Tuesday $$$

Spock

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Yesterday leans won but I played some fuxin losers. Time to get back on track.

Playing only one game today:

1. Houston -1.5 @ -107

Reason I am playing the runline inspite of Houston playing at home is that I think Houston will score a lot of runs in this one and beat Milwaukee comfortably.

Wright for Milwaukee has pitched against Houston 3 times this year.

7.1 innings - 4 earned runs 3 walks 6 hits Score 2-4
3.1 innings - 8 earned runs 3 walks 7 hits Score 3-9
4.1 innings - 3 earned runs 6 walks 7 hits Score 3-6

All games have been lost by 2,6 and 3 runs respectively.
The game where he lost 2-4 the opposing pitcher was P Munro who is pitching today.

Munro who has 4 major league starts .. his team is 3-0.
Against Milwaukee in 5 innings he gave up 2 earned runs on 8 hits walking 1.


Some of the stats :

Wright on the road has an ERA of 5.17. His overall ERA is 6.21
In last 7 games his ERA has increased to 6.91 and he has not been pitchin well lately. He has lost 3 in a row and his record in last 7 games is 1-6. In the 6 games he has lost none of the games have been decided by one run. Has been giving up 9.94 hits per 9 innings pitched in last 7 games.
Walks 5.40 on the road and this will be good for Houston.
Recieves a run support of 3 runs on the road and 3.42 overall which has dipped to 2.57 runs in last 7 games.


Munro in 3 starts has a streak of winnin all 3 games started.
His personal record is 1-0.
His ERA is 2.76. He has allowed a lot of hits @ 12.12.
One of the games was @ Milwaukee where they had 8 hits and the other was against a hot Pittsburg team where they had 8 hits against him.
In his only home game against the Reds he allowed 6 hits in 7 innings pitched with 0 earned runs.

The guy has already won against this pitcher and against Milwaukee and I am sure will feel confident pitching at home. Guy who makes his debut at Pittsburg and the team wins has a strong mentality and does not falter.

The Ump Schreiber is 11-10 for the home team. The only time he was at home plate in a game for Houston .. Houston won 6-5 against the Reds.

All games at Houston since 1997: Houston is 23-9
All games in last 3 seasons at Houston: Houston is 11-5


Milwaukee in games played on grass are 34 - 60
Houston is 47-48

Milwaukee in road games is 16-34
Houston at home is 25-21

Milwaukee vs RHP : 29-48
Houston vs RHP : 38-42

Milwaukee in July games : 5 - 13
Houston in July games : 11 - 7

Milwaukee is 1-11 in their last 12 games.
Milwaukee is 2-8 in Wrights last 10 starts.
Milwaukee is 2-15 AL when in game 2 of a series.
Houston is 12-6 in their last 18 overall
HOU is 3-0 in Munro's three ML starts.


Milwaukee last 10 games is batting .218 against RHP
Houston is batting .232 against RHP


The key here is that Milwaukee is on a losing roll and its a free fall.

The final key in the puzzle :

WRIGHT is 0-8 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 7.74 and a WHIP of 1.871.
His team's record is 1-10 in these starts.


MUNRO is 0-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 1-0 in these starts.


Good luck and may Houston win by more than 2 runs.

Cheers !!!
Spock

Other leans :

Toronto Over
Pittsburg Over
Atlanta Under
 

Spock

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Adding small :

TB @ Boston Game 1 Under 9.5

Line is a run higher than I expected. This game should be low scoring and final number of runs scored shud be around 7.

Good luck to all.
Cheers !!!
Spock
 

Spock

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********************** WHAT A BAD CALL **************

TB pitcher just unfolded .. and the bull pen sux .. I was thinkin the guy would go at least 7 innings and Boston would hold TB To around 2 runs. Boy was i ever wrong. Small play but i would be mad even if i had a single $ on it. Throw in the fact at i bet in US $ and everytime i get screw it hurts 1.56 times more (1US = 1.56 $ Canadian) :confused:

Got the money i lost on this call with the OVer on the Cubs game. Sorry i could not post it. Had put in a word in the thread of one of our good cappers no all in the forum.

Have also added in the runline for Game 2 Betn TB and Boston

Played : Boston -1.5 Game 2

TB Bull pen is dead now. Add in the fact that they were used a lot in the Toronto series. Also its depressing to play same team on the road after they have annhilated you 22-4. I think Boston runline good play. Lowe shud be ready for a good outing and Wilson must be at the Doctor's office trying to get a sick note as I write this. The only one who can stop another massacre is the big guy above who can make it rain and ease TB's pain

Good luck to all.
Cheers !!!
Spock
 

Spock

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Adding :

Toronto ML

I think this is a good price for Toronto who has been red hot. I watched Driskill in Toronto and was not impressed with his stuff. A lot of his balls were just hanging over the plate waiting to be hit.

Carpenter has been good since coming off the DL and should be ready to go. He is 6-3 against Baltimore. Toronto bats are hot.

The Over looks good but as a dog I will take Toronto.

Toronto started the road series on the right foot and will wanna have another win tonight.

Good luck
Spock
 

thelawguy

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Oh sh*t, Spock.....I though you got Bost under 90.5....LOL I think maybe the second game (which I am on Bost side) will be more like the game you thought game 1 would be.
 

Spock

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must have been some bad karma which is out of the way now.

glad i bet small man. he ehe .. came back second innin to look at score ..

what the fux .. 4 runs by TB .. am sayin to myself .. hope this does not piss off Boston .. top 3'rd no runs by TB ..

good good .. mebbe there is some hope .. he ehee ..

then God came and snatched away Hope from my hand.

Next time will take them @ Under 100 just to be safe.

I think Game 2 gonna be Over also but not goin anywhere near the Total. Stickin to Boston runline.

Hopefully we all Win !!!

Spock
 

Arliss99

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Spock [/B][/QUOTE]Throw in the fact at i bet in US $ and everytime i get screw it hurts 1.56 times more (1US = 1.56 $ Canadian)


You reminded me of the time I was in Vancouver, its been a while. Anyway we were riding through town and I noticed the gas price was posted as .88. I told the driver wow I need to move up here your gas is so cheap pointing to the sign. He looked back at me like I was crazy and informed me that was the price per liter! Ouch! What a fun time I had anyway....what was her name again..

:shrug:
 

Spock

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Won my best bet on the Houston run line :D :D

Lost on the Boston runline second game :mad: :finger:
Won on the Seattle runline :D
Won SF Under which i played last min after knowin Bonds and Snow were not playin. :D
 

Spock

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thanx mark

the manager had said that in an interview today mornin.

not sure where i read it though ..
 
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