Trends And Plays

[THUNDER]

BALTIMORE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 32-55 ATS (-28.5 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 3-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


MIAMI is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) in all games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-2 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SEATTLE is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
SEATTLE is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in October games since 1992.
SEATTLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

OAKLAND is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 6-1 ATS (+4.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
KANSAS CITY is 5-1 ATS (+3.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-1 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 3-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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TREND PLAYS OF THE WEEK ALL FOR 2%-MIAMI,BALTIMORE,KC,CHICAGO

 

[ELVIS]

THUNDER, WE SHOULD TALK IF YOU HAVE THE TIME. I TRIED TO GET YOUR EMAIL FROM JACK LAST YEAR AND HE DID NOT RESPOND. MAYBE I DID SOMETHING INCORRECT. I HAVE LOGGED IN AT YOUR WEBSITE WITH THE SAME USER NAME.

 

[THUNDER]

elvis my cell # is there feel free to call anytime.

 

[kreationz]

thunder,

thanks for the info... juss out of curiousity where did you get these stats from? I'd be very interested with other team stats as well....that you didnt list off, as well as be able to get these stats every week without having to hassel you for them.

gl with your plays.

 

[Rebel21]

Thanks

 

[THUNDER]

FROM MY NEWSLETTER

FROM MY NEWSLETTER

4% Arizona St by 23 - The Tar Heels are 1-8-1 ATS in their HC games and 1-8 ATS as a HD under Bunting. LY the teams combined for 1135 total yds r as NC won 38-35 as an 8? pt dog in Tempe. ASU is in an USC/Oregon/UCLA sandwich, has to travel clear across the country and are 1-5 ATS away vs non-conf foes. NC QB Durant is avg 221 (62%) with a 9-3 ratio and has 273 yds and 3 rushing TD?s. NC is allowing 482 ypg and pass D is allowing 245 ypg. This NC team cannot stop anybody meanwhile ASU is starting to play the way they are capable of.QB Walter is avg 252 ypg (54%) with a 12-6 ratio. ASU has the edge on offense , defense and spec tms. ASU lost at Iowa and Oreg St TY but this is a much easier test. NC gets cruched ASU 43 NC 20.

3% TOTAL PLAY- Denver at MINNESOTA over the total - Minnesota returns from their bye week and start the first of a 3 game homestand. The last time these teams met was 1999 when the Vikings pushed 23-20 as a 3 point AF. The Vikings are 10-2 ATS in their L/12 and the team is avg 150 ypg (4.6 ypc) rushing. Vikings defenders are rather aggressive vs the run and can be exposed in play action fakes which the Falcons used to snare 5 passes of 23 or more yds in the 1H of that game. The Vikings now have the league?s top offense and now face a Bronco defense that is #2 in the NFL.However there defense is much better at home and is suseptable to the big play as KC showed 2 weeks ago. Both QB Culpepper and WR Moss are expected to be at 100% from their back injuries and QB Plummer?s separated shoulder kept him out of LW?s game.so he should be healthy.Weather will not be a factor and each team has speed galore to be used on this fast track. Look for a shoot out-MINNY 31 DENVER 28.

3% PLAY MIAMI BY 11 - The Dolphins have covered 5 straight meetings at home and are 12-2 SU and 9-5 ATS hosting the Patriots since 1995. The Dolphins are 14-3-1 ATS as home favorite and 5-1 ATS as Div hf and the Patriots are 0-13 SU in Miami during the months of Sept and Oct. Dolphins dominates this game more than the score will indicate due to Miami conservative play. NE is depleted with injuries and really running on fumes.. This does not bode well with Miami ram it down you throat wear you down style of play.Miami has won the L/3 games in Miami by an avg of 22-9 and outgained them 286-201. The Dolphins defense may only be 15th but they have not yielded more than 10 pts since they lost to Houston.The way NE O has looked as of late they will be lucky to put 10 on the board. MIAMI 23 NE 10

