Tuesday Tips

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Tuesday Tips

Winding down the month of August, plenty of teams are playing for postseason positioning, while others are trying to play out the string. A handful of matchups on the Tuesday card provide solid pitching duels, including a key showdown in the Bronx.

Rangers at Yankees (7:05 PM EST)

The Rangers avoided a sweep on Sunday by shutting out Tampa Bay, 4-0. Texas heads north for a crucial series with the Yankees, as the Rangers sit one game behind the Red Sox inside the AL Wild Card race entering Monday's action. New York helped out Texas' cause by taking two of three from Boston this past weekend at Fenway Park.

Joba Chamberlain (8-3, 3.98 ERA) is coming off three unimpressive starts, allowing 12 earned runs in his last 16 innings of work. Chamberlain was knocked around by the Mariners his last time out, tossing only five innings in a 10-3 loss. The Bombers are 11-2 in Chamberlain's 13 home starts, while hitting the 'over' nine times at Yankee Stadium. Chamberlain was on the losing side of a 7-3 setback in Arlington three months ago, allowing four hits and three earned runs in four innings of work.





Kevin Millwood (9-8, 3.48 ERA) beat Chamberlain and the Yankees on May 25, lasting 5.2 innings, while giving up nine hits and three earned runs. The Rangers righty hasn't won in his last four starts, coming off consecutive home defeats to the Twins and Red Sox. The Boston meltdown had little to do with Millwood's performance, as the Rangers' bullpen gave up a ninth-inning lead in an 8-4 loss. The 'under' has been drilled in eight of Millwood's eleven road outings this season, while the Rangers are just 3-8 in his away starts.

The Yankees have taken four of six meetings with the Rangers this season, but Tuesday's posted total of 9 ? is the lowest seen in their seven matchups.

Sportsbook.com has opened the Yanks up as a $1.85 home favorite.

Astros at Cardinals (8:15 PM EST)

Two of the more unheralded pitchers in the National League take the mound in St. Louis, as the Astros and Cardinals begin a three-game set. The Redbirds return home following a 5-2 road trip at Los Angeles and San Diego. Houston had its four-game winning streak snapped on Sunday to Arizona, 7-5. That game finished 'over' the posted total of 8 ?, which ended a five-game 'under' streak for the Astros.

Adam Wainwright (14-7, 2.61 ERA) has owned the Astros in his career, with St. Louis taking seven of the last eight meetings when the righty has taken the mound. The only smudge to that record was a 2-0 loss to Houston earlier this month, despite pitching seven strong innings. Interestingly, Wainwright possesses a losing record at Busch Stadium this season (5-6), even though his home ERA is 2.02. Wainwright has tossed 11 consecutive quality starts, and if it wasn't for teammate Chris Carpenter, Wainwright would be an ace on plenty of other staffs around the league.

Wandy Rodriguez (12-7, 2.89 ERA) is coming off a dynamic start against the Marlins, a 4-1 victory. Rodriguez outdueled Florida ace Josh Johnson, allowing four hits and one run in eight innings of work. In Rodriguez's last three starts at Busch Stadium, the Astros have tallied a grand total of two runs, all Houston losses. However, the Astros lefty exited his last outing at St. Louis after four innings with a hamstring strain.

These two teams have been great 'under' plays when they get together. The 'under' has hit in seven of nine meetings this season, including all three in Houston in early August.

The Cardinals are a $1.70 home 'chalk,' while the total is set at 7 (Bet $1.20 to win $1.00 on the 'over') at Sportsbook.com.

Dodgers at Rockies (8:40 PM EST)

The National League West race isn't done just yet. Los Angeles, despite taking three of four from Chicago over the weekend, sits 3 games ahead of Wild Card-leading Colorado in the division, after the Rockies rallied past the Giants last night, 6-4.

The Rockies will not have the fortune of sending out its top two pitchers against the Dodgers, as Ubaldo Jimenez took the mound Sunday and Jason Marquis went Monday against San Francisco. Jason Hammel (8-8, 4.60) has turned into a quality pickup by the Rockies. Hammel may not be a top-of-the-rotation type of pitcher, but he is capable of providing six or seven innings in any given start. The righty has struggled at Coors Field, going 2-3, with an ERA of 7.02, but Colorado is 7-3 in Hammel's ten home starts. Hammel lost a tough 1-0 decision to the Dodgers back on July 1, allowing only five hits and one run in eight innings.

