Tue 7/20 - Home Team Totals Systems

[LordofBalls]

hi guys,
system totals went 3-1 yday... I won 150 on fla over, lost 80 on cubs under... passed on pitt under and balt un, so naturally they both won :facepalm:

I won $34 for the day, and had a neg -$1150 swing when losing the Tigers game... huuuge... drat.
Won Ariz, Wsox, Reds... lost small on lad, philly.
moving forward!!


Today's Plays are...


Reg. Homestand
A's Ov #1.. (pass)
Sea Ov #1 :shrug:
Tigers Un #1.. (pass)
Ariz Un #1.. may try this one
Lad Ov #1.. (i'm playing under!)


XL Homestand
***Yanks Un #3 :shrug:
**Cubs Un #2
Balt Ov #1 (re)
Fla Un #1 (re)
Pitt Ov #1 (re)


"Other" Plays
Mets and rl
Tigers (hopefully they'll try to get bk in my gd graces w/a win tonite! )
TBy rl and -2.5 .. think garza dominates balty again
Pitt .. for alot less than top 2
Leans...
Yanks rl and -2.5
Colo .. don't think much of robertson
Padres .. live dog

**Nottt really sure of much yet!!
I have played mets, tigers, and alot less on pitt and lad under and thats it so far.


:director: "Let's get 'em all tonite!"

whatever U play... :toast:



BoL~~LoB
:box2: :SIB:box2:

 

[tig3rs]

i sometimes stop in these threads of "systems" and it never fails: i never get it.

what's this one? you have a system that picks plays but you ignore some and play others?

just wondering.

 

[LordofBalls]

I got tired of spending alot of time capping pitchers, stats, etc and mostly ending up going up and down like a rollercoaster, frustrating to me.


So I started tracking totals (marking results ov/un) for home tms while trying to pick winning sides...
and I noticed, there always seemed to be at least 1 over and 1 under during the homestand.

So I came up w/this simple chase system...

starting w/1st gm of a regular (7gms or less) or XL (8gms or more) homestand...
If the gm goes over the total, start chasing for 'under'...
If the gm stays under the total, start chasing for 'over'...
if it ties the total, then watch it again tomorrow, start betting the following game..
When in an XL homestand, if there are still 6+ gms left in the hmstd after the system has hit, then "re-start" that team to hit the total the way you need again...


I track the system plays... there's usually about 4 or 5 times per season when some team will play 7 straight overs or unders to start a homestand... when this happens.... it sucks.
So, I got tired of chasing bet #4's and #5's... and #6's really suck...

I play the ones that I feel comfortable playing... tonite I like the dodger gm under... system says over.
hopefully it'll stay under and I can start over chase tomorrow... we'll see.

if you wait and start a 3gm chase after a system play is up to bet #4... you'd win every time so far this season...

sometimes the pitchers, umps, weather all line up and I'll start playing on it the first bet...
it varies...

I also try to see if it matches up w/a strong play from a few other 'cappers that I like.... gsp's totals in particular.


Offshoot of original system - "Early Starts"

certain teams (when at home) are "under" teams or "over" teams....
I posted L 4yrs of this "early Start" info a month or two ago in this forum, you can search and print if you r interested...

I sometimes start a 3 gm chase wager on certain teams to get an over or under.. (usually unders ~ Houston, StLouis, SD are the top 3 tms and awesome in this category)
meaning they will hit an under within first 3 gms of their homestand...
but still, sometimes I factor in other things and stay away for a gm or two...

My "Other" plays are plays I like that are outside the systems....

FYI...
I also track system totals w/teams on long roadtrips....
When an unusual circumstance arises, I will try to post that info under "Notable Info"...
on the road, there are bet #5's and up more often than at home...
I did 3 yrs research on these systems, and have yet to hear of anyone or anything that works perfectly... year in year out.
If you know of one, please share w/me so I can win a boatload and retire :0074


that's about it.... if you are on the fence about a game total, it may help you to stay away from one or to get on one and give it a 2 or 3 gm chase...

Hope it kinda makes sense.... itsa bitch to write all this shit out on a regular basis...

whatever U play...

BoL~LoB
:SIB

 

[hammer1]

U shd put this somewhere so u never have to answer this question again.....U are a patient man Lordie !!

 

[LordofBalls]

hammerman,

hoping to hear from ya when you see one you like!!


fyi...

I added sm plays on...
yanks un
cubs un
(btw reeeeallly like cubs under on wed! wish it wasn't a day game but i like the sp's)
twins over... fairly big!


along w/ a couple birdseed parlays! :toast:


BoL~LoB
:SIB