Here are some trends from "THE REAL WORM" my friends, enjoy
90% OR BETTER
(2002, 5-6)
(2003, 0-0)
80% OR BETTER
(2002, 73-60)
(2003, 13-15)
Play Against - Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (BOSTON COLLEGE) - after a
game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. (32-4 over the last 5 seasons.)
(88.9%, +27.6 units. Rating = 5*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (19-19 over
the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 6.5
The average score in these games was: Team 25.4, Opponent 23.3 (Average
point differential = +2.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more
points was 18 (47.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (5-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (45-29).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (51-32).
Play Against - Favorites of 31.5 or more points (OKLAHOMA) - with a great
scoring defense - allowing 14 or less points/game, after allowing 7 points
or less in the first half in 2 straight games. (25-6 over the last 10
seasons.) (80.6%, +18.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (2-11 over
the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 36.4
The average score in these games was: Team 11.2, Opponent 38.4 (Average
point differential = -27.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more
points was 17 (56.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (1-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (9-3).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (28-10).
75% OR BETTER
(2002, 78-64 ats)
(2003, 40-45-1)
Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (VIRGINIA) - off a loss against a
conference rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season.
(30-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (75%, +19 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (23-17 over
the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 5.8
The average score in these games was: Team 24.9, Opponent 22.6 (Average
point differential = +2.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more
points was 22 (56.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-5).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (38-22).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (42-28).
Play Against - Home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (PENN ST) - average
rushing team (3.5 to 4.3 YPR) against a poor rushing team (3 to 3.5 YPR)
after 7+ games. (30-9 over the last 10 seasons.) (76.9%, +20.1 units. Rating
= 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (4-23 over
the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 15
The average score in these games was: Team 19.4, Opponent 31.7 (Average
point differential = -12.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more
points was 14 (38.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-8).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (30-12).
Play Against - Home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (UTAH) - average rushing
team (3.5 to 4.3 YPR) against a poor rushing team (3 to 3.5 YPR) after 7+
games. (30-9 over the last 10 seasons.) (76.9%, +20.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (4-23 over
the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 15
The average score in these games was: Team 19.4, Opponent 31.7 (Average
point differential = -12.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more
points was 14 (38.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-8).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (30-12).
Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (AUBURN) - off a loss against a
conference rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season.
(30-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (75%, +19 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (23-17 over
the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 5.8
The average score in these games was: Team 24.9, Opponent 22.6 (Average
point differential = +2.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more
points was 22 (56.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-5).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (38-22).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (42-28).
Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (IOWA ST) - after 2 straight
losses by 21 or more points. (27-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.4%, +19.3
units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (32-3 over
the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.9
The average score in these games was: Team 33.3, Opponent 19.4 (Average
point differential = +13.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more
points was 17 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (51-20).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (56-27).
Play On - Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (LSU) - solid team - outgaining
their opponents by 75 or more yards/game, after outgaining opp by 175 or
more total yards in 2 consecutive games. (33-11 over the last 10 seasons.)
(75%, +20.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (17-9 over
the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.6
The average score in these games was: Team 33.2, Opponent 19.6 (Average
point differential = +13.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more
points was 25 (56.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-5).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (35-19).
90% OR BETTER
(2002, 5-6)
(2003, 0-0)
80% OR BETTER
(2002, 73-60)
(2003, 13-15)
Play Against - Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (BOSTON COLLEGE) - after a
game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. (32-4 over the last 5 seasons.)
(88.9%, +27.6 units. Rating = 5*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (19-19 over
the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 6.5
The average score in these games was: Team 25.4, Opponent 23.3 (Average
point differential = +2.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more
points was 18 (47.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (5-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (45-29).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (51-32).
Play Against - Favorites of 31.5 or more points (OKLAHOMA) - with a great
scoring defense - allowing 14 or less points/game, after allowing 7 points
or less in the first half in 2 straight games. (25-6 over the last 10
seasons.) (80.6%, +18.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (2-11 over
the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 36.4
The average score in these games was: Team 11.2, Opponent 38.4 (Average
point differential = -27.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more
points was 17 (56.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (1-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (9-3).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (28-10).
75% OR BETTER
(2002, 78-64 ats)
(2003, 40-45-1)
Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (VIRGINIA) - off a loss against a
conference rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season.
(30-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (75%, +19 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (23-17 over
the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 5.8
The average score in these games was: Team 24.9, Opponent 22.6 (Average
point differential = +2.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more
points was 22 (56.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-5).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (38-22).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (42-28).
Play Against - Home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (PENN ST) - average
rushing team (3.5 to 4.3 YPR) against a poor rushing team (3 to 3.5 YPR)
after 7+ games. (30-9 over the last 10 seasons.) (76.9%, +20.1 units. Rating
= 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (4-23 over
the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 15
The average score in these games was: Team 19.4, Opponent 31.7 (Average
point differential = -12.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more
points was 14 (38.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-8).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (30-12).
Play Against - Home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points (UTAH) - average rushing
team (3.5 to 4.3 YPR) against a poor rushing team (3 to 3.5 YPR) after 7+
games. (30-9 over the last 10 seasons.) (76.9%, +20.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (4-23 over
the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 15
The average score in these games was: Team 19.4, Opponent 31.7 (Average
point differential = -12.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more
points was 14 (38.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-8).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (30-12).
Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (AUBURN) - off a loss against a
conference rival, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season.
(30-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (75%, +19 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (23-17 over
the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 5.8
The average score in these games was: Team 24.9, Opponent 22.6 (Average
point differential = +2.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more
points was 22 (56.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-5).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (38-22).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (42-28).
Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (IOWA ST) - after 2 straight
losses by 21 or more points. (27-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.4%, +19.3
units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (32-3 over
the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.9
The average score in these games was: Team 33.3, Opponent 19.4 (Average
point differential = +13.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more
points was 17 (50% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (51-20).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (56-27).
Play On - Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (LSU) - solid team - outgaining
their opponents by 75 or more yards/game, after outgaining opp by 175 or
more total yards in 2 consecutive games. (33-11 over the last 10 seasons.)
(75%, +20.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (17-9 over
the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.6
The average score in these games was: Team 33.2, Opponent 19.6 (Average
point differential = +13.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more
points was 25 (56.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-5).
Since 1992 the situation's record is: (35-19).