Trend Sheets for Sunday's games

[cisco]

Sunday, August 10th

National League

Florida at NY Mets, 1:10 ET
Josh Johnson (R) vs. Mike Pelfrey (R)
Johnson: 15-9 TSR as an underdog
Pelfrey: 5-11 TSR vs. division

Houston at Cincinnati, 1:15 ET
Wandy Rodriguez (L) vs. Aaron Harang (R)
Rodriguez: Hou 32-18 Under as road underdog
Harang: Cin 1-8 in August

Pittsburgh at Philadelphia, 1:35 ET
Jason Davis (R) vs. Jamie Moyer (L)
Davis: Pit 16-8 Over as a road underdog of +150 or more
Moyer: 17-4 TSR at home when the total is 10 or higher

Washington at Milwaukee, 2:05 ET
John Lannan (L) vs. Manny Parra (L)
Lannan: Wash 2-14 off shutout loss
Parra: Mil 42-18 at home off Under

San Diego at Colorado, 3:05 ET
Chris Young (R) vs. Livan Hernandez (R)
Young: SD 2-10 after scoring 8+ runs
Hernandez: 13-5 TSR as home underdog

LA Dodgers at San Francisco, 4:05 ET
Chad Billingsley (R) vs. Matt Cain (R)
Billingsley: Dodgers 17-6 at San Francisco
Cain: 5-20 TSR as an underdog

Atlanta at Arizona, 4:10 ET
Mike Hampton (L) vs. Brandon Webb (R)
Hampton: Atl 6-1 Over vs. Arizona
Webb: 40-19 TSR on grass

St Louis at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 ET ESPN
Chris Carpenter (R) vs. Ryan Dempster (R)
Carpenter: StL 6-13 at Cubs
Dempster: Cubs 16-4 at home in night games

American League

Oakland at Detroit, 1:05 ET
Greg Smith (L) vs. Nate Robertson (L)
Smith: Oak 3-20 L23 games
Robertson: Det 21-11 vs. lefties

Cleveland at Toronto, 1:05 ET
Cliff Lee (L) vs. Scott Richmond (R)
Lee: 10-1 TSR when the total is 8 to 8.5
Richmond: Tor 1-5 vs. Cleveland

Texas at Baltimore, 1:35 ET
Matt Harrison (L) vs. Chris Waters (L)
Harrison: Tex 15-9 after scoring 2 runs or less
Waters: Bal 2-16 on Sundays

Boston at Chicago White Sox, 2:05 ET TBS
Clay Buchholz (R) vs. Gavin Floyd (R)
Buchholz: 1-8 TSR in road games
Floyd: White Sox 13-3 at home in day games

Minnesota at Kansas City, 2:10 ET
Scott Baker (R) vs. Gil Meche (R)
Baker: 9-2 TSR Away in day games
Meche: KC 23-40 after a loss

NY Yankees at LA Angels, 3:55 ET
Andy Pettitte (L) vs. Joe Saunders (L)
Pettitte: Yankees 10-1 Under playing with double revenge
Saunders: Angels 22-9 in day games

Tampa Bay at Seattle, 4:10 ET
Edwin Jackson (R) vs. R.A. Dickey (R)
Jackson: TB 49-24 as favorite
Dickey: Sea 12-31 after a one run loss

 

[cisco]

1:05 PM OAKLAND vs. DETROIT
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games


1:07 PM CLEVELAND vs. TORONTO
Cleveland is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Cleveland's last 25 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Cleveland


1:10 PM FLORIDA vs. NY METS
Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Florida's last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Mets's last 13 games


1:15 PM HOUSTON vs. CINCINNATI
Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 13 games when playing at home against Houston


1:35 PM PITTSBURGH vs. PHILADELPHIA
Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh


1:35 PM TEXAS vs. BALTIMORE
Texas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 7 games on the road
Baltimore is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore's last 9 games when playing Texas


2:05 PM BOSTON vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Boston is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 9 games when playing Boston


2:05 PM WASHINGTON vs. MILWAUKEE
Washington is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Washington is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington


2:10 PM MINNESOTA vs. KANSAS CITY
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota


3:05 PM SAN DIEGO vs. COLORADO
San Diego is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
San Diego is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing Colorado
Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego
Colorado is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing San Diego


3:35 PM NY YANKEES vs. LA ANGELS
NY Yankees are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Yankees's last 10 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees


4:05 PM LA DODGERS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
LA Dodgers are 15-4 SU in their last 19 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
LA Dodgers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Francisco's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of San Francisco's last 19 games at home


4:10 PM ATLANTA vs. ARIZONA
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta


4:10 PM TAMPA BAY vs. SEATTLE
Tampa Bay is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

 

[cisco]

Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox [TBS | 2:05 PM ET]

Red Sox: Clay Buchholz needs a strong performance to keep his spot in Boston's rotation. In his last seven starts, Buchholz has allowed four runs or more a ridiculous six times. He also hasn't gotten out of the sixth inning in any one of those outings. Buchholz has been miserable on the road this season where he's 0-5 with an ERA of 7.68 in eight starts. The OVER is 6-3-1 in Buchholz's last 10 starts.

Red Sox are 1-8 in Buchholz's last 9 road starts.
The OVER is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.

Key Injuries - 1B Kevin Youkilis (.317; hand) has returned.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

White Sox (-120, O/U 10.5): Gavin Floyd hasn't pitched great over his last three starts, but the White Sox have still been able to win every one of those games. In his last 17.2 innings of work, Floyd has allowed 10 runs. However, two of those games were on the road. Today, Floyd returns home where he is 7-2 with a stellar 2.98 ERA. Floyd has one relief appearance against the Red Sox where he was lit up for four runs in just 3.2 innings. The OVER is 4-0 in Floyd's last four starts.