Clayton Kershaw (8-7, 2.96 ERA) has run into a string of bad luck over the month, as the Dodgers are 0-6 in the lefty's last six starts. The southpaw has lasted five innings or less in three of his last four trips to the hill, including a 3-2 defeat to the Cardinals last Wednesday. Kershaw tossed five scoreless innings against the Rockies in that July 1 win over Hammel, but received a no-decision.

Sportsbook.com has listed the Dodgers as a $1.25 road favorite, with the total set at 9 (Bet $1.15 to win $1.00 on the 'over').
 

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TOTALS REPORT

TOTALS REPORT

TOTALS REPORT
Team Total Home Away Streak
Arizona Diamondbacks 60 - 60 36 - 26 24 - 34 Over-1
Atlanta Braves 54 - 66 24 - 35 30 - 31 Over-1
Baltimore Orioles 59 - 60 27 - 32 32 - 28 Under-3
Boston Red Sox 53 - 61 26 - 28 27 - 33 Over-4
Chicago Cubs 52 - 65 27 - 30 25 - 35 Under-3
Chicago White Sox 49 - 74 23 - 44 26 - 30 Under-5
Cincinnati Reds 47 - 68 25 - 31 22 - 37 Under-1
Cleveland Indians 63 - 56 24 - 38 39 - 18 Under-2
Colorado Rockies 57 - 61 30 - 24 27 - 37 Under-1
Detroit Tigers 50 - 69 27 - 31 23 - 38 Over-1
Florida Marlins 63 - 55 37 - 22 26 - 33 Over-1
Houston Astros 54 - 63 25 - 35 29 - 28 Over-1
Kansas City Royals 55 - 60 35 - 25 20 - 35 Over-2
Los Angeles Angels 71 - 45 34 - 21 37 - 24 Over-2
Los Angeles Dodgers 59 - 60 29 - 32 30 - 28 Under-3
Milwaukee Brewers 65 - 53 30 - 27 35 - 26 Over-3
Minnesota Twins 59 - 57 34 - 22 25 - 35 Over-2
New York Mets 57 - 61 30 - 33 27 - 28 Over-1
New York Yankees 60 - 57 27 - 28 33 - 29 Over-3
Oakland Athletics 61 - 61 30 - 33 31 - 28 Over-1
Philadelphia Phillies 54 - 61 27 - 31 27 - 30 Over-1
Pittsburgh Pirates 51 - 65 24 - 34 27 - 31 Under-1
San Diego Padres 63 - 60 29 - 35 34 - 25 Under-1
San Francisco Giants 53 - 63 26 - 29 27 - 34 Under-1
Seattle Mariners 52 - 70 27 - 31 25 - 39 Under-2
St. Louis Cardinals 52 - 64 21 - 36 31 - 28 Under-1
Tampa Bay Rays 53 - 65 28 - 31 25 - 34 Under-1
Texas Rangers 42 - 75 22 - 39 20 - 36 Under-1
Toronto Blue Jays 58 - 60 29 - 30 29 - 30 Over-2
Washington Nationals 60 - 59 30 - 34 30 - 25 Over-3
 

