Tuesday...

[MrChristo]

2004: 8-3-2

Playing Bucks -4 and Utah -6.5.

Will be back with some evidence before game time.

Be aware anyone thinking of playing the Clips today. Portland are in a 12-2 League situation...10-0 last 10 SU!
Personally, I still find Portland tough to take, so looking very closely at the over.

Good Luck all

 

[Vicc Inzagio]

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gl MC !!


vicc

 

[MrChristo]

Utah -6.5

League: 15-12 (Av. win 11.4) (4-1 this season) home, 2 days rest, 5+ fav off 20+ SU win as home 5+ fav. [Utah]

Utah: 8-5 (Av. win 10.7) home 2 days rest 5+ fav.
GS: 9-13-1 (Av. loss 12.9) v. teams in this situation.
Utah: 14-9 (Av. win 7.3) home 5+ fav off 10+ ats win.

League: 6-13 (Av. loss 9.4) away 5+ dog, 2 days rest off ats win as home 4- fav. [GS]
0-7 (Av. loss 12.4) if opp was last @ home. (inc. GS 101-117 @ Pho last season.)

GS: 6-14 (Av. loss 14.1) away 5+ dog, 2 days rest.
5-11 (Av. loss 13.1) away 5+ dog off home 10- ats win.
Utah: 9-7-1 (Av. win 10.2) v. team in that situation.
GS: 2-6-1 (Av. loss 10.2) away 5+ dog off any 4- SU win.


Bucks -4

League: 18-8 SU (av. win 5.7) home fav, 2 days rest, off 10- ats loss as away 4- dog. [Mil]
16-4-1 (Av. win 8.6) home 4- fav, any rest off 10- ats loss as away 4- dog if opp was last away.
9-1 (Av. win 10.7) if opp off away ats win.

League: 13-18 (Av. loss 8.8) away dog, 1 day off 4- SU win as awy 5+ dog. [Bost]
6-14 (Av. loss 11.0) if it was 10+ ats win.
2-6 (Av. loss 18.0!!) if opp was last away.

Still looking at Port @ LAC over....

 

[MrChristo]

A quick run down on why I like the over @ LAC...

Clips have topped 100 in 9 of last 11 @ home. Av. 103.5. The 2 games they didn't they scored 93 v. Mil but shot only 39.5%, and 88 v. a very good defensive team, Toronto.
Portland have the worst FGA%, allowing 47% shooting!!

I have to think the total is this low based on Portlands lack of scoring on the road, where they av. only 84.1 ppg....BUT.....
In Portland's last 10 away games they have played @ Tor, Min, Det, NJ, SA, Houst and Cleveland....7 teams that are in the top 9 for FGA%!!!!!
The 3 other road games they scored 87 @ Chicago, 98 @ Sac and 108 @ Seattle (An OT game, but they only scored 4 in OT!!).
Chicago are 21st in FGA% (44.5%)
Kings are 24th @ 45%
Seattle 25th @ 45.2%
and now LAC....second worst (28th), only to Portland themselves, allowing 45.5% shooting....and more importantly 98.2 ppg!!

Portland coming off a 32.5% shooting effort @ Toronto, I have to think they will find the going a lot easier tonight in LA.

EDIT: Be careful if anyone is thinking of playing LAC.
League: 17-5-1 (16-7 SU!! Av. WIN 4.7) away 4- dog, 1 day rest off 10+ SU, but 10- ats loss as away 5+ dog. [Port]
12-2 (11-3 SU!!...Av. WIN 5.0) (10-0 SU last 10 since '99!!!) if opp was @ home!
7-0 if opp off home loss!!

 

[MrChristo]

Playing the over....Got it at 188.5.

Richardson out for Clips, but wasn't missed last game v. Memphis.

Nice to see one game in the bank

 

[MrChristo]

11-3-2

11-3-2

Eddie House. Thankyou.

As usual I suck at totals, but got lucky.
3-0 on the day.