White Sox are 1-8 in the last 9 meetings.
The OVER is 16-6-1 in Chicago's last 23 games overall.

Key Injuries - 3B Joe Crede (.255; back) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 6 (Side Play of the Day)



New York Yankees at Los Angeles Angels [YES | 3:35 PM ET]

Yankees: Veteran Andy Pettitte appears to be wearing down some. Pettitte has lost his last two starts, allowing 17 hits and 14 runs in just 10.1 innings of work. Pettitte has been solid away from Yankee Stadium this year, going 7-4 with a 3.87 ERA. He's faced the Angels 23 times in his career, compiling a 12-7 record against the Halos. After pitching seven straight UNDERS, the OVER has cashed easily is Pettitte's last three outings.

The OVER is 12-3 in New York's last 15 games overall.
The OVER is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings.

Key Injuries - C Ivan Rodriguez (.291; knee) has returned.

PROJECTED SCORE: 5 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)

Angels (-140, O/U 9): Joe Saunders continues to dominate in 2008. The Angels have won his last four starts and are 7-3 in his last 10 outings. As good as Saunders has been this season, he can't be too happy about facing the Yankees. In two career starts versus the Bombers, Saunders has a 10.80 ERA, and Yankee hitters are batting a robust .361 against him. Despite only allowing seven runs in his last three starts, the OVER is 3-0 over that span.

Angels are 10-2 in their last 12 home games.
Angels are 18-5 in their last 23 games overall.

Key Injuries - 3B Maicer Izturis (.263; thumb) has returned.

PROJECTED SCORE: 7



St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs [ESPN | 8:05 PM ET]

Cardinals: Chris Carpenter makes his third start of the season today after pitching well in his first two outings, both St. Louis wins. Carpenter has only allowed one run in nine innings of work so far this season. He has impressive career numbers against the Cubs, going 7-2 with an ERA of 3.07 in 13 starts. Even though Carpenter has done his job, both of his starts have gone OVER the total.

Cardinals are 7-14 in the last 21 meetings.
The OVER is 9-1-1 in St. Louis' last 11 road games.

Key Injuries - OF Chris Duncan (.248; neck) is on the 15-day DL.

PROJECTED SCORE: 4

Cubs (-150): Ryan Dempster has only lost twice in his last 10 starts and he's allowed one run or less an amazing six times during that stretch. Dempster has been close to unbeatable at Wrigley Field where he's 10-2 with a 2.77 ERA on the year. Dempster has struggled against the Cardinals in his career. He's just 4-5 with a 5.09 ERA versus the Redbirds. The UNDER is 4-1 in Dempster's last five starts at home.

Cubs are 11-3 in Dempster's 14 home starts.
Cubs are 8-2 in their last 10 Sunday games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 5

 

[cisco]

Pro Baseball Trend Report
FLORIDA (61 - 56) at NY METS (62 - 54) - 1:10 PM
JOSH JOHNSON (R) vs. MIKE PELFREY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 61-56 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 43-25 (+25.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
FLORIDA is 27-23 (+13.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 28-30 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
FLORIDA is 17-9 (+14.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
FLORIDA is 26-21 (+11.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
FLORIDA is 17-12 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
FLORIDA is 60-54 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 44-38 (+13.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
FLORIDA is 34-22 (+18.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
FLORIDA is 435-491 (+33.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
FLORIDA is 237-250 (+44.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
NY METS are 31-32 (-8.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
NY METS are 20-24 (-11.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
NY METS are 31-34 (-24.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 58-56 (-21.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 40-43 (-11.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PELFREY is 5-11 (-9.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 7-4 (+1.7 Units) against FLORIDA this season
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.1 Units)



JOSH JOHNSON vs. NY METS since 1997
JOHNSON is 3-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.52 and a WHIP of 1.056.
His team's record is 3-1 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)



MIKE PELFREY vs. FLORIDA since 1997
PELFREY is 1-3 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 6.40 and a WHIP of 1.777.
His team's record is 1-4 (-4.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.3 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ST LOUIS (65 - 54) at CHICAGO CUBS (70 - 47) - 8:05 PM
CHRIS CARPENTER (R) vs. RYAN DEMPSTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 70-47 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 44-17 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 68-43 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 16-4 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
DEMPSTER is 96-90 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 55-33 (+25.5 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 43-34 (+16.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 83-78 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 56-41 (+24.7 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
DEMPSTER is 25-13 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 32-26 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ST LOUIS is 27-16 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 65-54 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 43-36 (+6.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 45-32 (+15.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 65-54 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CARPENTER is 18-6 (+13.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
CARPENTER is 70-51 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 135-186 (-64.4 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-4 (+0.6 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)



CHRIS CARPENTER vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
CARPENTER is 7-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.07 and a WHIP of 1.121.
His team's record is 9-4 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-6. (+0.5 units)



RYAN DEMPSTER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
DEMPSTER is 2-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.66 and a WHIP of 1.741.
His team's record is 3-5 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-5. (-3.6 units)

 

[cisco]

MLB 70% Super Situations:

MLB Sunday: Play Against MLB home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with a bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better on the season against an opponent with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, 73-23 SU since 1997 (76%)

PLAY: Cleveland Indians -135


MLB Top Angles

MLB Sunday: Milwaukee is 21-3 SU against the money line in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Sunday: Washington is 1-13 SU against the money line in road games versus an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season this season.

MLB Sunday: San Diego is 4-18 SU against the money line versus a bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 this season.

MLB Sunday: Cain (SF) is 5-20 SU against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher over the last 2 seasons (Team's Record).

MLB Sunday: Detroit is 7-24 SU against the money line versus an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season.

MLB Sunday: Boston is 3-13 SU against the money line in road games versus teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game on the season.