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MLB UMPIRE REPORT

MLB UMPIRE REPORT

MLB UMPIRE REPORT
UMPIRE AVG RUNS GAMES UNDER OVER K/GAME BB/GAME K/BB
ADRIAN JOHNSON 9.93 27 9 14 12.8 7.6 1.7
ALFONSO MARQUEZ 10.00 2 1 1 14.5 7.5 1.9
ANDY FLETCHER 7.50 28 18 7 14.4 7.3 2.0
ANGEL CAMPOS 9.29 21 9 10 14.5 6.3 2.3
ANGEL HERNANDEZ 9.00 27 13 13 13.2 7.1 1.9
BILL HOHN 8.55 22 11 10 13.0 6.1 2.1
BILL MILLER 9.63 27 16 9 14.8 6.1 2.4
BILL WELKE 10.38 24 10 12 14.2 6.0 2.4
BOB DAVIDSON 9.46 24 10 13 13.9 6.5 2.1
BRIAN GORMAN 8.35 26 15 8 13.5 6.3 2.1
BRIAN KNIGHT 9.68 28 14 13 13.3 7.3 1.8
BRIAN O'NORA 8.04 27 15 11 14.1 5.7 2.5
BRIAN RUNGE 7.90 20 14 4 14.3 5.8 2.5
BRUCE DRECKMAN 9.94 17 6 9 11.6 7.2 1.6
BUCKNOR 9.78 27 12 15 14.0 7.5 1.9
CASEY MOSER 4.00 4 4 0 14.8 6.0 2.5
CHAD FAIRCHILD 8.27 26 16 10 14.3 6.4 2.2
CHARLIE RELIFORD 7.82 22 13 7 13.8 5.2 2.6
CHRIS GUCCIONE 8.67 27 15 10 14.8 6.9 2.1
CHRIS TILLER 6.00 2 2 0 11.0 7.0 1.6
CHUCK MERIWETHER 10.08 26 12 14 13.8 6.2 2.2
DALE SCOTT 9.30 27 11 15 13.0 6.2 2.1
DAMIEN BEAL 10.25 4 2 2 14.5 6.3 2.3
DAN BELLINO 5.75 4 3 1 16.0 4.0 4.0
DAN IASSOGNA 11.04 26 10 16 13.3 7.5 1.8
DANA DEMUTH 9.72 25 13 11 13.4 6.6 2.0
DELFIN COLON 10.00 5 2 2 12.0 5.4 2.2
DERRYL COUSINS 8.35 26 15 10 12.9 7.8 1.7
DOUG EDDINGS 9.00 27 14 13 14.0 6.0 2.3
ED HICKOX 14.33 3 2 1 10.7 10.0 1.1
ED MONTAGUE 11.80 5 1 4 14.4 6.8 2.1
ED RAPUANO 9.15 27 13 12 13.2 6.9 1.9
ERIC COOPER 10.04 26 11 15 14.2 6.3 2.3
FIELDIN CULBRETH 8.75 24 13 10 13.2 7.3 1.8
GARY CEDERSTROM 9.27 22 12 10 13.9 6.8 2.0
GARY DARLING 8.33 21 12 8 14.4 5.9 2.5
GERRY DAVIS 10.26 27 11 13 13.1 7.5 1.7
GREG GIBSON 10.63 19 7 12 12.1 6.3 1.9
HUNTER WENDELSTEDT 9.85 27 14 13 13.6 7.2 1.9
JAMES HOYE 8.84 31 19 10 12.6 6.6 1.9
JEFF KELLOGG 7.85 26 17 8 13.0 7.8 1.7
JEFF NELSON 10.76 25 8 16 13.3 7.6 1.7
JERRY CRAWFORD 10.75 20 9 10 14.8 8.2 1.8
JERRY LAYNE 8.23 26 14 11 14.2 6.8 2.1
JERRY MEALS 9.62 26 10 15 13.9 6.3 2.2
JIM JOYCE 9.12 25 16 9 13.6 8.2 1.7
JIM REYNOLDS 9.81 21 7 14 14.7 6.9 2.1
JIM WOLF 10.62 26 9 16 12.7 7.0 1.8
JOE WEST 9.93 27 12 13 14.1 7.4 1.9
JOHN HIRSCHBECK 8.17 23 17 6 14.0 6.5 2.2
KERWIN DANLEY 8.50 4 2 2 13.5 6.5 2.1
KEVIN CAUSEY 5.00 4 3 0 14.0 6.5 2.2
LANCE BARKSDALE 9.59 27 13 13 12.5 7.5 1.7
LARRY VANOVER 8.39 28 15 12 13.6 6.3 2.2
LAZ DIAZ 9.76 25 10 14 13.4 6.1 2.2
MARK CARLSON 8.68 25 15 10 15.0 7.0 2.1
MARK WEGNER 9.69 26 13 13 14.5 7.2 2.0
MARTY FOSTER 9.08 26 13 10 13.8 7.2 1.9
MARVIN HUDSON 8.07 27 12 14 15.2 7.4 2.1
MIKE DIMURO 9.00 26 13 12 14.3 6.8 2.1
MIKE ESTABROOK 9.69 16 7 8 13.7 5.5 2.5
MIKE EVERITT 10.52 27 10 16 14.0 7.6 1.9
MIKE MUCHLINSKI 11.86 7 3 2 15.3 7.4 2.1
MIKE REILLY 9.69 26 12 14 15.5 7.8 2.0
MIKE WINTERS 9.67 24 11 13 12.6 6.5 2.0
PAUL EMMEL 9.00 24 14 9 14.3 6.8 2.1
PAUL NAUERT 9.27 26 12 13 14.7 6.3 2.3
PAUL SCHRIEBER 9.77 26 11 11 13.9 7.8 1.8
PHIL CUZZI 8.75 28 17 10 14.4 6.5 2.2
RANDY MARSH 10.13 24 9 14 11.8 7.8 1.5
REYBURN 7.14 7 5 2 12.1 4.1 2.9
RICK REED 8.00 1 0 0 15.0 7.0 2.1
ROB DRAKE 9.11 28 13 15 15.7 5.9 2.7
RON KULPA 8.50 16 10 4 14.8 6.5 2.3
SAM HOLBROOK 8.60 25 14 11 14.7 7.1 2.1
SCOTT BARRY 8.45 29 17 12 12.0 7.2 1.7
TED BARRETT 8.08 25 17 7 12.6 6.3 2.0
TIM MCCLELLAND 11.75 28 7 16 13.5 8.1 1.7
TIM TIMMONS 10.31 26 12 12 13.7 7.5 1.8
TIM TSCHIDA 11.20 25 10 14 13.5 8.4 1.6
TIM WELKE 11.30 23 9 13 13.7 7.3 1.9
TODD TICHENOR 8.77 26 16 10 13.7 7.6 1.8
TOM HALLION 8.63 27 13 13 13.0 6.1 2.1
TONY RANDAZZO 9.04 26 12 13 12.7 5.8 2.2
WALLY BELL 8.83 29 16 12 14.3 7.0 2.0
 

