- Mar 2, 2006
- 4,794
- 120
- 0
ATS: 72-54-4 (+19.8)
OU: 50-45-1 (+0.3)
ML dogs: 1-5 (-3.65)
The Clippers just had two games against the Jazz, the first one in Utah and the second one at home. The Clippers are on a great winning streak, but all streaks have to end (as the Bobcats made us aware of yesterday).
The Nuggets are coming off a road loss to the Grizzlies in which their floor efficiency was only 42.7%, down almost 10% for the season, and they still managed to hang in for most of the game. I look for them to rebound nicely tonight (both figuratively and literally), where they have the second highest home floor efficiency in the league. The Nuggets are finally getting to play a few games at home this season. The Nuggets coming off a road trip where they won and then lost are 10-2 SU (+11.7 ppg) and 9-3 ATS. When they are playing their first game at home and they have at least one more home game, they are 24-7 SU (+10.2) in their last 31.
In the last matchup vs. the Nuggets, the Clippers bench scored a season best 42. Gallinari extended his poor play in this game, going 1-10 from the floor. The Nuggets shot a poor 3-13 from long range. Despite these numbers, the Nuggets still managed to shoot 50% from the floor, mostly thanks to scoring 62 points in the paint.
Denver has played the third hardest strength of schedule in the league so far this year, while the Clippers have had the third easiest. In their 17 game winning streak, only four of the teams that they have played have winning records.
The Clippers have a difficult stretch coming up, playing the Nuggets and then the Warriors, Lakers, and Warriors again. The next three are all important divisional games for the Clippers. While I don't think they are the type of team to look ahead, this game is probably the least important of the next four they will play.
Denver has a rebounding edge, points in the paint edge, and free throws attempted per game edge (interestingly, this is a more important category to win in basketball than free throws made per game...)
Home teams on New Years day are 15-2 SU (+13.2 ppg) in the last two years. I?m hoping the Nuggets usher in 2013 with a big win!!
Nuggets PK x2
What to do with this Mavericks team? They are just not good right now, and neither are the Wizards, but one thing to be given to the Wizards is that they have a lot of heart right now. It seems to me that the Mavs are getting favoritism points on these lines based purely on their name and history.
With at least a day of rest, following a game where their assist to turnover ratio was at least two, the Mavericks are 5-5 SU (-1.7 ppg) and 0-10 ATS. As a road favorite, the Mavericks are 3-7 SU (-3.6 ppg) in their last 10 and 2-8 ATS. After a game where they scored 10 points or less than expected, the Mavericks are 4-4 SU (-1.1) and 2-6 ATS.
The Wizards at home when their next game is on the road are 5-6 SU (+1.5) and 8-2 ATS. As a home dog in their last 7, the Wizards are 5-1-1 ATS.
In their last 11 meetings, the Mavericks are 7-4 SU (+0.8 ppg) and 3-8 ATS. The Mavericks have the Heat on deck tomorrow, and most likely have prepared a bit more for that game than this one.
Wizards +4.5
Although I am not going to play them, my research is also indicating:
Philly
Sac
Atlanta
Cheers, and may the New Year be sweet to you and yours
Good luck...
OU: 50-45-1 (+0.3)
ML dogs: 1-5 (-3.65)
The Clippers just had two games against the Jazz, the first one in Utah and the second one at home. The Clippers are on a great winning streak, but all streaks have to end (as the Bobcats made us aware of yesterday).
The Nuggets are coming off a road loss to the Grizzlies in which their floor efficiency was only 42.7%, down almost 10% for the season, and they still managed to hang in for most of the game. I look for them to rebound nicely tonight (both figuratively and literally), where they have the second highest home floor efficiency in the league. The Nuggets are finally getting to play a few games at home this season. The Nuggets coming off a road trip where they won and then lost are 10-2 SU (+11.7 ppg) and 9-3 ATS. When they are playing their first game at home and they have at least one more home game, they are 24-7 SU (+10.2) in their last 31.
In the last matchup vs. the Nuggets, the Clippers bench scored a season best 42. Gallinari extended his poor play in this game, going 1-10 from the floor. The Nuggets shot a poor 3-13 from long range. Despite these numbers, the Nuggets still managed to shoot 50% from the floor, mostly thanks to scoring 62 points in the paint.
Denver has played the third hardest strength of schedule in the league so far this year, while the Clippers have had the third easiest. In their 17 game winning streak, only four of the teams that they have played have winning records.
The Clippers have a difficult stretch coming up, playing the Nuggets and then the Warriors, Lakers, and Warriors again. The next three are all important divisional games for the Clippers. While I don't think they are the type of team to look ahead, this game is probably the least important of the next four they will play.
Denver has a rebounding edge, points in the paint edge, and free throws attempted per game edge (interestingly, this is a more important category to win in basketball than free throws made per game...)
Home teams on New Years day are 15-2 SU (+13.2 ppg) in the last two years. I?m hoping the Nuggets usher in 2013 with a big win!!
Nuggets PK x2
What to do with this Mavericks team? They are just not good right now, and neither are the Wizards, but one thing to be given to the Wizards is that they have a lot of heart right now. It seems to me that the Mavs are getting favoritism points on these lines based purely on their name and history.
With at least a day of rest, following a game where their assist to turnover ratio was at least two, the Mavericks are 5-5 SU (-1.7 ppg) and 0-10 ATS. As a road favorite, the Mavericks are 3-7 SU (-3.6 ppg) in their last 10 and 2-8 ATS. After a game where they scored 10 points or less than expected, the Mavericks are 4-4 SU (-1.1) and 2-6 ATS.
The Wizards at home when their next game is on the road are 5-6 SU (+1.5) and 8-2 ATS. As a home dog in their last 7, the Wizards are 5-1-1 ATS.
In their last 11 meetings, the Mavericks are 7-4 SU (+0.8 ppg) and 3-8 ATS. The Mavericks have the Heat on deck tomorrow, and most likely have prepared a bit more for that game than this one.
Wizards +4.5
Although I am not going to play them, my research is also indicating:
Philly
Sac
Atlanta
Cheers, and may the New Year be sweet to you and yours
Good luck...
Last edited:
