Tuesday Game Notes

[Terryray]

Florida at Pittsburg.........................................................................

FL is 8-18-4 away
Pitt is 13-15-2 at home


Teams have met twice this season, a 2 all tie at Pitt (10/28), and FL blanked Pitt 2-0 (11/7)

FL is 0-10-1 on 2 days rest
Pitt is 5-5-3 on 0 days rest

FL is 1-8-1 last 10
Pitt is 2-7-1 last 10


FL is having a dissapointing time. This from Sun-Sentinel:

The Panthers have lost six in a row, five straight by one goal, and three of the past four by blowing 3-0 and two 2-0 leads.

The fragile Panthers aren't able to handle adversity. If anything goes wrong, things usually fall apart.

"No composure," goalie Roberto Luongo said after the most recent debacle, a 3-2 loss to Tampa Bay on Saturday in which the Panthers blew a 2-0 lead in the third period. "Even though we give up one goal, the game's not over. We just lose composure. It's just a mess."



Pitt, on the other hand, last night battled back from a 2 goal deficit to win over NYI. Pitt is now five points behind NYR and MTL for final playoff spot.

Pitt is 9-3 ATS on tuesdays this season
Pitt is 10-4 ATS after a win by 2 goals or more, but
Pitt is 5-10 this season after a division game

FL's Kozlov gets surgery today. Ryan Johnson skated, no idea when he will return.

Pitt's Straka hopes to be back thrus.

Post-Gazette list Luongo/Hedberg as probable goalies. I agree.

Luongo is 1-5-1 vs Pitt, 3.93 gga, .872 pct. He was author of that 2-0 shutout.

Hedberg is 1-1-0 vs FL, 2.53 gga, .932 pct. He goaled that 0-2 blanking. He's 1-3-1 this season on 2nd nite of b/b starts. Two of those at home (one win and one loss)

Pitt next game is Carolina at home after 1 day rest.
FL get 2 day rest next, then begin 4 game homestand.

 

[Terryray]

NY Rangers at Minnesota

NY Rangers at Minnesota

NYR 11-17-2 away
MN is 11-14-7 at home

Teams have met once this season, NYR winning 3-1 at home. They also won the two last season, home and away.

NYR 6-3 on 0 day's rest, 2-2 after a loss
MN 3-6-3 on 2 days rest, 2-2-1 after a loss

NYR 2-8 on road in 2002. Beat NYI and AT
NYR 0-5-2 first road game following a home loss this season.
MN is 2-1-3 at home after a road loss


Blackburn is 6-9-0 this season, 3.22 gga, .901 pct. He's 5-6-0 on road


over is 6-3 for NYR on 0 days rest this season (27-14 last 3 seasons, 53-28 since '96)
over is 7-2 for MN on 2 days rest.
over is 11-4 for MN this season after division game
over is 13-7 for MN after allowing 4 goals or more.
over for Fernandez is 8-5, Roloson 9-6, Backburn 6-6.
over is 5-1 in MN last 6
over is 5-1 in NYR last 6
MN has avg 3.4 goals in last five games
MN has two important defensemen out, Kuba and Brown.
Both team's PP have improved last 5 (tho NYR PK has too)

Now watch this game go under!!


NYR 3-7 last 10
MN 2-7-1 last 10

Rangers are tied for final playoff spot with MTL (WA 3 points behind, Pitt is five, Buff is six).

Rangers RW Matthew Barnaby out with injury last night, very doubtful for tonight.


............more trend stuff....................

NYR 7-17 ATS after allowing 4 goals or more
NYR 6-12 ATS in non-conference games
NYR 5-10 ATS after upset loss as favorite

MN is 14-9 ATS after loss by 2 goals or more
but MN is 18-27 ATS as an underdog this season

 

[saint]

Actually last month 2 days in a row, every single stat I could find pointed to either the over or the under, and I played both, and both games went opposite the trends:shrug: Don't you get the feeling sometimes you just can't win.

 

[Terryray]

Isn't it fun gambling?

But some should pay off in long run, like that 3 season, and since '96, trend.

