Trying to get some info out while I have a chance... most of the games I won't actually post til later, but these are my initial thoughts pending HP UMP and weather info.
Phila at NY METS
WE have a contending cold team vs a non-contending hot team. METS have won 6 of last ten, and are 13-7 last 20 at home. PHILA meanwhile is 3-7 in last ten and 5-11 in their last 16 away from home. METS however are 0-5 in RUSCH's last five starts, and only 6-6 in his starts. HOWEVER, it's mainly due to lack of run support (3.0 RPG) as he has a fine 3.09 ERA at home, despite his last two starts where he gave up 17 hits, 4 BB, and 6 ER in just over 9 innings combined. UNDER is 4-1-1 in last six meetings, 5-1 in PHILA's last six games, 9-4 when RUSCH starts at nite, and 17-8 in METS last 25 games at home.
Initially, I'm inclined to play the METS as a home dog and the UNDER. METS had vowed to play the role of spoiler and played well vs GIANTS and DODGERS recently, and can't see why it won't continue. Their bats have finally woke up, so RUSCH should get some run support. DUCKWORTH was not nearly as effective on the road in his one start in STL, and with the PHILA bats not saying much, I can see the METS and UNDER here. Will wait for HP INFO though before posting my final selections.
Montreal at ATLANTA
This game features perhaps the HOTTEST pitcher in MLB right now in VAZQUEZ who is 4-1 in his last five with a miniscule 0.68 ERA over that span. He is 8-5 on the road with an ERA of 3.22, and is facing a playoff team that may go down as the WORST ever at home, especially vs RH, where they stand -2440 based on 100/unit. MILLWOOD has come up with two good starts in a row after struggling going seven strong innings in each but surrendering 16 hits and 1 bb. In his last five, the UNDER is 4-1, and 5-0 in VAZQUEZ's last five. OVERALL, VAZQUEZ is 4-7 O/U on the road, MILLWOOD 2-5 O/U at home. UNDER is 9-2 in MONT last 11 road games, and 7-3 in ATL's last 10 games overall. MONT is also 8-2 in VAZQUEZ's last 10 starts, BUT, ATL is 10-3 on the year vs MONT. ATL is 12-9 in Game one after a loss, while MONT is 7-14 in the same situation.
Except for two UPRISINGS vs LA's weak BP this weekend, the BRAVES have only managed to score over 3 runs ONCE in their past ten games. MONT has done a little better, scoring 4 or more six times in past ten. MONT's BP was used up vs REDS, but they've had a day off, and VAZQUEZ will probably go 8 or 9 tonite, depending on how he's doing.
I like MONT and UNDER here, but again, I'll wait on the TOTAL until the HP UMP info. BUT, I see no reason to NOT play the EXPOS tonite!
MONTREAL +120
Phila at NY METS
WE have a contending cold team vs a non-contending hot team. METS have won 6 of last ten, and are 13-7 last 20 at home. PHILA meanwhile is 3-7 in last ten and 5-11 in their last 16 away from home. METS however are 0-5 in RUSCH's last five starts, and only 6-6 in his starts. HOWEVER, it's mainly due to lack of run support (3.0 RPG) as he has a fine 3.09 ERA at home, despite his last two starts where he gave up 17 hits, 4 BB, and 6 ER in just over 9 innings combined. UNDER is 4-1-1 in last six meetings, 5-1 in PHILA's last six games, 9-4 when RUSCH starts at nite, and 17-8 in METS last 25 games at home.
Initially, I'm inclined to play the METS as a home dog and the UNDER. METS had vowed to play the role of spoiler and played well vs GIANTS and DODGERS recently, and can't see why it won't continue. Their bats have finally woke up, so RUSCH should get some run support. DUCKWORTH was not nearly as effective on the road in his one start in STL, and with the PHILA bats not saying much, I can see the METS and UNDER here. Will wait for HP INFO though before posting my final selections.
Montreal at ATLANTA
This game features perhaps the HOTTEST pitcher in MLB right now in VAZQUEZ who is 4-1 in his last five with a miniscule 0.68 ERA over that span. He is 8-5 on the road with an ERA of 3.22, and is facing a playoff team that may go down as the WORST ever at home, especially vs RH, where they stand -2440 based on 100/unit. MILLWOOD has come up with two good starts in a row after struggling going seven strong innings in each but surrendering 16 hits and 1 bb. In his last five, the UNDER is 4-1, and 5-0 in VAZQUEZ's last five. OVERALL, VAZQUEZ is 4-7 O/U on the road, MILLWOOD 2-5 O/U at home. UNDER is 9-2 in MONT last 11 road games, and 7-3 in ATL's last 10 games overall. MONT is also 8-2 in VAZQUEZ's last 10 starts, BUT, ATL is 10-3 on the year vs MONT. ATL is 12-9 in Game one after a loss, while MONT is 7-14 in the same situation.
Except for two UPRISINGS vs LA's weak BP this weekend, the BRAVES have only managed to score over 3 runs ONCE in their past ten games. MONT has done a little better, scoring 4 or more six times in past ten. MONT's BP was used up vs REDS, but they've had a day off, and VAZQUEZ will probably go 8 or 9 tonite, depending on how he's doing.
I like MONT and UNDER here, but again, I'll wait on the TOTAL until the HP UMP info. BUT, I see no reason to NOT play the EXPOS tonite!
MONTREAL +120
