Tuesday Trends

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MLB (Baseball) Trends

Tuesday, October 4th
National League Divisional Series
Game One
Series Tied, 0-0
San Diego Padres at St. Louis Cardinals, 1:05 EST
Jacob Peavy (R) vs. Chris Carpenter (R)


Peavy:
San Diego 13-4 Over in road games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games
San Diego 3-7 at St. Louis over the last 3 seasons

Carpenter:
21-3 TSR when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons
25-7 TSR this season

American League Divisional Series
Game One
Series Tied, 0-0
Boston Red Sox at Chicago White Sox, 4:05 EST
Matt Clement (R) vs. Jose Contreras (R)


Clement:
Boston 60-38 Over after scoring 9 runs or more
Boston 36-42 on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons

Contreras:
14-3 TSR in the second half of the season
White Sox 10-1 off 4 straight wins against division rivals

American League Divisional Series
Game One
Series Tied, 0-0
New York Yankees at Anaheim Angels, 8:05 EST
Mike Mussina (R) vs. Bartolo Colon (R)



Mussina:
21-14 TSR as an underdog since 1997
Yankees 54-25 after one or more consecutive over

Colon:
9-17 TSR as a home favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997
Anaheim 11-1 Under at home with a money line of -100 to -125 this season


SAN DIEGO (82 - 80) at ST LOUIS (100 - 62) - 1:05 PM
JACOB PEAVY (R) vs. CHRIS CARPENTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 82-79 (-5.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 80-78 (-8.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 205-123 (+30.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 151-94 (+23.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 87-54 (+21.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 210-127 (+30.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CARPENTER is 25-7 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
CARPENTER is 24-7 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 7-2 (+9.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 this season.
ST LOUIS is 48-49 (-22.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 4-3 (+2.6 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)



JACOB PEAVY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
PEAVY is 0-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.81 and a WHIP of 1.364.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)



CHRIS CARPENTER vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
CARPENTER is 2-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.071.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BOSTON (95 - 67) at CHI WHITE SOX (99 - 63) - 4:05 PM
MATT CLEMENT (R) vs. JOSE CONTRERAS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 36-42 (-18.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 52-43 (-6.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 67-33 (+27.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 28-13 (+12.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 44-32 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 100-62 (+26.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 36-20 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 90-57 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 77-42 (+28.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CONTRERAS is 40-23 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 15-5 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 70-40 (+28.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
BOSTON is 86-55 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 8-15 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-3 (+0.3 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.6 Units)



MATT CLEMENT vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
CLEMENT is 2-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.23 and a WHIP of 1.377.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)



JOSE CONTRERAS vs. BOSTON since 1997
CONTRERAS is 2-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 10.52 and a WHIP of 2.182.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+2.8 units)

Tuesday's Games
Starting pitchers' stats aren't as critical as they are during regular season, since managers will have quicker hook in these playoff games. Fifth starters during regular season are now long men in bullpen; pitching quality is better.

Peavy is 3-1, 2.13 in his last six starts; he has 1.35 RA in his last four road starts. July 27, he allowed one run in 8 innings against Cardinals, in game Padres won later, 2-1. Under is 8-1 in last nine Peavy stats. At one point, Cards won 20 of 22 Carpenter starts, but in his last four starts, he is 0-2, 7.48, with all four going over. He beat Padres 11-3 on July 28, tossing seven innings. Cardinals are 9-1 in his last ten home starts.

Clement is 0-3, 7.25 in his last five starts; he started two games vs White Sox this year, giving up four runs in six IP in first one, a 6-5 Boston win, then was trailing 5-2 in fourth inning of second start, when game was rained out. Contreras is 8-0, 2.39 in his last eight starts. In his last nineteen starts, under is 12-4-3. Contreras beat Boston 6-4 July 24; he threw 5.2 innings, allowing three runs.

Colon started twice vs Bronx this year; first game was in game Rodriguez had ten RBI- Colon allowed ten runs in 3.2 IP. In his second start, Angels won 6-5, but Colon allowed all five runs in seven IP. Over is 3-1-1 in his last five starts, 4-0 in last four Mussina starts. Mussina may or may not be healthy; in last four starts, he has a 10.80 RA. He started three times vs Angels this year, twice in six days in July; he was 1-2 in the three starts, with 3.80 RA.
 
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