 

[Terryray]

Carolina at Chicago

Carolina at Chicago

Carolina is 14-14-4 on road
Chi is 22-5-4 at home. 10-2 last 12 at home.

Hawks are 4th in Conference standings. Can't catch Detroit, but need to hold position for important (as shown above) home ice advantage for playoffs. STL is four points behind Chi, with two less games.

Hawks' leading scorer, Zhamnov, "is not expected tonight" sez official site. Last season's leading scorer, Steve Sullivan, is on a hot streak tho.

Carolina tonight play 7th of 8 game road trip. 3-3 so far, 2-1 after Olympic break. It ends thrus in Pitt.

Chi next, at home, take on NYR thurs.

Chicago is 20-8-6 on 1 day rest
'Canes are 1-2-2 on 2 days rest. 0-1-1 after a win on 2 days rest.

Teams met twice last season (none this). Carolina won at home and on road. But 'Canes 2-3-0 last 5 trips to United Center

Carolina over is 18-7 on road this year
Chi over is 4-1-2 last 7 games
over is 1-4 last 5 meetings (going back to '98)

Hawk's goalie Passmore has won last five straight.
Hawk's goalie Thibault has dropped two in a row, he has yet to drop three in a row this season.

 

[Terryray]

New Jersey at Phoenix

New Jersey at Phoenix

NJ 11-14-5 on road
Phx is 18-10-3 at home

teams have met once this season. NJ won 5-2 at home.

NJ won last 4 meetings ATS (going back to jan 2000)

NJ is 8-4-2 on 0 days rest
Phx is 18-15-1 on 1 days rest

Burke is 2-7-4 vs NJ, 3.17 gga, .910 pct
Burke has allowed just 6 goals in last four starts
Burke is 17-7-2 at home


A Phoenix win tonight would tie them with Dallas for 7th playoff spot

NJ 6-3-2 last 11. Scored 18 goals in those games. And 3 of those losses by shutouts. Not much offense!

Phx 4-1-1-1 last 7, 3-1 last 4 at home

NJ over hits 12-4 after scoring 1 goal or less in previous game
NJ over is 3-8 on b/b days
7 of last 8 meetings went over (since '96)

under 3-1 last 4 NJ on road
under 3-1 last 4 Phx overall

NJ PP is 0.00 in last 5 games
Phx PK is 95.2 last five games

Phx is 12-6 ATS in non-conference games
Phx is 6-3 ATS on tues

 

[Terryray]

Nashville at San Jose

Nashville at San Jose

Nashville is 9-18-3 on road
SJ 16-9-2 at home

Streaky Sharks. 7-0, now 0-2. typical

Predators are 9 points from a playoff spot

after tonight Nash gets to go home and then take on LA thurs.
SJ's next is also thurs at home, against Ott

Nashville's key forward Orszagh probably won't play, and Dubinsky is "probable". Article in paper sez defense may be emphasized big. Here's the piece on it:

http://www.tennessean.com/sports/predators/archives/02/03/14539372.shtml?Element_ID=14539372


..................trends..........................



Nash is 11-4 ATS after loss by 2 goals or more
Nash is 7-2 ATS revenging a home loss
Nash 3-1 ATS last 4 road games
Nash's Dunham 2-3 SU last five road starts
Nash is 19-7 ATS when playing a winning team.
but no idea of the above on road (unless noted). and
Nash is 8-15 ATS as road dog of .5 or less
SJ 3-1-1 ATS last five meetings

O/U...........................................

over has hit Dunham 5-0-2 last 7 road starts.
over is 19-7 in Nash road games
over is 27-11 for SJ as a favorite.
over is 13-8 SJ at home
over 5 line has hit 9-7-5 SJ at home
over 5 line has hit 13-7-5 Nash on road
over 3-1 in last 4 SJ overall
over 2-0-1 last 3 Nash overall
SJ important defensman Marchment is out on suspension

but
over 0-6 in Nash games after 3 or more consecutive overs
SJ over 0-3-1 at home after multiple road trip
Nash has avg 1.6 goals/game last five
Both teams PP have slipped last five
Both teams PK have climbed last five