TUESDAY NBA PLAYS!!!

HUDSON

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Two dogs today so far....

Plays rated 1*-5*


3* PACERS +7
3* T'WOLVES +3





GL!! Hud
 
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joeyd

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hey good luck,taking a shot on the wizards at +320..no reasoning just a feeling:confused:
 

shamrock

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Hudson, like that Indiana play (like the line movement on that one).
Did you know Jefferson is out for Minnesota? He has been a beast last month.
 

HUDSON

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Guys...may be upgrading T'wolves. Watching a couple things.....Will post 10-15 min before gametime if any upgrade.
 

HUDSON

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Hudson, like that Indiana play (like the line movement on that one).
Did you know Jefferson is out for Minnesota? He has been a beast last month.

Sham...Yes I know Jefferson is out. It's all good...Minny will play hard at home tonight. Raptors have been a disappointment this season.
 

HUDSON

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Ok...upgrading Minny to a 3* play!!


Riq...not much of a ML player. I usuallly stick with the spreads unless I'm parlaying favorites. Just never had the luck with ML dogs in the past. Minny looks good tonight though! Hope we get it!!
 

Padre

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Hudson its funny that you say that, back in college i wrote a program that i tried to use in my stats class about that very thing,

NBA sides and moneylines, , the subject matter, or hypothesis, was if the moneyline was favorable with dogs or even favorites and how often it made a difference. The conclusion of said assignment was that it didnt matter, statistically speaking, reason. the lines were seperated by too much juice. the only way that it became profitable was when i lowered the juice on the lines, otherwise it was in the books favor. no surprise right.
 

HUDSON

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Hudson its funny that you say that, back in college i wrote a program that i tried to use in my stats class about that very thing,

NBA sides and moneylines, , the subject matter, or hypothesis, was if the moneyline was favorable with dogs or even favorites and how often it made a difference. The conclusion of said assignment was that it didnt matter, statistically speaking, reason. the lines were seperated by too much juice. the only way that it became profitable was when i lowered the juice on the lines, otherwise it was in the books favor. no surprise right.

Interesting.....I do see value in taking ML favorites parlaying 2-3 teams. When you get crazy doing 7-8 teamers that's when the value goes down IMO. 2-3 solid favorites I believe is reasonable to find on a given card. I'm talking basketball...baseball is a different story.
 
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