05:05 PM MLB [952] Los Angeles Dodgers -235 ( J Ross - R / C Kershaw - L )
08:35 PM MLB [953] TOTAL o7.5 -120 (Chicago Cubs vrs San Francisco Giants) (Lackey/Moore)
04:00 PM SOC [225226] TOTAL u2.5 -102 (Ecuador vrs Bolivia) WC QUALIFIERS - SOUTHAMERICA
04:30 PM SOC [225230] Colombia +123 WC QUALIFIERS - SOUTHAMERICA soccer
07:30 PM SOC [225234] Argentina -1.5 -125 WC QUALIFIERS - SOUTHAMERICA soccer
08:35 PM NBA [705] Oklahoma City Thunder +3-110
10:35 PM NBA [707] TOTAL o209.5 -110 (Portland Trail Blazers vrs Los Angeles Lakers)
08:00 PM NBA [608] Minnesota Lynx -5-150 (B+2)
1 unit bet pays 125 ....betdsi line
MLB parlays: 17-170, -34.12 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9....after long dry spell, hit four teamer on July 4th.....and another long dry spell, hit five teamer on July 23rd....yet another long dry spell, hit four teamer on Aug 17...hit nice daytime five teamer on Aug 18....won small daytime three teamer on Aug 24.....won daytime and evening parlays on Sept 7...and this 5 teamer, due to rain-shortened game became a 4 teamer on Sept 29.
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
:0074 Goooooood Luck ALLLL!!!!
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
NLDS Game 4
SAN FRANCISCO +113 over Chicago
Matt Moore has 33 K?s over his last 31 frames. His swing and miss rate in his last start was 16%. Moore has been a high risk/high reward starter all year because he has wicked stuff but he struggles with his control. We?ll gamble more on starters in the playoffs because most managers don?t let them get whacked. If Moore is not throwing strikes, Bruce Bochy will get him the hell out of there in this win or go home game. The playoffs are much more than just starters.
Conor Gillaspie once again played the unlikely hero by beating one of the National League?s top relievers for the second time in a week and the Giants stayed alive after beating the Cubs 6-5 in 13 innings last night. We should discuss the bullpens here, as both teams used up some bullets during last night?s long slog. Starting with the Giants, Sergio Romo threw two innings and 32 pitches, gave up the critical game-tying dinger in the ninth, and seems to get used sparingly in back-to-back situations. We wouldn?t be surprised if he, Ty Blach, and Derek Law all are either out of the picture or are in line for minimal use tonight. That leaves the Giants with Santiago Casilla, Will Smith (who also pitched last night), and maybe Jeff Samardzija as the big weapons left in the bullpen with Madison Bumgarner spent and Johnny Cueto on tap for Tuesday. Meanwhile, the Cubs almost certainly won?t go back to Mike Montgomery after four innings of relief, but other than he and Aroldis Chapman, the team?s other relievers didn?t make it to double-digit pitches, and may be just fine for tonight.
On the position-player side, we?ll keep assuming that Eduardo Nunez isn?t at 100 percent and that Jorge Soler is available again, but may still be slightly compromised. The way that Cubs pitchers have been hitting, now both Travis Wood and Jake Arrieta have homers this series?perhaps using a couple of arms as bats wouldn?t be the worst idea in the world. All systems are (mostly) go.
If there is one thing that we learned over the course of the 2016 season, it is that the Cubs were far and away the best team in baseball. If there is one thing that we learned over the course of the last seven years, it is that we should never, ever?under any circumstances?count out the San Francisco Giants in the playoffs. Bumgarner may not be around for Game 4, but there?s the history of Cody Ross, Marco Scutaro, Travis Ishikawa, and now Conor Gillaspie.
John Lackey hasn't pitched since Sept. 27. However, this was his best year since 2007 and he did it at age 37. Before you bank on Lackey finishing off the Giants, there are three reasons for caution: 1) Skills this year no better than last two years; 2) His 80% inflated strand rate says he wiggled out of lots of jams, which was the main reason for is 3.35 ERA. 3) Even with now-elite first-pitch strike rate, his 10% swing and miss rate is at his max, so command likely has peaked. There are 29 other clubs that would love to have John Lackey. He?s fiery, he hates losing, he has good skills and he throws strikes. Thing is, the Giants are actually a pretty good offensive team overall. The Cubs may lead on paper?even in San Francisco?but it?s not over yet. In a 50/50 proposition and taking back a price, we?ll gladly take the resilient host.
Cubs vs. Giants
Pick: Over 7.5
Facing elimination, the San Francisco Giants took advantage of Conor Gillaspie?s two-run triple in the eighth inning forcing the game to extra innings where the Giants won on Joe Panik?s RBI double in the 13th. Brandon Crawford had doubled before Panik and scored the game-winning run on Panik?s hit. Now, the Giants need another miracle to force a deciding Game 5.
Left-hander Matt Moore will start for the Giants and takes the hill with plenty of momentum. In his last two starts of the regular season, Moore gave up just two runs and struck out 17 while walking just two hitters. Moore?s season record of 13-12 and his 4.08 ERA are not jaw-dropping, but he is pitching well at the right time.
For Chicago, it will be John Lackey who was one cog in MLB?s best pitching rotation. The tall right-hander went 11-8 during the regular season with a 3.35 ERA. The 37-year-old Lackey struck out 180 batters on the season. He struck out four and gave up just one hit and one earned run in five innings of work on Sept. 4 in a 3-2 win over the Giants. The Cubs had 10 hits that day with 1B Anthony Rizzo and Jason Heyward going 3-for-6 and SS Addison Russell 3-for-5. Thus far in the series, Rizzo doesn?t have a hit and Russell and Heyward have just one.
Kris Bryant leads the Cubs batting .417 with two doubles and a home run. The Giants will rely on the bats of Panik (.400, 2 doubles) and catcher Buster Posey (.313) who is 5-for-16. If the Giants can pull off another dramatic victory, Game 5 would be played on Thursday night back in Chicago?s Wrigley Stadium.
Los Angeles Kings Over 98.5 Points -110
The Los Angeles Kings returned to the postseason before a quick first round exit at the hands of division rival San Jose. With 102 points (one of three Best Bet winners), the Kings nearly won the Pacific Division over Anaheim. But while they dominated during the first half of the campaign (25-11-2), their lack of depth on defense and inconsistent offensive productions proved to be a key weaknesses late in the year and in the playoffs. All-Star Drew Doughty (14 goals, 51 points) logged heavy minutes every night and led the league in shifts per game with 33.3 and ranked third in average time on ice with 28:01. Along with Jake Muzzin (8 goals, 40 points), LA's blue-line corps isn't much to write about. Thankfully, things are still sharp in net with Jonathan Quick (40-23-5, 2.22 GAA; .918 w/5 SO in 68 GP) carrying the bulk of the starts. At age 30, the two-time Vezina finalist has played in a lot of games over the last several seasons, but shows no signs of slowing down. His battery mate for this season is Jeff Zatkoff, who looked sturdy in two seasons of relief with Pittsburgh, but was made expendable with the emergence of Matt Murray.
The key members up front still remain the same. Led by Selke Trophy winner Anze Kopitar (25 goals, 74 points) and veteran Jeff Carter (24 goals, 62 points) who will most likely be re-paired with Tyler Toffoli (31 goals, 58 points) and Tanner Pearson (15 goals, 36 points) again. The loss of physical winger Milan Lucic to division foe Edmonton leaves a bit of hole for a team that loves to bang bodies along the boards; the Kings lead the league in hits per game last year with 30.3 and have been #1 or #2 in that category in each of the last five seasons. The additions of Teddy Purcell (14 goals, 43 points), Michael Latta (17 points and 163 hits the last three seasons with Washington) and Tom Gilbert (14 points, 84 hits the last two season with Montreal) should address these issues, along with camp invites to Brett Sutter (son of head coach Darryl) and Paul Bissonette; two grinders that have enough talent and experience to make the 23-man roster.
Overall, this club still has enough talent and one of the best coaching staffs in the league in head coach Darryl Sutter, penalty kill tactician John Stevens and former St. Louis coach Davis Payne spearheading the power play. The Kings haven't won three cups in the last five years due to fluky play. This is a strong, balanced organization that prides itself on being a perennial Stanley Cup contender and 2016-17 should be no exception. I like Los Angeles to go over 98.5 points and to win the Pacific Division at +225. With the changes in Anaheim, the potential for a letdown in San Jose, and rebuilds in progress for the bottom of the division, the Kings are sitting on another potential triple digit season.
Washington vs. Los Angeles
Pick: Los Angeles -1.5 -109
There is no urgency on Washington to win, up 2-1, so they go with 23-year-old Joe Ross. Ross had his innings carefully monitored down the stretch after returning from injury and worked a total of 9+ innings over his last three starts. He allowed more hits than innings pitched this season and on the road, allowed 19 walks, 73 base runners in 57 innings. Will the team close it out tonight? The Washington franchise has not won a playoff series since it was the Montreal Expos in 1981, so this group is not used to winning playoff series. The Dodgers are on a 44-17 run at home and go with ace Clayton Kershaw (12-4, 1.69 ERA). He only threw 82 pitches in his last start, allowing two runs in seven innings. The Dodgers are 35-16 at home against a right-handed starter, plus 59-21 overall when Kershaw starts. L.A. has won 8 of the last 11 against Washington and the Nationals are 15-37 in this park.
08:35 PM MLB [953] TOTAL o7.5 -120 (Chicago Cubs vrs San Francisco Giants) (Lackey/Moore)
04:00 PM SOC [225226] TOTAL u2.5 -102 (Ecuador vrs Bolivia) WC QUALIFIERS - SOUTHAMERICA
04:30 PM SOC [225230] Colombia +123 WC QUALIFIERS - SOUTHAMERICA soccer
07:30 PM SOC [225234] Argentina -1.5 -125 WC QUALIFIERS - SOUTHAMERICA soccer
08:35 PM NBA [705] Oklahoma City Thunder +3-110
10:35 PM NBA [707] TOTAL o209.5 -110 (Portland Trail Blazers vrs Los Angeles Lakers)
08:00 PM NBA [608] Minnesota Lynx -5-150 (B+2)
1 unit bet pays 125 ....betdsi line
MLB parlays: 17-170, -34.12 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9....after long dry spell, hit four teamer on July 4th.....and another long dry spell, hit five teamer on July 23rd....yet another long dry spell, hit four teamer on Aug 17...hit nice daytime five teamer on Aug 18....won small daytime three teamer on Aug 24.....won daytime and evening parlays on Sept 7...and this 5 teamer, due to rain-shortened game became a 4 teamer on Sept 29.
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
NLDS Game 4
SAN FRANCISCO +113 over Chicago
Matt Moore has 33 K?s over his last 31 frames. His swing and miss rate in his last start was 16%. Moore has been a high risk/high reward starter all year because he has wicked stuff but he struggles with his control. We?ll gamble more on starters in the playoffs because most managers don?t let them get whacked. If Moore is not throwing strikes, Bruce Bochy will get him the hell out of there in this win or go home game. The playoffs are much more than just starters.
Conor Gillaspie once again played the unlikely hero by beating one of the National League?s top relievers for the second time in a week and the Giants stayed alive after beating the Cubs 6-5 in 13 innings last night. We should discuss the bullpens here, as both teams used up some bullets during last night?s long slog. Starting with the Giants, Sergio Romo threw two innings and 32 pitches, gave up the critical game-tying dinger in the ninth, and seems to get used sparingly in back-to-back situations. We wouldn?t be surprised if he, Ty Blach, and Derek Law all are either out of the picture or are in line for minimal use tonight. That leaves the Giants with Santiago Casilla, Will Smith (who also pitched last night), and maybe Jeff Samardzija as the big weapons left in the bullpen with Madison Bumgarner spent and Johnny Cueto on tap for Tuesday. Meanwhile, the Cubs almost certainly won?t go back to Mike Montgomery after four innings of relief, but other than he and Aroldis Chapman, the team?s other relievers didn?t make it to double-digit pitches, and may be just fine for tonight.
On the position-player side, we?ll keep assuming that Eduardo Nunez isn?t at 100 percent and that Jorge Soler is available again, but may still be slightly compromised. The way that Cubs pitchers have been hitting, now both Travis Wood and Jake Arrieta have homers this series?perhaps using a couple of arms as bats wouldn?t be the worst idea in the world. All systems are (mostly) go.
If there is one thing that we learned over the course of the 2016 season, it is that the Cubs were far and away the best team in baseball. If there is one thing that we learned over the course of the last seven years, it is that we should never, ever?under any circumstances?count out the San Francisco Giants in the playoffs. Bumgarner may not be around for Game 4, but there?s the history of Cody Ross, Marco Scutaro, Travis Ishikawa, and now Conor Gillaspie.
John Lackey hasn't pitched since Sept. 27. However, this was his best year since 2007 and he did it at age 37. Before you bank on Lackey finishing off the Giants, there are three reasons for caution: 1) Skills this year no better than last two years; 2) His 80% inflated strand rate says he wiggled out of lots of jams, which was the main reason for is 3.35 ERA. 3) Even with now-elite first-pitch strike rate, his 10% swing and miss rate is at his max, so command likely has peaked. There are 29 other clubs that would love to have John Lackey. He?s fiery, he hates losing, he has good skills and he throws strikes. Thing is, the Giants are actually a pretty good offensive team overall. The Cubs may lead on paper?even in San Francisco?but it?s not over yet. In a 50/50 proposition and taking back a price, we?ll gladly take the resilient host.
Cubs vs. Giants
Pick: Over 7.5
Facing elimination, the San Francisco Giants took advantage of Conor Gillaspie?s two-run triple in the eighth inning forcing the game to extra innings where the Giants won on Joe Panik?s RBI double in the 13th. Brandon Crawford had doubled before Panik and scored the game-winning run on Panik?s hit. Now, the Giants need another miracle to force a deciding Game 5.
Left-hander Matt Moore will start for the Giants and takes the hill with plenty of momentum. In his last two starts of the regular season, Moore gave up just two runs and struck out 17 while walking just two hitters. Moore?s season record of 13-12 and his 4.08 ERA are not jaw-dropping, but he is pitching well at the right time.
For Chicago, it will be John Lackey who was one cog in MLB?s best pitching rotation. The tall right-hander went 11-8 during the regular season with a 3.35 ERA. The 37-year-old Lackey struck out 180 batters on the season. He struck out four and gave up just one hit and one earned run in five innings of work on Sept. 4 in a 3-2 win over the Giants. The Cubs had 10 hits that day with 1B Anthony Rizzo and Jason Heyward going 3-for-6 and SS Addison Russell 3-for-5. Thus far in the series, Rizzo doesn?t have a hit and Russell and Heyward have just one.
Kris Bryant leads the Cubs batting .417 with two doubles and a home run. The Giants will rely on the bats of Panik (.400, 2 doubles) and catcher Buster Posey (.313) who is 5-for-16. If the Giants can pull off another dramatic victory, Game 5 would be played on Thursday night back in Chicago?s Wrigley Stadium.
Los Angeles Kings Over 98.5 Points -110
The Los Angeles Kings returned to the postseason before a quick first round exit at the hands of division rival San Jose. With 102 points (one of three Best Bet winners), the Kings nearly won the Pacific Division over Anaheim. But while they dominated during the first half of the campaign (25-11-2), their lack of depth on defense and inconsistent offensive productions proved to be a key weaknesses late in the year and in the playoffs. All-Star Drew Doughty (14 goals, 51 points) logged heavy minutes every night and led the league in shifts per game with 33.3 and ranked third in average time on ice with 28:01. Along with Jake Muzzin (8 goals, 40 points), LA's blue-line corps isn't much to write about. Thankfully, things are still sharp in net with Jonathan Quick (40-23-5, 2.22 GAA; .918 w/5 SO in 68 GP) carrying the bulk of the starts. At age 30, the two-time Vezina finalist has played in a lot of games over the last several seasons, but shows no signs of slowing down. His battery mate for this season is Jeff Zatkoff, who looked sturdy in two seasons of relief with Pittsburgh, but was made expendable with the emergence of Matt Murray.
The key members up front still remain the same. Led by Selke Trophy winner Anze Kopitar (25 goals, 74 points) and veteran Jeff Carter (24 goals, 62 points) who will most likely be re-paired with Tyler Toffoli (31 goals, 58 points) and Tanner Pearson (15 goals, 36 points) again. The loss of physical winger Milan Lucic to division foe Edmonton leaves a bit of hole for a team that loves to bang bodies along the boards; the Kings lead the league in hits per game last year with 30.3 and have been #1 or #2 in that category in each of the last five seasons. The additions of Teddy Purcell (14 goals, 43 points), Michael Latta (17 points and 163 hits the last three seasons with Washington) and Tom Gilbert (14 points, 84 hits the last two season with Montreal) should address these issues, along with camp invites to Brett Sutter (son of head coach Darryl) and Paul Bissonette; two grinders that have enough talent and experience to make the 23-man roster.
Overall, this club still has enough talent and one of the best coaching staffs in the league in head coach Darryl Sutter, penalty kill tactician John Stevens and former St. Louis coach Davis Payne spearheading the power play. The Kings haven't won three cups in the last five years due to fluky play. This is a strong, balanced organization that prides itself on being a perennial Stanley Cup contender and 2016-17 should be no exception. I like Los Angeles to go over 98.5 points and to win the Pacific Division at +225. With the changes in Anaheim, the potential for a letdown in San Jose, and rebuilds in progress for the bottom of the division, the Kings are sitting on another potential triple digit season.
Washington vs. Los Angeles
Pick: Los Angeles -1.5 -109
There is no urgency on Washington to win, up 2-1, so they go with 23-year-old Joe Ross. Ross had his innings carefully monitored down the stretch after returning from injury and worked a total of 9+ innings over his last three starts. He allowed more hits than innings pitched this season and on the road, allowed 19 walks, 73 base runners in 57 innings. Will the team close it out tonight? The Washington franchise has not won a playoff series since it was the Montreal Expos in 1981, so this group is not used to winning playoff series. The Dodgers are on a 44-17 run at home and go with ace Clayton Kershaw (12-4, 1.69 ERA). He only threw 82 pitches in his last start, allowing two runs in seven innings. The Dodgers are 35-16 at home against a right-handed starter, plus 59-21 overall when Kershaw starts. L.A. has won 8 of the last 11 against Washington and the Nationals are 15-37 in this park.
