tuesday mac basketball: bowling green at ball state ......

gman2

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fully intended on making etsu my only play tonight.

but i know im gonna kick myself if i pass this one up, so going with this game too.

ball state (-4)

to me, everything favors ball state here.

* first and foremost -- theyre the better team. theyve got a huge edge athletically as well. does that mean a lot? certainly it doesnt mean everything, but bg just doesnt have the same athletes theyve had in the past. the reason bg is winning is because theyre playing very unselfish basketball and reimold has been a great leader for them. on paper though, ball state is a lot more talented at almost every position.

* ball state is a solid team at home and bowling green has struggled mightily in this gym (2-10 since it opened).

* scheduling really favors ball state for two reasons.

1) ball state has been off since last wednesday and has only played two games in the last two weeks.

2) bowling green is playing their 4th game in 9 days and this game is a big-time sandwich game for them. falcons played home to undefeated western michigan a few days ago and then have a huge home game up next with rival toledo (which is the premier rivalry in this conference).

* assuming ball state doesnt catch pre-game influenza, bg is finally gonna face a stiff road test, something they havent had since the first game of the season. they caught emu shorthanded last week, so this one will tell me a lot about bg.

my main hesitation is the coaching. dakich is such a damn good coach that its tough to go against him. but this is a great spot for ball state. even if this game was played in a vacuum, ball state is better. throw in bg's struggles in muncie along with the sandwich spot and bg's 'four in nine' and bsu's light work schedule the last 2 weeks.... theres no reason ball state shouldnt win by 8-10 points.

so im going with east tennessee and ball state tonight and feeling good about both.
 

gman2

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and to make it even better, went to put the play in at (-4) and it changed to (-3.5). never thought that was possible. seems every time theres a change when youre submitting a bet, its always against you. but no complaints. bsu -3.5
 

vyrus858

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well, for the first time in a while were on the different side...and judging by out track records ill consider BG a loss lol, good luck bro
 

gman2

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vyrus:

mac hoops have been tricky this year so this one can certainly go either way. and although i feel that there are a lot of logical reasons to back ball state, the fact remains that bg is a spread-covering machine so far this season. so i can certainly see the reasons for those taking bowling green too. but just think this road game trips them up. we'll see. like i said, i feel like im seeing the horizon better than the mac right now so bg might win this outright from wire to wire. we'll have our answer at 9pm here, 6 pm by you, lol. good luck.
 

vyrus858

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lol agreed bro, thats why its called gambling...sometimes a loss is more of a bridge to a win, if you know whati mean...gl bro
 

gman2

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thank god i didnt lay off. would have been banging my head against the wall. if ball state played as well on the road as they do at home, theyd win the mac west. real jekyl and hyde team.
 

xusnhtus

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whew ty gman, i was started to doubt my bet on Ball st. until i saw your thread, ty Gman

:clap: :clap: :clap:
 

AceManti1

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damn g man poster earlier, jk.


i wish iwould have seen you on them i thought u might be on bg, i blew 440 on bg tonite.
 

spang

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I was not around here to see this , but I also finally got some cash out of BG this season. Nice job!
 
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