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Helpful notes for all of Tuesday's betting action

Helpful notes for all of Tuesday's betting action

Helpful notes for all of Tuesday's betting action
Sans Santana

Mets ace Johan Santana was scratched from Tuesday's start at Florida due to a sore elbow. He will be examined by team physician Dr. David Altchek and replaced on the mound by Nelson Figueroa. When Santana pitched at Florida in April, the Mets were a -125 favorite. With Figueroa on the mound, they are -107 and moving toward becoming an underdog.

The list of injured players for the Mets makes a pretty good team that is only missing a catcher. Currently, Santana, one-time closer J.J. Putz, outfielders Carlos Beltran, Jeff Francoeur and Fernando Martinez, first baseman Carlos Delgado, second baseman Ramon Martinez, shortstop Jose Reyes and third baseman David Wright all are unable to play.

Nice opening for new closer

Carlos Marmol, who became closer for the Chicago Cubs after Kevin Gregg tore the heart out of Cubs fans with three blown saves and a loss in a 17-day span in August, finally got a chance to seal a game Sunday and pitched a 1-2-3 ninth against the Dodgers, striking out Manny Ramirez to end the game. Marmol throws as hard as anyone in the game but has control problems; in 58 1-3 innings, he has allowed just 32 hits and struck out 69 but has issued 52 walks. The Cubs are back home Tuesday and a -240 favorite vs. Washington.
 

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Windy cities watch

Windy cities watch

Windy cities watch



The wind is blowing out directly to center field at 11 mph as of Tuesday morning at Wrigley Field. As usual, oddsmakers will wait to post a total for Cubs? evening affair against the Nats. Chicago is favored at -240.



The wind is also blowing out to left field at Kansas City for the Royals? game against the Indians at 12 mph. The total is set at 8 runs with Zack Greinke starting for KC but umpire Adrian Johnson has a tight strike zone (61 percent) and should keep the pitchers honest.



Miami is one of nine places in the majors that averages double digits in runs per game. It?s no surprise that the over is 36-22-4 there this year. However, the wind is blowing directly into home plate from center field at 12 mph today. The total is set at 9.5 for the Marlins? meeting with the Mets.
 

