led by reigning Cy Young winner Tim Lincecum (7-2), veteran and 300-game winner Randy Johnson (7-5) and the suddenly unhittable Matt Cain (9-1).

And the stats back up the staff?s dominance on the mound. The Giants pitchers have the National League?s second-best ERA (3.64) and third-lowest opponents? batting average (.247). Up next for the hurlers by the bay is a trip to the midwest to face the Brew Crew, who have lost six of their past 10.

Milwaukee fans better get used to that bitter beer face.

Pick: Giants



Washington Nationals at Baltimore Orioles (-158, 9.5)

No one hits the ball at home like Baltimore.

The Orioles have turned Camden Yards into their own batting cage this season. Baltimore leads the majors in home batting average (.300) and on-base percentage (.366), is fifth in doubles (73) and runs (197), and is sixth in home runs (46). In the team?s past five home games ? in which it went 4-1 ? it is averaging nearly seven runs per outing.

The Nationals, on the other hand, have a pop-gun offense. They have scored more than four runs just once since June 6. In a three-game set against the Orioles in The District earlier this year, the Nats did manage to keep the Orioles? offense in check, but still dropped two of three.

This Battle of the Beltway is for the birds.

Pick: Orioles

 

[cisco]

Game of the day: Yankees at Mets
Subway Series continues

The Yankees and Mets will kick off their second and final series in 2009 on Friday at Citi Field.

The Bronx Bombers took two of three at Yankee Stadium two weeks ago, outscoring the Mets by a count of 26-14. But both teams have struggled in the wake of that series, with the Yankees winning just three times in their past eight games and the Mets going 4-5 over their past nine.

The Mets, however, hold a slim 8-7 edge in the Subway Series since the start of 2007.

Pitching matchup

Game 1 will feature a mound matchup of C.C. Sabathia versus Mike Pelfrey.

The Yankee?s ace was forced to leave his last start after pitching only 1 1/3 innings due to tightness in his left bicep. All indications, however, are he's good to go for Friday's series opener.

?It wasn?t a sharp pain or anything,? Sabathia said. ?It just felt a little tight. It?s something I felt before, between starts or something. It?s nothing major.?

But there has to be something more than tightness bothering the hurler.

Sabathia has been struggling, giving up 12 earned runs over his last 24 innings pitched. The Yankees are just 7-8 when he takes the mound this season.

Mike Pelfrey remains 2-0 at home this season, but was fortunate not to be on the hook in his last start here against the Rays. Pelfrey gave up eight hits and four earned runs in just five innings and the Mets lost 10-6. The right-hander has made it through the sixth inning only once in his last four starts

Pelfrey, however, was a winner in his lone previous start against the Yankees, a 15-6 Mets victory last season. And here's a bit of an odd trend: the Mets are 9-3 in Mike Pelfrey's last 12 starts in Game 1 of a series.

Safe at home

The Mets have settled in nicely to their new digs, posting a 21-14 record at Citi Field entering Thursday's action.

That record improves to 18-8 when you include only home games versus left-handed starting pitchers. Of course that mark dates back to their final season at Shea Stadium.

The team?s success at home can also be attributed to its ability to take the first game of a series. Getting off on the right foot has been one of the team?s strengths, as it is 17-7 in series openers.

Power outage

Prior to scoring eight runs in Wednesday's victory in Atlanta, the Yankees had scored only 18 runs in their past seven games.

?We have too many good hitters,? Manager Joe Girardi said, ?to stay in a slump."

The underachievers have been led by Alex Rodriguez, who entered Thursday mired in a 2-for-25 slump. Robinson Cano, who was huge in this year's first installment of the Subway Series, is just three for his past 19.

 

[bohawk]

cisco: Good info! Thanks for doing this daily!heyes :mj06: