tuesday
- Thread starter THUNDER
- Start date
FAWK guys...tell me about it.....
i went 0 - 5 on totals last nite....!!!
how the fawk can you do that??????
probably one of my WORST capping nites in my career....( which just spans 2 years....)
i can't get TOO mad because all the losses on totals have been very close....and man, are the totals sharp.
you're right guys, it's a LONG season...time to get back on the horse.
i went 0 - 5 on totals last nite....!!!
how the fawk can you do that??????
probably one of my WORST capping nites in my career....( which just spans 2 years....)
i can't get TOO mad because all the losses on totals have been very close....and man, are the totals sharp.
you're right guys, it's a LONG season...time to get back on the horse.
dallas -3 first q 6%- dallas is 8-2 ats the first q while the lakers are 3-6 ats first quarter and 2 of those covers coming in the first 2 games. dallas starts fast and coast into victories. while the lakers just have no scoring help for kobe. dallas will make this a statement the crowd will be fired up and the mavs will start out strong . the mavs are holding teams to 34% shooting in the fist q meanwhile shooting 53% themselves. nelly plays his starters the first 8-10 minutes of the game and they should cover easily.
thunder gl with your plays. i know in the past you have said that line moves don't affect your opinion of games that you have handicapped to go against the move. this imo is the correct way to play, with one possible exception. year in and year out i have noticed that the big moves on nba totals (say 3 points) are really dangerous to go against, even though you are getting a better number. i don't have any hard numbers but i would be surprised if those line moves were less than 57%. just something to consider. the cleveland/houston game falls into this category (176 to 180).
does anyone else have any opinions or hard numbers on this situation?
does anyone else have any opinions or hard numbers on this situation?
Good Luck Thunder. With you all the way. Is that all for tonite, gotta hit the road in a few. Thanks again
Hang in there Thunder. You are right it is the long haul. I can't complain, the NBA is the only thing keeping me plus. The College Foots I am ready to throw out the window. Good luck to you man. BA
i have to agree with your earlier post. i had a full tuition sch. in hoops at a small collere here. one of the things i look for is a team that is playing a 3rd game in four nights. although, i got burned big time with dallas saturday against NJ. having played competitively, i know not at this level, i just don't know how these guys do it night in and night out especially on the road. if was tough for us to travel by bus 4-5 hours and expect to play that night. anyways, going to turn my time to hoops now and hopefully help out. also, will probably be coattailing you a little bit so hope you hit em good.
jr11
jr11
gl thunder,
I am new to the forum, but have been sitting back watching everyone post.
I am with you on the Hornets. I got it at 3.5
I am new to the forum, but have been sitting back watching everyone post.
I am with you on the Hornets. I got it at 3.5
Money Management
Money Management
Dry1, I am sorry to see you in this state. I have been there and would like to share with you my "short" story. I used to follow Nolan Dalla's NFL selections (about 5 years ago) on the AOL message board. He was the goose that laid golden eggs. This man is a walking sports encyclopedia. Though he is not having the greatest of seasons, he still survives with sports wagering. How? Keyword: MONEY MANAGEMENT. There are just too many great cappers here to mention, but right off the top, Nolan and THUNDER have taught me the art of money management; and some where along the road, I also learned to handicap some games by myself (which is the fun part).
I think the worst thing you can do now is to hop on board with another "proven" capper. The reason is it could be possible that you jump on the new capper's losing streak. Believe me. I have done that. Hopping from one capper to another capper is gambling in itself. I used to go to Madjack and write down all the day's selection from cappers A, B, and C. Then cross out the plays that are in conflict and play the remaining selections. Guess what? The remaining plays were the losing plays. I have also searched for "the play of the day" thread and pick one play from one of the leading cappers. My theory was this particular capper can't lose 5 or 6 consecutive games. So why don't I just play his 1 selection each day. If it loses, then double-up the next day and continue to double-up until he wins. Well guess what? You get damn nervous after doubling up 4 or 5 times your initial bet. Please do not do this. It does not work.
I don't think THUNDER is lying when he said he has made positive money for each of the last 9 seasons. I'm willing to bet this will be his 10th straight. With good money management, you should be able to come out on the positive side at season's end...if you follow his percentage plays to the letter. Another suggestion is to get several outlets. Example: I got a push tonight with Utah UNDER 175, while THUNDER got a win because he got it at 175.5.
I am not saying all this to convince you to ride this out. You might need a break to clear your mind. But when you do decide to come back, there many cappers here who are more than willing to help you.
Madjack is a family. You can always find help here.
Best of luck to you, Dry1.
Money Management
Dry1, I am sorry to see you in this state. I have been there and would like to share with you my "short" story. I used to follow Nolan Dalla's NFL selections (about 5 years ago) on the AOL message board. He was the goose that laid golden eggs. This man is a walking sports encyclopedia. Though he is not having the greatest of seasons, he still survives with sports wagering. How? Keyword: MONEY MANAGEMENT. There are just too many great cappers here to mention, but right off the top, Nolan and THUNDER have taught me the art of money management; and some where along the road, I also learned to handicap some games by myself (which is the fun part).
I think the worst thing you can do now is to hop on board with another "proven" capper. The reason is it could be possible that you jump on the new capper's losing streak. Believe me. I have done that. Hopping from one capper to another capper is gambling in itself. I used to go to Madjack and write down all the day's selection from cappers A, B, and C. Then cross out the plays that are in conflict and play the remaining selections. Guess what? The remaining plays were the losing plays. I have also searched for "the play of the day" thread and pick one play from one of the leading cappers. My theory was this particular capper can't lose 5 or 6 consecutive games. So why don't I just play his 1 selection each day. If it loses, then double-up the next day and continue to double-up until he wins. Well guess what? You get damn nervous after doubling up 4 or 5 times your initial bet. Please do not do this. It does not work.
I don't think THUNDER is lying when he said he has made positive money for each of the last 9 seasons. I'm willing to bet this will be his 10th straight. With good money management, you should be able to come out on the positive side at season's end...if you follow his percentage plays to the letter. Another suggestion is to get several outlets. Example: I got a push tonight with Utah UNDER 175, while THUNDER got a win because he got it at 175.5.
I am not saying all this to convince you to ride this out. You might need a break to clear your mind. But when you do decide to come back, there many cappers here who are more than willing to help you.
Madjack is a family. You can always find help here.
Best of luck to you, Dry1.
That line shopping amust. As for a bad night. I unless I miss one of Thunders plays. 2 & 1 in NCAA. 2 & 3 NBA. And didn't lose a dime. And even tho my owncapping told me Philly I went with Thunder because I do not cap the NBA very well. Wel at least this early. I seem to get better at it as data grows. December was when I used to start due to my efforts on FB Didn't leave me alot of time For NBA. But anyway tonight was not a that bad.
Thanks for the advice Cryboy & Djv...I'm taking a little time to adjust the money management and get a few more books to shop for lines...I'm also gonna try to find time to do some of my own handicapping..I'm a decent capper if I get time (medical issues, 1 year old son, work, house shopping, etc have hampered me) ...I'm getting there and I'm not quitting until I get my 15K back....I just loaned the bookies that money...good luck to you-thanks for the support (Thunder must think I'm such a dork...)