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Getting the Joba done?

Getting the Joba done?

Getting the Joba done?

The Yankees constantly monitor the innings pitched by Joba Chamberlain, who is a -173 favorite vs. Texas. But based on recent outings, you have to wonder whether Chamberlain is wearing down. Since allowing just one run and five hits in 15 innings over consecutive starts vs. Oakland and Tampa Bay on July 24 and 29, Chamberlain has pitched just 16 innings in three starts and allowed 18 hits, 12 walks and 12 runs. In his last start, he threw 90 pitches, the first time in six starts he has been under 100.
 

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Tuesday?s streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Tuesday?s streaking and slumping starting pitchers

Tuesday?s streaking and slumping starting pitchers


Streaking

Joe Blanton (8-6, 3.86 ERA), Philadelphia Phillies

This righty gets forgotten sometimes on Philly?s southpaw-dominated rotation. But sharp bettors know the good work the hefty hurler is providing.

Blanton has delivered a quality start in nine of his last 10 outings, dropping his once-bloated ERA under 4.00.

The under is 7-2-1 in his last 10 outings and the Phils are 6-2 in his last eight starts.

?He?s a bulldog who comes right after you,? Phillies manager Charlie Manuel told reporters following his last start.

Slumping

Jarrod Washburn (8-7, 3.18), Detroit Tigers

The move to acquire this lefty hasn?t worked out as well has the Tigers had hoped. The former Mariner had 2.48 ERA at Seattle?s home park this year, but he?s not finding the confines as friendly in Detroit.

Washburn has allowed 17 earned runs in just four starts for the Tigers ? all of which were at Comerica Park.

?It hasn?t gone the way I wanted so far,? Washburn said of his Tiger career following his latest poor showing.

He got the early hook in his last start after giving up six runs and four dingers against his former team. Washburn is 0-1 with a 6.04 ERA in a Detroit uniform.

Returning

Carlos Zambrano (7-4, 3.35), Chicago Cubs

This fiery righty makes his return from the disabled list tomorrow against the Nationals. A sore back has kept Zambrano out of the Cubs' lineup since Aug. 1.

He drew some headlines shortly after making his way to the DL. He admitted to reporters that his back was acting up because he was too lazy to strengthen his abdominal muscles.

He threw five scoreless innings in a minor league start last week and pronounced himself healthy afterwards. Chicago had won Zambrano?s last five starts prior to the DL detour.
 

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Tuesday's best MLB bets

Tuesday's best MLB bets

Tuesday's best MLB bets


Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants (-138, 7)

The Giants are starting a series and a homestand, which has been a winning formula all season.

The Giants won the opener of their first six series at Pacific Bell Park and are 14-5 overall in series openers.

When starting a homestand, the Giants are even better. San Francisco won the opening game of a homestand eight straight times before losing its last one to Cincinnati on Aug. 7.

Did we mention that the Diamondbacks have lost nine of their last 10 road games? Or that Cy Young Award candidate Matt Cain is pitching for the Giants?

Pick: San Francisco

Cleveland Indians vs. Kansas City Royals (-163, 8)

For the Indians, the kids are all right.

Cleveland has won five of its last eight games with the help of hot hitting from a pair of youngsters.

Second baseman Luis Valbuena, who hit less than .200 through the first two months of the season, is batting .305 since July 1. He is riding a six-game hitting streak (8-for-23) with four runs, two homers and four RBI.

Outfielder Matt LaPorta has hit safely in all four games since his recall from the minor leagues, batting .333 with three doubles, four runs and four RBI.

To keep their hitting streaks alive, Valbuena and LaPorta have to get the better of slumping Royals ace Zack Greinke, who has won just one of his last nine starts.

Pick: Cleveland
 

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Top 5 Trends

Top 5 Trends

Top 5 Trends
NYM
FLA Over is 8-0 in FLA last 8 home games.

CLE
KC Over is 8-0-1 in CLE last 9 road games vs. a right-handed starter.

OAK
SEA Home team is 8-0 in Bells last 8 games behind home plate vs. Seattle.

ARI
SF Under is 8-0 in SF last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

TB
TOR Over is 8-0 in Kazmirs last 8 starts during game 3 of a series.
 
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