YTD: 54-45-3 +5.76 units
Rockies/Brew Crew under 13 -122.............hate laying chalk like this on a total but this line seems really high to me. Brewers aren't great vs left handers and Estes isn't all that bad in Coors with an era of 5.50. Capuano has been consistent this year keeping his era around three and change regardless of the situation (home/away, day/night). Rematch from last week with a final of 3-2. Have to expect more runs than that, due to the hitters having these pitchers fresh in their minds and of course the thin air at Coors, but is that worth 8 more runs? I really don't think so. Expected this line to be around 11 or 11.5 so I'll glady take a shot at 13.
Best of luck tonight.
Rockies/Brew Crew under 13 -122.............hate laying chalk like this on a total but this line seems really high to me. Brewers aren't great vs left handers and Estes isn't all that bad in Coors with an era of 5.50. Capuano has been consistent this year keeping his era around three and change regardless of the situation (home/away, day/night). Rematch from last week with a final of 3-2. Have to expect more runs than that, due to the hitters having these pitchers fresh in their minds and of course the thin air at Coors, but is that worth 8 more runs? I really don't think so. Expected this line to be around 11 or 11.5 so I'll glady take a shot at 13.
Best of luck tonight.