Tuesday July 3rd

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Tuesday July 3rd 2007

yesterday: 8-10 -4.14
July: 10-17 -6.75
ml 6-9 -3.09
totals 4-8 -3.66
system picks 0-2 yesterday; still 8-4 the past 4 days (value indicator any+10, +7at60+, +5at65+)
system totals 2-2 yesterday; 3-3 in July

system sides

team win% (line)value indicator

mil 66% (-149)+6 RL 52 (+108)+3
cubs 69 (-191)+3 RL 55 (-114)+1
Cin 57 (-119)+2
Hou 62 (-165)-1
Col 56 (-123)even
ariz 61 (-134)+3
Sd 63 (-141)+4
Lad 54 (-144)-6 atl 46 (+136)+3
clev 51 (+123)+6
Nyy 68 (-188)+2 RL 54 (+105)+5
Bost 69 (-191)+3 RL 54 (+111)+6
seat 58 (-101)+7
Cws 58 (-130)+1
laa 55 (-122)even
Oak 67 (-159)+5 RL 52 (+126)+7

system totals

sf@Cin un9.5 65% (-125)+9 --ump N/A
phil@Hou ov9 66 (+106)+17 --Tim Welke a bit of an under-ump; pass here
tb@Bost un9 72 (-105)+20 --ump N/A
laa@Tex ov10.5 65 (-110)+12 --ump N/A


Laughing stock Monday.

Tuesday should be better.

Hey Hooks; that break-down you mentioned (home-away splits) would be interesting. I just don't know if I have the time (or patience) to retrieve the necessary data. We're talking 3 months of games that I would have to reassess. I think that the bonuses I give for home-field and the penalties I give for the visitor are fine. My main concern right now is just to find some damn winners.

GL

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

return on investment breakdown for system picks
---------------------------------------------------------------------
(brewers, A's)
----------------------------------------------------------------------

brewers 66% (-149)+6 V.I.

briefly:
--Capuano making first start off DL
--brewers best in MLB vs lefties and face a soft one here.
--Pirates stick, bullpen, and home-field advantage have been garbage lately

-149 is 67.1 cents otd
66 x 0.671 = 44.286
34 x -1.......= -34
---------------------------------
..................10.286%

Not the greatest.
Probably the one I like most; Johnson and Burnett were trash coming off the DL, but Looper got the job done yesterday against the D'Backs (of freaking course he did...stiknkin' D'Backs).
Play on the Pirates for some easy cash as I'm feeling very unlucky right now.

---------------------------------------------------------------------

A's 67% (-157)+5 V.I.

briefly:
--A's with monster edge at starter; Blanton has been pretty sharp lately. Litsch is a dog.
--A's dropped the first but still did score 7 runs (and counting); they've been productive at the plate lately.
--Jays middle relief--which will (most likely) be needed--is a sore spot for the Jays

-157 is 63.7 cents otd
67 x 0.637 = 42.679
33 x -1.......= -33
---------------------------------
.....................9.679%

Figures...this one is even worse.

Today's board is not very attractive.

:SIB

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

The snake behind me hisses, what my damage could have been.

The snake behind me hisses, what my damage could have been.

And I feel this coming over like a storm again...
...considerately.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

PLAYS

system picks

brewers -144 2.88/2
cubs -177 2.65/1.5
A's -157 1.57/1

other picks

Padres -141 0.98/0.7
mariners +101 0.8/0.81
White Sox -130 0.78/0.6

totals

brewers over 5 -120 0.72/0.6
sf@Cin un9.5 -125 0.62/0.5
tb@Bost un9 -105 1.05/1
d'rays under 4 -130 0.65/0.5

2-teamer
--Yankees ml
--Bosox ml
+137
0.72/1


That does me for today.
I've got some other things troubling me presently; somewhat hard to focus on these lines.
I'm going to try to keep posting for the duration of the season, but if July keeps kicking my ass, as it has so far, then I don't know if I'll be able to continue. My system is really quite easy to use but I've been trying to go the extra mile on it, what with June being a bit of a dissappointment; the extra time I'm putting in seems to be doing absolutely no good so I'm just going to stick to the basics and see if that works.
I dunno?looking at some other posts I see that I'm not the only one suffering right now, but I might be the only one of the lot who's foolish enough to think that they can write a book on the subject. My project, in this regard, has really stalled; if my system doesn't start feeding me some better sides then I might scrap the whole idea. My results, as a whole, have been okay but I'm looking for much greater consistency. The losses are really affecting me adversely; I've been doing this for long enough (about 6 years online and I was making plays for 6-8 years before that) that a loss should just be accepted as normal, but my extra effort this season had my expectations up to, probably, unreasonable levels. This endeavour that we have chosen is not an easy proposition.

With that being said, let me conclude before I choke on my ankle.

GL Tuesday
See you tomorrow (today).

"Long ago I wandered through my mind
In the land of fairy tales and stories.
Lost in happiness I knew no fears.
Innocence and love was all I knew?
?WAS AN ILLUSION."

(Ozzy, Wheels of Confusion, 1971)

 

[Hooks]

You're doing all you can to handicap these games and are doing a great job.
Unfortunatly, you can't PLAY the games for these guys. Keep with it, you'll know soon enough to keep it going or wait for FOOTBALL :00hour
Hooks