2% PLAY-Florida St BY 13- . FSU has won the last 6 this series by an avg of 28points. LY the Cavs did not score their 1st TD until the 4Q but did get the backdoor cover, 40-19. Al Groh is 7-1 ATS as a HD,. QB Matt Schaub is avg 241 ypg (72%) with a 6-5 ratio. RB Wali Lundy has 538 rush yds (4.3) but inj?d his foot LW and is questionable here (we think he plays But here is why we like FSU is off their big loss to #2 Miami and are probably a long shot in the National Title picture. QB Rix is avg 254 ypg (60%) with a 10-5 ratio. Greg Jones has 280 rush yds. FSU suffered one of their rare losses at home last week FSU is the only team in the ACC without a conf loss as Virg lost their first LW in OT. FSU is a much stronger team than they showed in the rain LW. They are better at almost all the skill positions-there d-line will dominate here. They are off a loss and there is line value here. We think FSU dominates here FSU 27 VIRGINIA 14

 

[Junior44]

Re: FROM MY NEWSLETTER

Re: FROM MY NEWSLETTER

QB Plummer?s separated shoulder kept him out of LW?s game.so he should be healthy

Plummer is out for a month with a broken foot. I beleive this was announced either Monday or Tuesday.

 

[THUNDER]

thanx junior newsletter was written on monday- does not change the play

 

[Antonio]

Kreationz, you can get these trends all over the WEB. There Statfox's free trends.

Thunder hope all is going well my man, GL with the service.

 

[THUNDER]

yes i like statfox alot- and when coupled with a capped game- like texas tech last week it becomes a big play- thanx things are going very well thanx for the kind words

 

[ndlarryj]

thunder, what is your service's web address?

or if someone could point me to it on his behalf, i'd appreciate it.

thunder, i just read the trend thread from last week with a lot of bitching about your 'advertising'. FWIW, I certainly was not offended by it and I always appreciate seeing your plays.. wish I coattailed more of em last year when I was first starting to use MJ's.

Thanks & good luck.. keep postin'!!

 

[THUNDER]

thank you- jack was kind enough to put us under links- just click and you are there. gl to you

 

[Sportsaholic]

Re: FROM MY NEWSLETTER

Re: FROM MY NEWSLETTER

2% PLAY-Florida St BY 13- . FSU has won the last 6 this series by an avg of 28points. LY the Cavs did not score their 1st TD until the 4Q but did get the backdoor cover, 40-19. Al Groh is 7-1 ATS as a HD,. QB Matt Schaub is avg 241 ypg (72%) with a 6-5 ratio. RB Wali Lundy has 538 rush yds (4.3) but inj?d his foot LW and is questionable here (we think he plays But here is why we like FSU is off their big loss to #2 Miami and are probably a long shot in the National Title picture. QB Rix is avg 254 ypg (60%) with a 10-5 ratio. Greg Jones has 280 rush yds. FSU suffered one of their rare losses at home last week FSU is the only team in the ACC without a conf loss as Virg lost their first LW in OT. FSU is a much stronger team than they showed in the rain LW. They are better at almost all the skill positions-there d-line will dominate here. They are off a loss and there is line value here. We think FSU dominates here FSU 27 VIRGINIA 14 [/B][/QUOTE]

Enjoy the write ups Thunder but courious (sure its a typo) but you like FSU - 13- but only have them covering the game by 13.

 

[THUNDER]

no not a typo fsu wins by 13 27-14 spreadis 8

 

[Sportsaholic]

My bad..........was looking at 13- as being the spread, havent looked at lines yet.


Thanx & GL!!!!!

 

[Kdogg21]

Thunder,

Do you still like the over in the DEN/MINN game with Beurlein starting?? I was thinking that Portis would get the ball a hell of alot more and try to keep the Vikings offense off the field. Also do you think Dante will be that effective after being off for a few weeks?

thanks for the trends and good luck this weekend.

 

[ELVIS]

no expert here, but den struggled to score at home last week against pitt. burelin scares me. gl.